CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 188% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 68%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 188% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 68%


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 21 February, it was announced that the long awaited amendment to the Export-Import Bank Act was passed by the Korean National Assembly. </li>
<li>As a result of this passage, the capital limit of the Export-Import Bank of Korea will be raised from the current 10 trillion won to 25 trillion won. </li>
<li>The revision of this law is expected to benefit major defense companies in Korea including Hyundai Rotem, Hanwha Aerospace, LIG Nex1, and Korea Aerospace Industries.</li>
</ul>


On 21 February, it was announced that the long awaited amendment to the Export-Import Bank Act was passed by the Korean National Assembly. 
As a result of this passage, the capital limit of the Export-Import Bank of Korea will be raised from the current 10 trillion won to 25 trillion won. 
The revision of this law is expected to benefit major defense companies in Korea including Hyundai Rotem, Hanwha Aerospace, LIG Nex1, and Korea Aerospace Industries.


Hyundai Rotem: Passage of Export-Import Bank Act To Support Korean Defense Companies

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, there have been numerous local news about a substantial defense cooperation between Saudi Arabia and South Korea. </li>
<li>This could result in billions of dollars in new military/defense related systems new orders for numerous companies in Korea in the coming decade. </li>
<li>If there are major long-term arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, it could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including Hanwha Aerospace and Korea Aerospace Industries. </li>
</ul>


In the past several days, there have been numerous local news about a substantial defense cooperation between Saudi Arabia and South Korea. 
This could result in billions of dollars in new military/defense related systems new orders for numerous companies in Korea in the coming decade. 
If there are major long-term arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, it could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including Hanwha Aerospace and Korea Aerospace Industries. 


A Major Defense Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and South Korea Likely

South Korea

Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. designs and produces aircraft parts including fixed wings for aircrafts and rotary wings for helicopters. The Company also engages in aircraft upgrade and modification business and satellite development business.

Korea Aerospace Industries (047810 KS)

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 44

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Hyundai Rotem: Passage of Export-Import Bank Act To Support Korean Defense Companies

It was announced today that the long awaited amendment to the Export-Import Bank Act was passed by the Korean National Assembly. This is likely to...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Major Defense Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and South Korea Likely

There is likely to be a major arms deal between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, which could benefit the top defense companies in Korea including...

Douglas Kim