Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> should be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aekyung-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20295:1" rel="noopener">Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS)</a> is a potential addition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.</li>
</ul>


Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.

Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) should be deleted from the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.

Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS) is a potential addition to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.


KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended yesterday, the changes will be announced early March and implemented at the close of trading on 14 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. There could be two changes for the BBIG Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> is up 65.5% in the last month and we'd look to lighten positions on this move higher.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended yesterday, the changes will be announced early March and implemented at the close of trading on 14 March.
We forecast one change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. There could be two changes for the BBIG Index.

Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) is up 65.5% in the last month and we'd look to lighten positions on this move higher.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

<ul>
<li>There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.</li>
<li>There could be buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL</a> while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pearl-abyss-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24391:1" rel="noopener">Pearl Abyss</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/f-f-co-ltd-new" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33479:1" rel="noopener">F&amp;F</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-mipo-dockyard" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mipo Dockyard</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanon-systems" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11506:1" rel="noopener">Hanon Systems</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a> could be sold.</li>
<li>There will be a lot of flow on the stocks and passive trackers will need to trade over 7 days of ADV in most stocks.</li>
</ul>


There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.
There could be buying in EcoPro Materials and Hanjin KAL while Hotel Shilla, Pearl Abyss, F&amp;F, Hyundai Mipo Dockyard, Hanon Systems and Jyp Entertainment could be sold.
There will be a lot of flow on the stocks and passive trackers will need to trade over 7 days of ADV in most stocks.


Korea: Stocks with Near-Term Potential Passive Flows

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> closed the last week up, after 3 weeks down in a row (CC=-3).</li>
<li>The index could pullback again this week, after last week's bounce, support is around 332-325 or, if the market goes lower, around the 313 price area. </li>
<li>Most likely the pullback will last only for 1-2 weeks (if any), but caution is advised: a longer pullback that could reach below 313 is not impossible.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX closed the last week up, after 3 weeks down in a row (CC=-3).
The index could pullback again this week, after last week's bounce, support is around 332-325 or, if the market goes lower, around the 313 price area. 
Most likely the pullback will last only for 1-2 weeks (if any), but caution is advised: a longer pullback that could reach below 313 is not impossible.


<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.</li>
<li>The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.</li>
<li>There have been huge inflows into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY family of indices, Nikkei 225, STAR50, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.
The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.
There have been huge inflows into the CSI 300 Index ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

HahnCo is looking to take SsangyongCE private. That will open up an index spot in the KOSPI200. AekyungChemical could be added to the index in...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

There should be 1 change for each of the Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices plus 2 changes for the BBIG Index. Douzone Bizon is repeating what...

Brian Freitas

Korea: Stocks with Near-Term Potential Passive Flows

There are 8 Korean stocks that could see trading activity from global passive trackers in the next few weeks. EcoPro Materials and Hanjin Kal could...

Brian Freitas

EQD | The KOSPI 200 Could Go Lower

The KOSPI 200 INDEX ended last week up after 3 consecutive weeks down. It could pullback again this week, support levels are at 332-325 or...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

HahnCo is looking to take SsangyongCE private. That will open up an index spot in the KOSPI200. AekyungChemical could be added to the index in...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

There should be 1 change for each of the Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices plus 2 changes for the BBIG Index. Douzone Bizon is repeating what...

Brian Freitas

Korea: Stocks with Near-Term Potential Passive Flows

There are 8 Korean stocks that could see trading activity from global passive trackers in the next few weeks. EcoPro Materials and Hanjin Kal could...

Brian Freitas

EQD | The KOSPI 200 Could Go Lower

​The KOSPI 200 INDEX ended last week up after 3 consecutive weeks down. It could pullback again this week, support levels are at 332-325 or...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

The KOSPI 200 INDEX ended last week up after 3 consecutive weeks down. It could pullback again this week, support levels are at 332-325 or...