Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.</li>
<li>Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.</li>
</ul>


The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.
Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.


Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD31,784m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Skylark, McDonald's, Taiyo Yuden, Advantest, Nintendo, Japan Tobacco, Pan Pacific International, Tokyo Electron, Monogatari.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD31,784m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Skylark, McDonald's, Taiyo Yuden, Advantest, Nintendo, Japan Tobacco, Pan Pacific International, Tokyo Electron, Monogatari.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 3rd): Kioxia, Skylark, McDonald's, Taiyo Yuden, Advantest, Nintendo

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD32,057m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Fujikura, McDonald's, Skylark, Disco, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec, Japan Tobacco.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD32,057m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Fujikura, McDonald's, Skylark, Disco, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec, Japan Tobacco.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 26th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Fujikura, McDonald's, Disco

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

It has been a while since we updated the "Hated by the Street" screen. So we thought it would be good to see which names made the list. Usually we only screen for names where the % of BUY recommendations to Total is less than 20%. However, 126 names made that list. We therefore further limited the screen by adding % of SELL recommendations greater than 30% of total recommendations. 26 names met both criteria. At the top of the list is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/391" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:391:1">Sharp Corp (6753 JP)</a> with 0 BUY recommendations and 8 SELL…

It has been a while since we updated the "Hated by the Street" screen. So we thought it would be good to see which names made the list. Usually we only screen for names where the % of BUY recommendations to Total is less than 20%. However, 126 names made that list. We therefore further limited the screen by adding % of SELL recommendations greater than 30% of total recommendations. 26 names met both criteria. At the top of the list is Sharp Corp (6753 JP) with 0 BUY recommendations and 8 SELL…

Names that Are Hated and Loved by the Street in Japan....

We recently published a piece looking at Sectors that are highly correlated to TOPIX. In the piece, we highlight the other side. Sectors that are not correlated to TOPIX. Now when we get into the smaller-cap space, the correlations to TOPIX tend to be lower. We therefore limited the universe to names above ¥200bn mkt-cap. Food &amp; Staples Retailing is one of the sectors with a pretty low correlation to TOPIX. While, the two largest names by mkt-cap, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1041" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1">Seven &amp; I Holdings Co Ltd (3382 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1">Aeon Co</a>…

We recently published a piece looking at Sectors that are highly correlated to TOPIX. In the piece, we highlight the other side. Sectors that are not correlated to TOPIX. Now when we get into the smaller-cap space, the correlations to TOPIX tend to be lower. We therefore limited the universe to names above ¥200bn mkt-cap. Food &amp; Staples Retailing is one of the sectors with a pretty low correlation to TOPIX. While, the two largest names by mkt-cap, Seven &amp; I Holdings Co Ltd (3382 JP) and Aeon Co…

Sectors Not Correlated to TOPIX - Retailing, Food & Staples Retailing, and Utilities

Japan

KOBAYASHI PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD. manufactures and wholesales pharmaceuticals and medical equipment.  The Company also develops and manufactures fragrances, deodorant, sanitary products, and ointment for stiff shoulders, as well as exports to Southeast Asia and the US.

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Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co (4967 JP)

Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Commodity prices remain in a secular bull market, and now even gold is joining the rally. This is bullish for global metals/mining stocks (precious...

Vermilion Research

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 3rd): Kioxia, Skylark, McDonald's, Taiyo Yuden, Advantest, Nintendo

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Skylark (3197 JP), McDonald's (2702 JP), Taiyo...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 26th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Fujikura, McDonald's, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Fujikura, McDonald's, Skylark,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Names that Are Hated and Loved by the Street in Japan....

It has been a while since we updated the "Hated by the Street" screen. So we thought it would be good to see which names made the list. Usually we...

Custom Products Group

Sectors Not Correlated to TOPIX - Retailing, Food & Staples Retailing, and Utilities

We recently published a piece looking at Sectors that are highly correlated to TOPIX. In the piece, we highlight the other side. Sectors that are...

Custom Products Group

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)