IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> disclosed that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a> consortium withdrew its indicative proposal but remains committed to the alternative proposal, which the Board earlier rejected. </li>
<li>The alternative proposal, while inferior to the indicative proposal, is still attractive and better than the status quo of no deal. The Board will engage for an improved offer. </li>
<li>The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal is possible. The upside (20% to alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to undisturbed price) is worth a punt. </li>
</ul>



Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) disclosed that the KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US) consortium withdrew its indicative proposal but remains committed to the alternative proposal, which the Board earlier rejected. 
The alternative proposal, while inferior to the indicative proposal, is still attractive and better than the status quo of no deal. The Board will engage for an improved offer. 
The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal is possible. The upside (20% to alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to undisturbed price) is worth a punt. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kayak Investments Holding, an affiliate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a>, is planning to raise US$1.18bn from trimming the majority of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The deal is a large one and assuming the upsized option is exercised, the offer size would represent 26.83% of outstanding shares and 414.9 days of three month ADV.</li>
<li>The firm’s financial prospects are decent with analysts in general bullish on the stock. However, the large deal is offered at a tight 0-3.3% discount to last close.</li>
</ul>


Kayak Investments Holding, an affiliate of KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US), is planning to raise US$1.18bn from trimming the majority of its stake in Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN).
The deal is a large one and assuming the upsized option is exercised, the offer size would represent 26.83% of outstanding shares and 414.9 days of three month ADV.
The firm’s financial prospects are decent with analysts in general bullish on the stock. However, the large deal is offered at a tight 0-3.3% discount to last close.


Max Healthcare Placement - Well Flagged but a Large One to Process

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>The highest spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, Link Admin. </li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocoaland-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:493:1" rel="noopener">Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
The highest spreads are 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Link Admin. 
Lowest gross spreads are Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP), Giordano International (709 HK), MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU), Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK), MACA Ltd (MLD AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (01 Aug) - Genex, Yashili, Link Admin, VNET, Ramsay, Alliance Aviation

China Vast Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After a prolonged delay, the Cayman Islands legislative gazette <a href="https://legislation.gov.ky/cms/images/LEGISLATION/AMENDING/2022/2022-0028/CompaniesAmendmentAct2021CommencementOrder2022SL28of2022.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">was published on 29 July</a>, which stated that the amended Cayman Islands Act would come into force on 31 August. </li>
<li>The Act will remove the headcount test for schemes, eliminating a layer of uncertainty for controlling shareholders wishing to privatise listed Cayman-incorporated companies.</li>
<li>In light of this development, we look at current active privatisations, past failed privatisations and rumoured transactions which stand to gain a new lease of life from this Act.</li>
</ul>


After a prolonged delay, the Cayman Islands legislative gazette was published on 29 July, which stated that the amended Cayman Islands Act would come into force on 31 August. 
The Act will remove the headcount test for schemes, eliminating a layer of uncertainty for controlling shareholders wishing to privatise listed Cayman-incorporated companies.
In light of this development, we look at current active privatisations, past failed privatisations and rumoured transactions which stand to gain a new lease of life from this Act.


The Cayman Islands to Remove the Headcount Test on 31 August

<ul>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed to lower its offer from A$5.50 to A$4.30 per share. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> Board will provide shareholders with an update next week.</li>
<li>DND's justification for a lower offer based on the potential undertaking to the ACCC and the current state of the financial markets smacks of opportunism.    </li>
<li>The proposed lower bid offers no premium to our valuation range or the undisturbed price. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead reignite interest from past suitors. </li>
</ul>


Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed to lower its offer from A$5.50 to A$4.30 per share. The Link Administration (LNK AU) Board will provide shareholders with an update next week.
DND's justification for a lower offer based on the potential undertaking to the ACCC and the current state of the financial markets smacks of opportunism.    
The proposed lower bid offers no premium to our valuation range or the undisturbed price. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead reignite interest from past suitors. 


Link’s Lower Offer of A$4.30 from DND Fails to Excite

United States

KKR & Co. Inc. operates as an investment firm. The Company manages investments such as private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, credit strategies, and hedge funds. KKR & Co serves clients worldwide.

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KKR & Co (KKR US)

Ramsay and KKR’s Game of Cat and Mouse

The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal remains possible. The upside (20% to the alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to...

Arun George

Max Healthcare Placement - Well Flagged but a Large One to Process

Kayak Investments Holding, an affiliate of KKR & Co Inc (KKR US), is planning to raise US$1.18bn from trimming the majority of its stake in Max...

Clarence Chu

Merger Arb Mondays (01 Aug) - Genex, Yashili, Link Admin, VNET, Ramsay, Alliance Aviation

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (55.0%), Alliance Aviation (47.5%), ResApp (27.0%), Ramsay (24.7%), Yashili (10.1%), Link Admin...

Arun George

The Cayman Islands to Remove the Headcount Test on 31 August

We expect the removal of the headcount test to stir up activity in privatisations of HKEx-listed Cayman-incorporated companies, especially in light...

Arun George

Link’s Lower Offer of A$4.30 from DND Fails to Excite

DND's lower offer of A$4.30 smacks of opportunism. The Board should reject the lower offer and instead go it alone and reignite interest from past...

Arun George

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