Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We retain Bank of Baroda as the value Indian bank, despite its strong share performance, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in delinquency metrics</li>
<li>HDFC Bank remains out of favour with the market but we retain it as a buy, with its potential for medium term gains post-merger and its strong balance sheet</li>
<li>Axis bank remains on our watchlist; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio and limited progress on returns</li>
</ul>


We retain Bank of Baroda as the value Indian bank, despite its strong share performance, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in delinquency metrics
HDFC Bank remains out of favour with the market but we retain it as a buy, with its potential for medium term gains post-merger and its strong balance sheet
Axis bank remains on our watchlist; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio and limited progress on returns


Indian Banks Screener: Bank of Baroda Remains the Value Pick, HDFC Bank Is the Quality Name

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Margin is expected to remain stable at 3.15% for FY24. Advances growth to remain robust aiding healthy growth in NII.</li><li>Opex is expected to remain elevated mainly driven by provision for wage revision.</li><li>Restructured book is expected to reduce aiding improvement in asset quality. Credit cost is expected to remain below 1%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Margin is expected to remain stable at 3.15% for FY24. Advances growth to remain robust aiding healthy growth in NII.Opex is expected to remain elevated mainly driven by provision for wage revision.Restructured book is expected to reduce aiding improvement in asset quality. Credit cost is expected to remain below 1%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank of Baroda - Margins Stability to Help Sustain ROA, Maintain Buy

India BFSI - Long-Short - Equity Research Analyst

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

<ul>
<li>
Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)  has become the second-best PSU bank in India after SBIN, in terms of improvement in asset quality and profitability.</li>
<li>
Medium-Term ROE Forecast 16% to 18%; ROA &gt;1% consistently; Asset Quality problems receding; Strategy is to diversify loan book towards retail further and focus on improving efficiencies</li>
<li>
Despite the recent rally, P/BV is cheap at 0.9x FY25e for high teen ROE business. BOB can easily re-rate to P/BV of 1.3x FY25e in the near term</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)  has become the second-best PSU bank in India after SBIN, in terms of improvement in asset quality and profitability.

Medium-Term ROE Forecast 16% to 18%; ROA &gt;1% consistently; Asset Quality problems receding; Strategy is to diversify loan book towards retail further and focus on improving efficiencies

Despite the recent rally, P/BV is cheap at 0.9x FY25e for high teen ROE business. BOB can easily re-rate to P/BV of 1.3x FY25e in the near term


Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN): Initiating Coverage – Best Value Bet Among Indian Banks

<ul>
<li>We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns</li>
<li>The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet</li>
<li>Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns</li>
</ul>


We retain Bank of Baroda as the deep value Indian bank from our peer group, for its modest valuations, healthy ROE and further improvements in pre- and post-provision returns
The market seems unconvinced by HDFC Bank but we retain it as our quality bank pick, with its potential for savings from the HDFC merger and its strong balance sheet
Axis bank stays on our watchlist, but its premium valuations are the challenge; we remain negative on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks and limited progress on returns


Indian Banks Screener: Stick with Bank of Baroda and HDFC Bank

<ul><li>Gross advances reported a robust growth of 17/3% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>The healthy growth in the loan book was driven by retail book growth of ~22/5% YoY/QoQ (Personal loan, up 67/16% YoY/QoQ), Agri loan growth of 14% YoY, and Corporate book growth of 17% YoY.</li><li>Margins reported a sharp decline of 26/20bps to 3.07% due to an increase in the cost of deposit by 24bps QoQ to 4.92%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gross advances reported a robust growth of 17/3% YoY/QoQ.The healthy growth in the loan book was driven by retail book growth of ~22/5% YoY/QoQ (Personal loan, up 67/16% YoY/QoQ), Agri loan growth of 14% YoY, and Corporate book growth of 17% YoY.Margins reported a sharp decline of 26/20bps to 3.07% due to an increase in the cost of deposit by 24bps QoQ to 4.92%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank of Baroda - Margins Decline; Advances Growth Momentum Remains Intact

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Indian Banks Screener: Bank of Baroda Remains the Value Pick, HDFC Bank Is the Quality Name

Bank of Baroda is our top pick with modest valuations, healthy ROE, improving returns; HDFC Bank is a buy too having potential for medium term...

Victor Galliano

Bank of Baroda - Margins Stability to Help Sustain ROA, Maintain Buy

Margin is expected to remain stable at 3.15% for FY24. Advances growth to remain robust aiding healthy growth in NII. Opex is expected to remain...

Axis Direct