Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><strong>The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8656" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8656:1">Hanwha Chemical Corp (009830 KS)</a> became the first company to proactively file its application.</strong> The One-Shot Act was passed into law in February 2016. The One-Shot Act will help companies to accelerate spin-offs and mergers through simplified structures as well as provide tax benefits and subsidies for R&amp;D. The companies that want to benefit from the One-Shot Act need to…</p>

The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when Hanwha Chemical Corp (009830 KS) became the first company to proactively file its application. The One-Shot Act was passed into law in February 2016. The One-Shot Act will help companies to accelerate spin-offs and mergers through simplified structures as well as provide tax benefits and subsidies for R&amp;D. The companies that want to benefit from the One-Shot Act need to…

Start of One-Shot Act - The Good, Bad, and the Ugly

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February. We're gone through 80% of the trading days.</li>
<li>We currently forecast 42 stocks migrating between the size segments. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap, 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The recent market volatility has led to a narrowing of that gap.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February. We're gone through 80% of the trading days.
We currently forecast 42 stocks migrating between the size segments. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap, 1 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The recent market volatility has led to a narrowing of that gap.


KOSPI Size Indices: Market Volatility Narrows Spread (A Bit)

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A third of the way through the averaging period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap, 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The gap between the small and mid-cap migrations has continued to widen.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A third of the way through the averaging period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap, 2 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The gap between the small and mid-cap migrations has continued to widen.


KOSPI Size Indices: Small-To-Mid Migrations Running Up

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On its first closing date on 15 November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a> declared the Chairman’s offer unconditional as the offeror and concert parties represented 60.76% of outstanding shares. </li>
<li>The result was surprising. The IFA opined that the offer was not fair or reasonable, and the independent Board recommended that the shareholder not accept it. </li>
<li>The CCASS movements suggest that the offer was declared unconditional mainly because friends and family supported the Chairman’s offer. The gross/annualised spread is 1.6%/92.6%.</li>
</ul>


On its first closing date on 15 November, Xingda International (1899 HK) declared the Chairman’s offer unconditional as the offeror and concert parties represented 60.76% of outstanding shares. 
The result was surprising. The IFA opined that the offer was not fair or reasonable, and the independent Board recommended that the shareholder not accept it. 
The CCASS movements suggest that the offer was declared unconditional mainly because friends and family supported the Chairman’s offer. The gross/annualised spread is 1.6%/92.6%.


Xingda (1899 HK): A Surprising Result as Offer Declared Unconditional

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.
The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.


KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

South Korea

KISWIRE Ltd. manufactures secondary steel products, such as wire ropes and wire strands for electric wire and springs.  The Company markets to the shipbuilding and construction industries, and exports products to overseas markets.  KISWIRE also has a financial subsidiary.

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Kiswire Ltd (002240 KS)

Start of One-Shot Act - The Good, Bad, and the Ugly

The "One-Shot Act" (also called The Special Act on the Corporate Revitalization) effectively started in Korea on 16 August when Hanwha Chemical...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Market Volatility Narrows Spread (A Bit)

There could be 42 migrations across categories in March, plus new listings being added. The recent market volatility has narrowed the...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Small-To-Mid Migrations Running Up

There could be 37 migrations across categories in March, plus new listings being added. The small-to-mid cap migrations have continued to move...

Brian Freitas

Xingda (1899 HK): A Surprising Result as Offer Declared Unconditional

The result was surprising as the IFA opined that the offer was not fair or reasonable. At the last close and for a 26 November payment, the gross...

Arun George

KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

There could be 29 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 1 MidCap inclusion. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

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