Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

Hitachi Construction Machinery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>The DGGI arrested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fino-payments-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35042:1" rel="noopener">Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN)</a> CEO Rishi Gupta, linked with an alleged INR 30 bn GST evasion involving shell entities linked to banned online gaming platforms.</li>
<li>Fino maintains the investigation pertains solely to third-party programme managers and merchants, asserting no operational or GST compliance lapses and expecting no financial liability.</li>
<li>While the bank maintains conversion timelines remain intact, the episode may bring it strong regulatory headwinds from the RBI, potentially delaying the conversion to Small Finance Bank.</li>
</ul>


The DGGI arrested Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN) CEO Rishi Gupta, linked with an alleged INR 30 bn GST evasion involving shell entities linked to banned online gaming platforms.
Fino maintains the investigation pertains solely to third-party programme managers and merchants, asserting no operational or GST compliance lapses and expecting no financial liability.
While the bank maintains conversion timelines remain intact, the episode may bring it strong regulatory headwinds from the RBI, potentially delaying the conversion to Small Finance Bank.


Fino Payments Bank- SFB Dream Faces a Speed Breaker?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, Hindustan Petroleum, Adani Enterprises, GMR Airports.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, Hindustan Petroleum, Adani Enterprises, GMR Airports.


MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank is an Indian banking and financial services company that offers a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers. These services include personal finance, investment banking, life insurance, wealth management, consumer banking, commercial banking, and treasury operations. The company provides deposit accounts, various loans, credit and debit cards, mutual funds, and insurance plans. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was founded in 1985 as Kotak Mahindra Finance Limited and received its banking license in 2003.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Fino Payments Bank- SFB Dream Faces a Speed Breaker?

DGGI arrests Fino's CEO for alleged INR 30 bn GST evasion linked to banned online gaming platforms, bank denies operational lapses but may face...

Nitin Mangal

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

​Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Fino Payments Bank- SFB Dream Faces a Speed Breaker?

​DGGI arrests Fino's CEO for alleged INR 30 bn GST evasion linked to banned online gaming platforms, bank denies operational lapses but may face...

Nitin Mangal

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Sep): SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in SWIGGY, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

​Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

DGGI arrests Fino's CEO for alleged INR 30 bn GST evasion linked to banned online gaming platforms, bank denies operational lapses but may face...

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.