Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We have also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Non-Technology pockets have done well in recent weeks as Technology has consolidated, and we believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29 can continue to work.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).
We have also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.
Non-Technology pockets have done well in recent weeks as Technology has consolidated, and we believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29 can continue to work.


Technology Is Still in Charge Longer-Term But Rotation Trade Has Legs

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.</li>
<li>It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.</li>
<li>The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.</li>
</ul>


Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.
It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.
The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

<ul>
<li>Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.</li>
<li>A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.</li>
<li>Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.</li>
</ul>


Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.
A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.
Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.


Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

<ul>
<li>Rigaku worth watching as a play on the shift to 2D and more complex transistors requiring X-ray/metrology capabilities.</li>
<li>Photonics names QD Laser, Seiko Giken, Santec and Samco back on the menu for believers in co-packaged optics and photonic-driven AI scale-up.</li>
<li>Japanese space names finally looking more attractive after &gt;50% corrections from recent highs.</li>
</ul>


Rigaku worth watching as a play on the shift to 2D and more complex transistors requiring X-ray/metrology capabilities.
Photonics names QD Laser, Seiko Giken, Santec and Samco back on the menu for believers in co-packaged optics and photonic-driven AI scale-up.
Japanese space names finally looking more attractive after &gt;50% corrections from recent highs.


Japan Morning Connection: Broadening AI Rally Should Increase Photonics and Glass Substrate Focus

<ul>
<li>May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.</li>
<li>Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.</li>
<li>Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.</li>
</ul>


May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.
Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.
Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.


Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Technology Is Still in Charge Longer-Term But Rotation Trade Has Legs

Technology is Still in Charge Longer-Term, But Rotation Trade Has Legs. We believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

Expect a continuation of the shift away from frontline AI plays. Interest in physical AI FA plays may see an increase as alternative exposure to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

Japanese SPEs may give back some recent gains on Meta's cloud move, though dips could offer opportunity. Space and software names may benefit from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Broadening AI Rally Should Increase Photonics and Glass Substrate Focus

Japanese SPEs continue to benefit from Korean tailwinds while photonics and glass substrate names should be increasingly back on the menu as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japanese SPEs with memory exposure set for a quarter-end rally. Furukawa and SEI in focus after Corning's breakout. Telcos face headwinds from new...

Andrew Jackson

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