Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron's 2QF22 results were above the high end of guidance</li>
<li>The company's outlook for the current quarter is very strong</li>
<li>Market data supports the company's bullish outlook, and Micron's performance speaks for itself</li>
</ul>


Micron's 2QF22 results were above the high end of guidance
The company's outlook for the current quarter is very strong
Market data supports the company's bullish outlook, and Micron's performance speaks for itself


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>We estimate Phison could reach NT$14.1bn sales and GM 25% outlook in 1Q22.</li>
<li>For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted, and Phison’s insistence on NAND Flash controller technology and allied with AMD.</li>
<li>Phison would maintain its solid dividend policy and it’s 80% in the past. It was ~NT$63 EPS in 2021. </li>
</ul>


We estimate Phison could reach NT$14.1bn sales and GM 25% outlook in 1Q22.
For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted, and Phison’s insistence on NAND Flash controller technology and allied with AMD.
Phison would maintain its solid dividend policy and it’s 80% in the past. It was ~NT$63 EPS in 2021. 


Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology

<ul>
<li>Micron Technology posted revenues of 7.7 billion for its most recent quarter, down 7% Q/Q but up 33% Y/Y with a 47% gross margin</li>
<li>The company provided a positive outlook for the upcoming quarter and for its future in general</li>
<li>This is in stark contrast with recent forecasts based on a big decline in spot market DRAM and NAND flash prices.  We show spot prices to be unreliable predictors.</li>
</ul>


Micron Technology posted revenues of 7.7 billion for its most recent quarter, down 7% Q/Q but up 33% Y/Y with a 47% gross margin
The company provided a positive outlook for the upcoming quarter and for its future in general
This is in stark contrast with recent forecasts based on a big decline in spot market DRAM and NAND flash prices.  We show spot prices to be unreliable predictors.


Micron Bullish After Strong Showing, Counter to Certain Forecasts

<ul>
<li>Privately-Held Kioxia is ripe for an IPO, but there's been no announcement</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the company's end market, NAND flash chips, is setting new revenue records</li>
<li>Bain &amp; Company may miss an important window by waiting too long to go public</li>
</ul>


Privately-Held Kioxia is ripe for an IPO, but there's been no announcement
Meanwhile, the company's end market, NAND flash chips, is setting new revenue records
Bain &amp; Company may miss an important window by waiting too long to go public


<p>SK hynix posted record revenues in 3Q21 despite lackluster performance from its DRAM business.  This provides the possibility that 4Q21 earnings, with continuing NAND flash success and the recovery of lost DRAM revenues, could be a stellar quarter for the company.</p>

SK hynix posted record revenues in 3Q21 despite lackluster performance from its DRAM business.  This provides the possibility that 4Q21 earnings, with continuing NAND flash success and the recovery of lost DRAM revenues, could be a stellar quarter for the company.

SK Hynix: Record Revenues, Promising Future

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Micron Posts Another Excellent Quarter

Micron Technology posted solid results for its 2QF22 with a very positive outlook. The company has been performing superbly, and should do very...

Jim Handy

Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology

We estimate Phison will reach NT$14.1bn sales and 25% GM outlook in 1Q22. For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted.

Patrick Liao

Micron Bullish After Strong Showing, Counter to Certain Forecasts

Micron announced its earnings December 21. After a strong quarter the company has an outlook for continuing strength. Why is this when certain...

Jim Handy

Will Kioxia IPO Miss Its Window?

Privately-held Kioxia has been hinting at an IPO for a year, and its end market has just set a record. Can the company afford to delay any longer,...

Jim Handy

SK Hynix: Record Revenues, Promising Future

Despite stumbling in DRAM, SK hynix posted record revenues, and seems poised to do even better in 4Q21. NAND flash is finally making important...

Jim Handy

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