Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>3Q25 marks a clear earnings inflection, with record revenue, strong EBITDA growth, and underlying net profit above ₩250 bn after adjusting for one-off derivative losses.</li>
<li>TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength drive upgrades, lifting FY25–27 EBITDA/EPS by 8–20% and establishing a higher structural margin base.</li>
<li>Overnance resolution and treasury cancellations offer re-rating potential, with a target price of ₩1.52 mn implying ~27% upside.</li>
</ul>


3Q25 marks a clear earnings inflection, with record revenue, strong EBITDA growth, and underlying net profit above ₩250 bn after adjusting for one-off derivative losses.
TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength drive upgrades, lifting FY25–27 EBITDA/EPS by 8–20% and establishing a higher structural margin base.
Overnance resolution and treasury cancellations offer re-rating potential, with a target price of ₩1.52 mn implying ~27% upside.


Korea Zinc – 3Q25 Review, TC/RC Upcycle, Rare-Metals Leverage & Governance Outlook

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MBK Partners acquired an additional 2.7% stake in Korea Zinc raising its total ownership to 39.7%. This is likely to fuel additional positive share price momentum on Korea Zinc.</li>
<li>This is likely to rekindle a potential M&amp;A fight for the management control of the company. </li>
<li>This additional additional purchase of Korea Zinc by MBK Partners is a signal, not noise. Another M&amp;A fight is likely in the next AGM in March 2026. </li>
</ul>


MBK Partners acquired an additional 2.7% stake in Korea Zinc raising its total ownership to 39.7%. This is likely to fuel additional positive share price momentum on Korea Zinc.
This is likely to rekindle a potential M&amp;A fight for the management control of the company. 
This additional additional purchase of Korea Zinc by MBK Partners is a signal, not noise. Another M&amp;A fight is likely in the next AGM in March 2026. 


MBK Partners: Acquires Additional 2.7% Stake in Korea Zinc - Another M&A Fight in March 2026?

<ul>
<li>Recent News: CZSPT’s Sep 9 guidance points to imported zinc concentrate treatment charges of US$120-140/dmt for Q4, and Bloomberg confirms Chinese smelters are tightening terms.</li>
<li>Impact: This rebound in TC/RC levels should lift Korea Zinc’s EBITDA by approximately US$100-135 million, representing a ~5-7% earnings upside over current troughs.</li>
<li>Valuation: On normalized earnings, Korea Zinc could re-rate to 8–9× EV/EBITDA. At $120–150/dmt TCs, this points to ~20–50% upside, with further headroom if multiples expand alongside earnings recovery.</li>
</ul>


Recent News: CZSPT’s Sep 9 guidance points to imported zinc concentrate treatment charges of US$120-140/dmt for Q4, and Bloomberg confirms Chinese smelters are tightening terms.
Impact: This rebound in TC/RC levels should lift Korea Zinc’s EBITDA by approximately US$100-135 million, representing a ~5-7% earnings upside over current troughs.
Valuation: On normalized earnings, Korea Zinc could re-rate to 8–9× EV/EBITDA. At $120–150/dmt TCs, this points to ~20–50% upside, with further headroom if multiples expand alongside earnings recovery.


Korea Zinc (010130 KS): TC/RC Recovery Sets Stage for Earnings Re-Rating

<ul>
<li>Korea Zinc (010130 KS) is the world’s largest merchant zinc smelter, with growing exposure to high-margin rare metals (Sb/In/Bi).</li>
<li>Management is executing the “Troika Drive” strategy—expanding copper and nickel sulfate capacity while scaling strategic minerals and recycling.</li>
<li>Stock trades at ~5x 2027E earnings and ~4.7x EV/EBITDA, a clear discount to peers, key risks remain rare metal price volatility, zinc TC/RC recovery timing</li>
</ul>


Korea Zinc (010130 KS) is the world’s largest merchant zinc smelter, with growing exposure to high-margin rare metals (Sb/In/Bi).
Management is executing the “Troika Drive” strategy—expanding copper and nickel sulfate capacity while scaling strategic minerals and recycling.
Stock trades at ~5x 2027E earnings and ~4.7x EV/EBITDA, a clear discount to peers, key risks remain rare metal price volatility, zinc TC/RC recovery timing


Korea Zinc (010130 KS) – Rare Metals Rerating + TC/RC Recovery = Deep Value Setup

<ul>
<li>Korea Zinc (010130 KS)'s chairman Choi Yoon-Beom announced that the company will cancel all 2.04 million treasury shares that the company acquired through a tender offer last year.</li>
<li>Now the company has finally decided to cancel all of the treasury shares this year, this should have a positive impact on its share price.</li>
<li>Korea Zinc announced better than expected earnings in 1Q25. Korea Zinc achieved more than 3.5-fold increase in sales in the strategic minerals sector, including antimony, indium, and bismuth in 1Q25.</li>
</ul>


Korea Zinc (010130 KS)'s chairman Choi Yoon-Beom announced that the company will cancel all 2.04 million treasury shares that the company acquired through a tender offer last year.
Now the company has finally decided to cancel all of the treasury shares this year, this should have a positive impact on its share price.
Korea Zinc announced better than expected earnings in 1Q25. Korea Zinc achieved more than 3.5-fold increase in sales in the strategic minerals sector, including antimony, indium, and bismuth in 1Q25.


Korea Zinc Announces Cancellation of Its Treasury Shares

South Korea

Korea Zinc Co., Ltd. specializes in non-ferrous metal smelting industry.  The Company manufactures zinc ingots, electrolytic gold, silver, lead, sulfuric acid, and copper.  Korea Zinc provides its products to domestic and overseas markets.

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Korea Zinc (010130 KS)

Korea Zinc – 3Q25 Review, TC/RC Upcycle, Rare-Metals Leverage & Governance Outlook

3Q25 shows strong earnings growth with record revenue and net profit above ₩250 bn, driven by TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength, leading to...

Rahul Jain

MBK Partners: Acquires Additional 2.7% Stake in Korea Zinc - Another M&A Fight in March 2026?

MBK Partners acquired an additional 2.7% stake in Korea Zinc raising its total ownership to 39.7%. Another M&A fight is likely in the next AGM in...

Douglas Kim