Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>KRX-Listed 2x daily leveraged ETFs on SK hynix have been hit by mean-reverting volatility, with the leverage index down sharply month-to-date.</li>
<li>
Assets under management have come under pressure in July, but large inflows have softened the impact of negative price performance.</li>
<li>
ETF inflows remain meaningful relative to underlying liquidity, but on sharp down days they can be more than offset by daily rebalancing sales.</li>
</ul>


KRX-Listed 2x daily leveraged ETFs on SK hynix have been hit by mean-reverting volatility, with the leverage index down sharply month-to-date.

Assets under management have come under pressure in July, but large inflows have softened the impact of negative price performance.

ETF inflows remain meaningful relative to underlying liquidity, but on sharp down days they can be more than offset by daily rebalancing sales.


SK Hynix (000660 KS): Investors Buy Leveraged ETFs Into Sharp Selloff

<ul>
<li>KRX-Listed 2x daily leveraged ETFs on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> have suffered from volatile mean-reverting moves, with the leverage index down sharply since launch.</li>
<li>
AUM is starting to feel the pressure, declining in the first half of July after peaking on 25 June, while several consecutive days of outflows suggest investor demand has weakened.</li>
<li>
ETF flows remain relevant for underlying liquidity, while the inverse 2x product has gained AUM in July as Samsung Elec declined, highlighting a shift toward downside exposure.</li>
</ul>


KRX-Listed 2x daily leveraged ETFs on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) have suffered from volatile mean-reverting moves, with the leverage index down sharply since launch.

AUM is starting to feel the pressure, declining in the first half of July after peaking on 25 June, while several consecutive days of outflows suggest investor demand has weakened.

ETF flows remain relevant for underlying liquidity, while the inverse 2x product has gained AUM in July as Samsung Elec declined, highlighting a shift toward downside exposure.


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): Leveraged ETF AUM Comes Under Pressure

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Cross Asset Strategy

Recent indications of a weaker USD and the relative / renewed stability in many Equity Indices seem to provide an opportunity in South Korea's Kospi IndexIf the signs of USD weakness are correct in a generally low volatile environment, South Korea's Won starts to look attractive. Furthermore the Kospi Index itself looks more stable after testing decent levels around 3,050.Combining this, there is a clear range on the Kospi in USD terms which now gives the indication of a turn back up from the base of the year's range and points tothe possibility of a rally to the tune of some 8%

Recent indications of a weaker USD and the relative / renewed stability in many Equity Indices seem to provide an opportunity in South Korea's Kospi IndexIf the signs of USD weakness are correct in a generally low volatile environment, South Korea's Won starts to look attractive. Furthermore the Kospi Index itself looks more stable after testing decent levels around 3,050.Combining this, there is a clear range on the Kospi in USD terms which now gives the indication of a turn back up from the base of the year's range and points tothe possibility of a rally to the tune of some 8%

While the Kospi Index is only marginally below the trend highs, the developments on JPYKRW warn of something more serious ahead. A breach of 10.43 on JPYKRW and 3,205 on the Kospi Index, if and when both seen, would be important developments.

While the Kospi Index is only marginally below the trend highs, the developments on JPYKRW warn of something more serious ahead. A breach of 10.43 on JPYKRW and 3,205 on the Kospi Index, if and when both seen, would be important developments.

Kospi Index - Emerging Concerns Beneath the Surface

South Korea

The KOSPI Index is a capitalization-weighted index of all common shares on the Korean Stock Exchanges. The Index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1980. Note: The preferred shares are excluded in calculating the KOSPI Index from June 14, 2002. 

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

SK Hynix (000660 KS): Investors Buy Leveraged ETFs Into Sharp Selloff

SK hynix leveraged ETFs face July AUM pressure, but large inflows and rebalancing sales reveal a more nuanced demand and liquidity picture.

Gaudenz Schneider

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): Leveraged ETF AUM Comes Under Pressure

Samsung Electronics’ leveraged ETF AUM is coming under pressure as volatility bites, outflows emerge, and inverse exposure gains traction.

Gaudenz Schneider

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

Kospi Index Opportunities

The Kospi Index when measured in USD terms is looking increasingly attractive as equity markets stabilise and the USD looks more vulnerable

Shyam Devani

Kospi Index - Emerging Concerns Beneath the Surface

Is the FX market giving more potent signs for South Korea? A breach of 10.43 on JPYKRW and 3,205 on the Kospi Index, if and when both seen, would...

Shyam Devani