IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a> recommended a pre-conditional tender offer from a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> subsidiary at JPY5,774, 32.7% and 69.8% premium to the last close and undisturbed price, respectively. </li>
<li>The pre-condition is approvals under competition laws of Japan, China, the EU, South Korea and Vietnam. The tender offer is expected to start in mid-August.</li>
<li>The offer represents an all-time high and is a knockout bid. While the timing of regulatory approvals is a risk, the transaction is a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Alps Logistics (9055 JP) recommended a pre-conditional tender offer from a KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) subsidiary at JPY5,774, 32.7% and 69.8% premium to the last close and undisturbed price, respectively. 
The pre-condition is approvals under competition laws of Japan, China, the EU, South Korea and Vietnam. The tender offer is expected to start in mid-August.
The offer represents an all-time high and is a knockout bid. While the timing of regulatory approvals is a risk, the transaction is a done deal. 


Alps Logistics (9055 JP): KKR’s Knockout Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY5,774

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jtower-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31042:1" rel="noopener">JTower (4485 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/second-chance-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20342:1" rel="noopener">Second Chance Properties (SCE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/c-i-takiron-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18675:1" rel="noopener">C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), JTower (4485 JP), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Capitol Health (CAJ AU). 

Lowest spreads: Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Descente Ltd (8114 JP), Second Chance Properties (SCE SP), C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Alps Logistics (9055 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (19 Aug) - China TCM, Henlius, Canvest, CPMC, JTower, Fuji Soft PropertyGuru

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weride-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39905:1" rel="noopener">WeRide (WRD US)</a> aims to raise up to US$119 million through a Nasdaq IPO and US$321 million through a concurrent private placement.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jtower-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31042:1" rel="noopener">JTower (4485 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piolax-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7637:1" rel="noopener">Piolax Inc (5988 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: WeRide (WRD US) aims to raise up to US$119 million through a Nasdaq IPO and US$321 million through a concurrent private placement.
Event-Driven developments:China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), JTower (4485 JP), Piolax Inc (5988 JP), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), PropertyGuru (PGRU US). 



Weekly Deals Digest (18 Aug) - JTower, Piolax, Fancl, China TCM, CPMC, PropertyGuru, Orora, WeRide

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a> entered into a definitive merger agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28922:1" rel="noopener">EQT (EQT SS)</a> at US$6.70 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of US$4.41 (21 May).</li>
<li>The shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tpg-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35361:1" rel="noopener">TPG Inc (TPG US)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a>’s support and drag-along rights relating to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a>’s shares.  </li>
<li>This is a clean deal as there is no dissenting condition or requirement for country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of-year payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/6.4%.</li>
</ul>



PropertyGuru (PGRU US) entered into a definitive merger agreement with EQT (EQT SS) at US$6.70 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of US$4.41 (21 May).
The shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) due to TPG Inc (TPG US)/KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)’s support and drag-along rights relating to REA Group Ltd (REA AU)’s shares.  
This is a clean deal as there is no dissenting condition or requirement for country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of-year payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/6.4%.


PropertyGuru (PGRU US): EQT’s US$6.70 Offer Is A Done Deal

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>IPO lock-up expiry of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> results in a forecasted increase in free float to 35% and fcap of $2.9bn for the August 2024 review. </li>
<li>Secondary offering of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> results in a forecasted increase in free float to 60-65% and latest fcap of $3.4bn- $3.7bn for the November 2024 review. </li>
<li>Inclusion will be determined based on fcap against the fcap threshold. Fcap uncertainty for November is largely driven by stock price fluctuations and the Greenshoe Option. </li>
</ul>


IPO lock-up expiry of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) results in a forecasted increase in free float to 35% and fcap of $2.9bn for the August 2024 review. 
Secondary offering of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) results in a forecasted increase in free float to 60-65% and latest fcap of $3.4bn- $3.7bn for the November 2024 review. 
Inclusion will be determined based on fcap against the fcap threshold. Fcap uncertainty for November is largely driven by stock price fluctuations and the Greenshoe Option. 


Kokusai Electric (6525): Global Index Inclusion Highly Dependent on Free Float

United States

KKR & Co. Inc. operates as an investment firm. The Company manages investments such as private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, credit strategies, and hedge funds. KKR & Co serves clients worldwide.

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KKR & Co (KKR US)

Alps Logistics (9055 JP): KKR’s Knockout Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY5,774

The precondition has been satisfied (Vietnam regulatory approval has been waived). The tender period is from 22 Aug to 4 Oct (30 business days),...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (19 Aug) - China TCM, Henlius, Canvest, CPMC, JTower, Fuji Soft PropertyGuru

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (114.4%), JTower (69.0%), China TCM (11.9%), Canvest (10.4%), Capitol (8.5%), Malaysia Airports...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (18 Aug) - JTower, Piolax, Fancl, China TCM, CPMC, PropertyGuru, Orora, WeRide

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (JTower, Piolax, Fancl, China TCM, CPMC, PropertyGuru, Orora) and ECM (WeRide).

Arun George

PropertyGuru (PGRU US): EQT’s US$6.70 Offer Is A Done Deal

This is a clean deal; the vote is done, and there are no dissenting conditions or country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of...

Arun George

Kokusai Electric (6525): Global Index Inclusion Highly Dependent on Free Float

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was added at this August 2024 review. It is estimated that the IPO lock-up expiry resulted in the forecasted increase in...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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