External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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<ul><li>Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank’s (KMB) Q1FY26 earnings missed estimates on the back of higher-than-expected NIM compression and elevated credit costs emerging from unsecured and retail CV segments</li><li>Healthy loan growth (+14% YoY/+4% QoQ) was driven by secured businesses</li><li>Deposit growth (+14% YoY/+2% QoQ) hugged loan growth, as CASA ratio clocked in at 40.9% (-209bps QoQ) on the back of de-growth in floating SA balances and continued traction in TD sweeps (+22% YoY)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank’s (KMB) Q1FY26 earnings missed estimates on the back of higher-than-expected NIM compression and elevated credit costs emerging from unsecured and retail CV segmentsHealthy loan growth (+14% YoY/+4% QoQ) was driven by secured businessesDeposit growth (+14% YoY/+2% QoQ) hugged loan growth, as CASA ratio clocked in at 40.9% (-209bps QoQ) on the back of de-growth in floating SA balances and continued traction in TD sweeps (+22% YoY)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Sobha

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<ul>
<li>The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. </li>
<li>This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.</li>
<li>Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.</li>
</ul>


The 100bp rate cut cycle is transmitting unevenly, with Private Banks raising loan spreads to 415bp while PSBs cut more sharply, compressing margins. 
This divergence is reshaping profitability, with NIMs under pressure through Q2–Q3 FY26 and relief delayed by slow deposit rate repricing.
Margin recovery now hinges on H2FY26 onwards, aided by CRR liquidity, easing funding costs, and credit cost normalization.


Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.</li><li>This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.</li><li>We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to &lt;10%.This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.We expect the bank under our coverage to deliver ~11% YoY credit growth, marginally ahead of industry growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

<ul>
<li>The banking sector will likely see earnings growth bottom out in FY26, with the second half potentially performing better than the first half as deposit rate reductions eventually flow through.</li>
<li>This divergence between declining lending rates and sticky deposit costs is the core driver of NIM compression.</li>
<li>This monetary easing is expected to exert downward pressure on banks' lending yields, impacting NIMs, particularly in the first half of fiscal year 2026 (1HFY26). </li>
</ul>


The banking sector will likely see earnings growth bottom out in FY26, with the second half potentially performing better than the first half as deposit rate reductions eventually flow through.
This divergence between declining lending rates and sticky deposit costs is the core driver of NIM compression.
This monetary easing is expected to exert downward pressure on banks' lending yields, impacting NIMs, particularly in the first half of fiscal year 2026 (1HFY26). 


Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

<ul><li>State Bank of India: SBIN’s earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated opex (INR 16bn) towards performance-linked incentives, partly offset by strong treasury/MTM gains and revaluation of SRs (INR39bn)</li><li>Loan growth (+12% YoY) disappointed owing to lower growth in the corporate book due to higher repayments from PSU exposures</li><li>Deposit growth (+9% YoY, +2.9% QoQ) was soft as CASA ratio improved to 38.4% (+84bps QoQ), aided by seasonality in CA balances</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

State Bank of India: SBIN’s earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated opex (INR 16bn) towards performance-linked incentives, partly offset by strong treasury/MTM gains and revaluation of SRs (INR39bn)Loan growth (+12% YoY) disappointed owing to lower growth in the corporate book due to higher repayments from PSU exposuresDeposit growth (+9% YoY, +2.9% QoQ) was soft as CASA ratio improved to 38.4% (+84bps QoQ), aided by seasonality in CA balancesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Avenue Supermarts...

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank is an Indian banking and financial services company that offers a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers. These services include personal finance, investment banking, life insurance, wealth management, consumer banking, commercial banking, and treasury operations. The company provides deposit accounts, various loans, credit and debit cards, mutual funds, and insurance plans. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was founded in 1985 as Kotak Mahindra Finance Limited and received its banking license in 2003.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Sobha

Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank’s (KMB) Q1FY26 earnings missed estimates on the back of higher-than-expected NIM compression

HDFC Securities

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Avenue Supermarts...

SBIN’s earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated opex (INR 16bn) towards performance-linked incentives, partly offset by strong treasury...

HDFC Securities

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HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Sobha

Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank’s (KMB) Q1FY26 earnings missed estimates on the back of higher-than-expected NIM compression

HDFC Securities

Bank Margins Under Pressure: Navigating the Rate Cut Ripple

​Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The systemic credit growth (as of 13th June, 2025) has derailed to <10%. This can be attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans...

Axis Direct

Impact of Rate Cut on Indian Banking Sector: NIMs & Earnings to Contract Further Amid Slowdown

​Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Avenue Supermarts...

SBIN’s earnings missed our estimates on account of elevated opex (INR 16bn) towards performance-linked incentives, partly offset by strong treasury...

HDFC Securities

Private Banks raise loan spreads while PSBs cut more, reshaping profitability and compressing margins, with margin recovery expected in H2FY26.

Banking sector earnings growth expected to improve in FY26 as deposit rate reductions flow through, but NIM compression likely due to declining...