SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>As we move into this reporting season, 32 S-Reits and property trusts have released dates of their financial results or business updates for their respective periods ended Mar 31, 2023.</li><li>Of the 32 trusts, four have already released business updates for Q1 2023 – Keppel Reit, Keppel DC Reit, Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit, and Sabana Industrial Reit.</li><li>Keppel Reit reported Q1 2023 net property income was 3 per cent higher year on year (yoy) due to higher rentals achieved on leases committed in 2022 and higher portfolio occupancy of 96.3 per cent (versus 95.1 per cent for the same period last year).</li></ul>

As we move into this reporting season, 32 S-Reits and property trusts have released dates of their financial results or business updates for their respective periods ended Mar 31, 2023.Of the 32 trusts, four have already released business updates for Q1 2023 – Keppel Reit, Keppel DC Reit, Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit, and Sabana Industrial Reit.Keppel Reit reported Q1 2023 net property income was 3 per cent higher year on year (yoy) due to higher rentals achieved on leases committed in 2022 and higher portfolio occupancy of 96.3 per cent (versus 95.1 per cent for the same period last year).

REIT Watch - 32 S-REITs release schedule for this reporting season

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> shareholders voted overwhelmingly for the merger between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine. The transaction is expected to close by 28 February.  </li>
<li>The divestment of Keppel O&amp;M will further move <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit its 15% ROE target.</li>
<li>Pre-Dividend in specie distribution, our Keppel SoTP valuation based on Sembcorp Marine’s reference issue price (S$0.122) and last close (S$0.136) is S$8.49 and S$8.72 per share, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shareholders voted overwhelmingly for the merger between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine. The transaction is expected to close by 28 February.  
The divestment of Keppel O&amp;M will further move Keppel Corp (KEP SP) towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit its 15% ROE target.
Pre-Dividend in specie distribution, our Keppel SoTP valuation based on Sembcorp Marine’s reference issue price (S$0.122) and last close (S$0.136) is S$8.49 and S$8.72 per share, respectively. 


Keppel (KEP SP): Keppel O&M/Sembcorp Marine Transaction Moves Towards Completion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “<em>not prejudicial</em>” to minorities.</li>
<li>Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). </li>
<li>The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.</li>
</ul>



Keppel Corp (KEP SP)’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “not prejudicial” to minorities.
Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). 
The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.


Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

<ul><li>REIT Watch - S-Reits rebound amid less hawkish rates expectations The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index gained close to 4 per cent last week while Singapore’s iEdge S-Reit Index booked its strongest week this year with 6 per cent returns.</li><li>Outperforming S-Reits for the week include Manulife US Reit, Keppel DC Reit, Aims Apac Reit, Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit, and CDL Hospitality Trusts.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - S-Reits rebound amid less hawkish rates expectations The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index gained close to 4 per cent last week while Singapore’s iEdge S-Reit Index booked its strongest week this year with 6 per cent returns.Outperforming S-Reits for the week include Manulife US Reit, Keppel DC Reit, Aims Apac Reit, Keppel Pacific Oak US Reit, and CDL Hospitality Trusts.

REIT Watch - S-REITs rebound amidst less hawkish rates expectations

<ul>
<li>The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> was revised from 56%:44% to 54%:46%. </li>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> shareholders, the revised terms will lower the overall value but in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS accretion and higher in-specie distribution of SMM shares.</li>
<li>The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our revised Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.17 per share, which is 23% above the last close.</li>
</ul>


The agreed equity value exchange ratio between Keppel O&amp;M and Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) was revised from 56%:44% to 54%:46%. 
For Keppel Corp (KEP SP) shareholders, the revised terms will lower the overall value but in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS accretion and higher in-specie distribution of SMM shares.
The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our revised Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.17 per share, which is 23% above the last close.


Keppel: Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Revised Terms

Singapore

KORE US REIT is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of income-producing commercial assets and real estate-related assets across key growth markets in the United States. Its portfolio primarily consists of freehold office buildings and business campuses, focusing on the technology, advertising, media, and information (TAMI), as well as medical and healthcare sectors. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was incorporated in 2017.

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KORE US (KORE SP)

REIT Watch - 32 S-REITs release schedule for this reporting season

As we move into this reporting season, 32 S-Reits and property trusts have released dates of their financial results or business updates for their...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Keppel (KEP SP): Keppel O&M/Sembcorp Marine Transaction Moves Towards Completion

The divestment of Keppel O&M will further move Keppel towards a more asset-light and recurring earnings model, providing a helpful tailwind to hit...

Arun George

Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

The transaction is a win-win for both sets of shareholders. The vote requires majority shareholder approval. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30...

Arun George

REIT Watch - S-REITs rebound amidst less hawkish rates expectations

REIT Watch - S-Reits rebound amid less hawkish rates expectations The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index gained close to 4 per cent last week while...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Keppel: Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine’s Revised Terms

Revised terms are an acceptable compromise for KEP shareholders - lower the overall value but result in a shorter deal completion, higher EPS...

Arun George

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