Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.</li>
<li>Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.</li>
<li>A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.</li>
</ul>


Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.
Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.
A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.


Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

<ul>
<li>Kokusai +25% last week and JX Metals +25.6% likely reversal targets at the open.</li>
<li>TeraDrone is pivoting from industrial drones to defense after consolidating two Ukrainian combat drone companies, an interesting thematic to get behind.</li>
<li>Astroscale continued to drop -8.6% yesterday after its earnings showed increasing losses but still an interesting name given its focus on space-junk removal and orbital services.</li>
</ul>


Kokusai +25% last week and JX Metals +25.6% likely reversal targets at the open.
TeraDrone is pivoting from industrial drones to defense after consolidating two Ukrainian combat drone companies, an interesting thematic to get behind.
Astroscale continued to drop -8.6% yesterday after its earnings showed increasing losses but still an interesting name given its focus on space-junk removal and orbital services.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Names Set to Slide Following SOX's Skittish Retreat from Highs

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Remain overweight Technology, our primary focus every single week since April 16. It's getting hard to find names near buy points. Elsewhere, we highlight opportunities within Discretionary, Industrials, and Transportation</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).
We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.
Remain overweight Technology, our primary focus every single week since April 16. It's getting hard to find names near buy points. Elsewhere, we highlight opportunities within Discretionary, Industrials, and Transportation


Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on ACWI-US; Crude Oil Top in Place

<ul>
<li>Kioxia set for a big open after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday with comment from UBS turning memory sentiment decisively bullish.</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s numbers yesterday should be a shot across the bow for smartphone related names. MLCC makers Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK looking increasingly stretched with big exposure to the market.</li>
<li>Software rotation bid evaporates as AI surges. Expect an underperformance today.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia set for a big open after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday with comment from UBS turning memory sentiment decisively bullish.
Xiaomi’s numbers yesterday should be a shot across the bow for smartphone related names. MLCC makers Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK looking increasingly stretched with big exposure to the market.
Software rotation bid evaporates as AI surges. Expect an underperformance today.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Set for a Big Open as Memory Surges to New Records

<ul>
<li>Kioxia smashes estimates with all 2026 NAND capacity already sold out and US ADR listing announced.</li>
<li>Software catches a defensive bid with NEC and Fujitsu set to outperform.</li>
<li>Space names Synspective and Axelspace yet to catch a bid and offering attractive entry points ahead of upcoming hype.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia smashes estimates with all 2026 NAND capacity already sold out and US ADR listing announced.
Software catches a defensive bid with NEC and Fujitsu set to outperform.
Space names Synspective and Axelspace yet to catch a bid and offering attractive entry points ahead of upcoming hype.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia's Blowout Numbers A Bright Spot Amidst Tech Pullback

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japanese SPEs have room to run as AI rally yet to be fully priced in, with relative s/t laggards including Lasertec, TEL and Resonac.

Andrew Jackson

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on ACWI-US; Crude Oil Top in Place

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on $ACWI; Crude Oil $USO Top in Place; Actionable Themes: Technology, Discretionary, Industrials,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Set for a Big Open as Memory Surges to New Records

Memory sentiment bullish after UBS comment, setting up a big open for Kioxia after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday. Semi names offer buying...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia's Blowout Numbers A Bright Spot Amidst Tech Pullback

Worth watching Olympus for a rotation into good stories outside of AI. Sumitomo Forestry's recent mega-acquisition of Tri-Pointe homes look...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japanese SPEs have room to run as AI rally yet to be fully priced in, with relative s/t laggards including Lasertec, TEL and Resonac.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Names Set to Slide Following SOX's Skittish Retreat from Highs

AI trade cracks under its own weight but big dips likely buying opportunities. Kokusai and JX Metals likely reversal targets.

Andrew Jackson

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on ACWI-US; Crude Oil Top in Place

Lockout Rally Continues; Yet Another Bullish Gap on $ACWI; Crude Oil $USO Top in Place; Actionable Themes: Technology, Discretionary, Industrials,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Set for a Big Open as Memory Surges to New Records

Memory sentiment bullish after UBS comment, setting up a big open for Kioxia after a brief -4.6% correction yesterday. Semi names offer buying...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia's Blowout Numbers A Bright Spot Amidst Tech Pullback

Worth watching Olympus for a rotation into good stories outside of AI. Sumitomo Forestry's recent mega-acquisition of Tri-Pointe homes look...

Andrew Jackson