Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Big gains in the US semi and DC related should translate into continued upside in Japan despite some BIG gains yesterday.</li>
<li>Wire and cable plays are all surging, yet the smaller side of the sector underperforms. Nidec good risk/reward into numbers.</li>
<li>HAMR rollout helping Seagate higher should also help memory/HDD component plays.</li>
</ul>


Big gains in the US semi and DC related should translate into continued upside in Japan despite some BIG gains yesterday.
Wire and cable plays are all surging, yet the smaller side of the sector underperforms. Nidec good risk/reward into numbers.
HAMR rollout helping Seagate higher should also help memory/HDD component plays.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Binge Buying Should Continue in Japan

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q324 DRAM revenues amounted to $25.4 billion, up 8.6% QoQ and up 92.4% YoY</li>
<li>Q324 NAND revenues amounted to $17.9 billion, up 9.8% QoQ and up 93.6% YoY</li>
<li>PC, Smartphone segments sluggish due to high inventory levels while HBM and DDR5 are on fire driven by insatiable demand in the AI server segment. Decoupling continues into 2025.</li>
</ul>


Q324 DRAM revenues amounted to $25.4 billion, up 8.6% QoQ and up 92.4% YoY
Q324 NAND revenues amounted to $17.9 billion, up 9.8% QoQ and up 93.6% YoY
PC, Smartphone segments sluggish due to high inventory levels while HBM and DDR5 are on fire driven by insatiable demand in the AI server segment. Decoupling continues into 2025.


Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

Equity Capital Markets

Yangtze Memory Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>YMTC, a 3D NAND flash memory IDM, has filed its prospectus with the Shanghai Stock Exchange for a STAR Market listing. CITIC and CSC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: NAND Flash products and other products and services.</li>
<li>We then look at the company's financial profile, profit turnaround, pre-IPO valuation and investor backing.</li>
</ul>


YMTC, a 3D NAND flash memory IDM, has filed its prospectus with the Shanghai Stock Exchange for a STAR Market listing. CITIC and CSC are the joint sponsors.
We look at the company's core segments: NAND Flash products and other products and services.
We then look at the company's financial profile, profit turnaround, pre-IPO valuation and investor backing.


<ul>
<li>DRAM revenues amounted to $23.3 billion in Q224, representing increases of 28.3% QoQ and 110.5% YoY.</li>
<li>In the case of NAND, Q224 revenues amounted to $16.5 billion, representing increases of 17% QoQ and 83% YoY.</li>
<li>Unprecedented demand for HBM &amp; DDR5, robustly increasing content per box for both PC &amp; Smartphone, looming capacity constraints, more/better LTA coverage are all mounting tailwinds for the memory segment </li>
</ul>


DRAM revenues amounted to $23.3 billion in Q224, representing increases of 28.3% QoQ and 110.5% YoY.
In the case of NAND, Q224 revenues amounted to $16.5 billion, representing increases of 17% QoQ and 83% YoY.
Unprecedented demand for HBM &amp; DDR5, robustly increasing content per box for both PC &amp; Smartphone, looming capacity constraints, more/better LTA coverage are all mounting tailwinds for the memory segment 


Q224 DRAM, NAND Revenues Grow For The Fifth Quarter In a Row

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Binge Buying Should Continue in Japan

US gains in semiconductor and DC related should drive continued upside in Japan. Surges in wire and cable plays. HAMR rollout should boost memory...

Andrew Jackson

Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies

Q324 DRAM $25.4 billion, +8.6% QoQ & +92.4% YoY. NAND was $17.9 billion, +9.8% QoQ & +93.6% YoY. Legacy markets sluggish while HBM and DDR5 are on...

William Keating

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

YMTC (长江存储) Pre-IPO: Tearsheet

YMTC has filed a prospectus with the SSE for a STAR listing. In this tearsheet, we look at the company's business and operating profile, its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Q224 DRAM, NAND Revenues Grow For The Fifth Quarter In a Row

Q224 DRAM $23.3 billion in Q224, +28.3% QoQ & +110.5% YoY. Q224 NAND $16.5 billion, +17% QoQ & +83% YoY. Multiple mounting tailwinds bode well for...

William Keating

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