Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei reported mid-day that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> made a ¥1.3trln takeover proposal to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a> in February. That's big news. Last year Denso bought ~5%.</li>
<li>The goal would be to be dominant in power chips and to serve Toyota Group. There is a big Toshiba angle here too. Rohm bought into Toshiba, also has JVs.</li>
<li>Toshiba owns a big stake in Kioxia which trickles down to Rohm. Much will be made of the look-through valuation. It's complicated.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reported mid-day that Denso Corp (6902 JP) made a ¥1.3trln takeover proposal to ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP) in February. That's big news. Last year Denso bought ~5%.
The goal would be to be dominant in power chips and to serve Toyota Group. There is a big Toshiba angle here too. Rohm bought into Toshiba, also has JVs.
Toshiba owns a big stake in Kioxia which trickles down to Rohm. Much will be made of the look-through valuation. It's complicated.


[Japan M&A] Denso (6902) Reportedly Made a ¥1.3trln Takeover Proposal to Rohm (6963). Light & Iffy.

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

<ul><li>Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off.</li><li>Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock being added to the S&amp;P 600 index effective tomorrow.</li><li>SanDisk is trading at 1.1x revenue which is a reasonable valuation (Xioxia, Sandisk’s JV partner, trades at 1.3x LTM revenue).<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"></figure></li></ul>

Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off.Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock being added to the S&amp;P 600 index effective tomorrow.SanDisk is trading at 1.1x revenue which is a reasonable valuation (Xioxia, Sandisk’s JV partner, trades at 1.3x LTM revenue).

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tier-2 commodity Memory is a lousy business, which requires high Capex and R&amp;D, generates very low Free Cash Flows. DRAM is more sustainable than NAND as peak margins are higher. </li>
<li>Kioxia only makes NAND, has a high market share (16%) but is a Tier-2 supplier with a roadmap lagging SK Hynix by ~2 years, and a high exposure to Consumer. </li>
<li>The Memory cycle has recovered, probably close to peak earnings. That’s why stocks have been declining (Micron, Hynix).  Part 2 will cover financials (there's a bad surprise) and valuations. </li>
</ul>


Tier-2 commodity Memory is a lousy business, which requires high Capex and R&amp;D, generates very low Free Cash Flows. DRAM is more sustainable than NAND as peak margins are higher. 
Kioxia only makes NAND, has a high market share (16%) but is a Tier-2 supplier with a roadmap lagging SK Hynix by ~2 years, and a high exposure to Consumer. 
The Memory cycle has recovered, probably close to peak earnings. That’s why stocks have been declining (Micron, Hynix).  Part 2 will cover financials (there's a bad surprise) and valuations. 


What Is Kioxia? And Should You Bother? Part 1: Why NAND Is so Hard (And Not Attractive)

Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

<ul>
<li>World's only pure-play NAND IDM at scale; entire 2026 output pre-sold under hyperscaler LTAs extending to 2028, with no industry capacity additions before 2028.</li>
<li>Balance sheet reversal from ¥782bn net debt to net cash within Q1 FY2027, plus first-ever BBB– investment-grade rating, unlocks progressive dividends and IG-only investor mandates.</li>
<li>BUY, ¥120,000 PT (8.0x FY2027E EV/EBITDA of ¥2,300bn); US ADS listing (spring 2027) is the capital markets re-rating catalyst — historically worth 3–5 P/E turns.</li>
</ul>


World's only pure-play NAND IDM at scale; entire 2026 output pre-sold under hyperscaler LTAs extending to 2028, with no industry capacity additions before 2028.
Balance sheet reversal from ¥782bn net debt to net cash within Q1 FY2027, plus first-ever BBB– investment-grade rating, unlocks progressive dividends and IG-only investor mandates.
BUY, ¥120,000 PT (8.0x FY2027E EV/EBITDA of ¥2,300bn); US ADS listing (spring 2027) is the capital markets re-rating catalyst — historically worth 3–5 P/E turns.


KIOXIA HOLDINGS (285A JP): Initiate with a BUY (TP ¥120,000)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/space-exploration-technologies-corp-spacex" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33284:1" rel="noopener">SpaceX (SPCX US)'s</a> succesful listing appears to have set off a deal frenzy in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Over the past week, there were a number of placements in India, along with a few large deals in Hong Kong as well.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front SpaceX (SPCX US)'s succesful listing appears to have set off a deal frenzy in Hong Kong.
Over the past week, there were a number of placements in India, along with a few large deals in Hong Kong as well.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (22 June 2026) - SpaceX, GO, Lingyi, SG Micro, Circuit Fab, Merdeka, Kioxia, NSE

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

[Japan M&A] Denso (6902) Reportedly Made a ¥1.3trln Takeover Proposal to Rohm (6963). Light & Iffy.

Denso has proposed a (lowball) takeover to Rohm, currently in an investment/restructuring phase, highlighting Rohm's value. The register is wide...

Travis Lundy

[Alert] Sell Sandisk Spin-off

Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off. Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock...

Richard Howe

What Is Kioxia? And Should You Bother? Part 1: Why NAND Is so Hard (And Not Attractive)

Tier-2 NAND memory supplier Kioxia faces challenges with high Capex and R&D costs, low Free Cash Flows, and lagging behind technology leader SK...

Nicolas Baratte