Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Equities down again as Bostic, Kaskari call for higher rates; US10 Yr touches 4%; China Drives Energy and Materials Bid; Awaiting TESLA IR Day (as we write)</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2 flat; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery;  JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to US</li>
<li>NUGGET.  As Tesla's Investor day in Focus;  Time to Refocus on their premier US battery supplier Panasonic, and the MASSIVE impact that IRA will have on earnings</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Equities down again as Bostic, Kaskari call for higher rates; US10 Yr touches 4%; China Drives Energy and Materials Bid; Awaiting TESLA IR Day (as we write)
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2 flat; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery;  JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to US
NUGGET.  As Tesla's Investor day in Focus;  Time to Refocus on their premier US battery supplier Panasonic, and the MASSIVE impact that IRA will have on earnings


Good Morning Japan |Down as Fed Hawks Soar; China Drives Resources; Tesla IR Day; NUGGET: Panasonic

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX  stays positive; Energy leads as Russia cuts oil production; CPI print in focus - as market looks for Fed Pause clues; TEREX - solid print/outlook..what Recession?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Fut -0.3% vs Cash;  USDJPY 131.36; Shock at Professor Ueda as BOJ Gov; Yen rallies then weakens post his Presser;  Govt to guarantee 15% margins for Defense suppliers?</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Fun take - ChatGPT on BOJ Governor to be Kazuo Ueda.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX  stays positive; Energy leads as Russia cuts oil production; CPI print in focus - as market looks for Fed Pause clues; TEREX - solid print/outlook..what Recession?
JAPAN. NKY Fut -0.3% vs Cash;  USDJPY 131.36; Shock at Professor Ueda as BOJ Gov; Yen rallies then weakens post his Presser;  Govt to guarantee 15% margins for Defense suppliers?
DAILY NUGGET. Fun take - ChatGPT on BOJ Governor to be Kazuo Ueda.


Good Morning Japan |SPX Hangs on Ahead of Key CPI Print; BOJ Gov Candidate Shocker->ChatGPT's View

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX makes  up for yesterday's loss and more; Markets look past Fed and focus on earnings recovery;  Its all about the Pause;   GM Beats but CAT misses; Awaiting AAPL</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11; Labor Shortages worsening (again), Firms desperate;  BYD seeks to Capture JP EV Market;   Komatsu Beats; Lasertec Misses. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. 6h 37m: The Average Time Spent Using the Internet.  Japan the outlier..for the better ?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX makes  up for yesterday's loss and more; Markets look past Fed and focus on earnings recovery;  Its all about the Pause;   GM Beats but CAT misses; Awaiting AAPL
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11; Labor Shortages worsening (again), Firms desperate;  BYD seeks to Capture JP EV Market;   Komatsu Beats; Lasertec Misses. 
DAILY NUGGETS. 6h 37m: The Average Time Spent Using the Internet.  Japan the outlier..for the better ?


Good Morning Japan |Fed Hike, Powell Speech ? Equities Beyond as Optimism Abounds,from Spotify to GM

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Komatsu Q3 operating profit rose 54% YoY, beating analyst estimates by around 12%</li>
<li>Construction and Mining Equipment sales rose 31% in the quarter, or ~10% on a constant currency basis versus industry volume of -6%</li>
<li>Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x</li>
</ul>


Komatsu Q3 operating profit rose 54% YoY, beating analyst estimates by around 12%
Construction and Mining Equipment sales rose 31% in the quarter, or ~10% on a constant currency basis versus industry volume of -6%
Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x


Komatsu (6301) | Plenty of Gas in the Tank

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices</li>
<li>DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; 
JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices
DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

Japan

KOMATSU LTD. manufactures and sells construction and mining machinery, including excavators, bulldozers, and wheel loaders.  The Company, operating on a global scale, also produces forklift trucks and engineering equipment such as press system.

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Komatsu Ltd (6301 JP)

Good Morning Japan |Down as Fed Hawks Soar; China Drives Resources; Tesla IR Day; NUGGET: Panasonic

US down again as US10 Yield touch 4%; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery; JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |SPX Hangs on Ahead of Key CPI Print; BOJ Gov Candidate Shocker->ChatGPT's View

US CPI in focus; BOJ Surprise Nominee - do not expect anything revolutonary. After Gov designate Ueda's news conference on Friday, that market has...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Fed Hike, Powell Speech ? Equities Beyond as Optimism Abounds,from Spotify to GM

JAPAN WRAP. NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11. Set for a decent day after the Beta-driven rally in the US. Still, it won't be all green on the...

Mark Chadwick

Komatsu (6301) | Plenty of Gas in the Tank

We remain bullish on Komatsu. Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.; Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes...

Mark Chadwick

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