Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In India's financial sector, currently four pair trade opportunities persist
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In India's financial sector, currently four pair trade opportunities persist


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>We keep deep-value Bank of Baroda on the buy list, whilst replacing UBI with Canara on the buy list; Baroda trades at an over 50% discount to SBI’s PBV ratio</li>
<li>Canara stands out for its PBV to ROE, as well as its prospective earnings and dividend yields; Canara has also been aggressively writing-off NPAs, reducing its low NPL ratio further</li>
<li>We add Indian Bank to our coverage in this report; it ranks highly on the scorecard but we believe that Canara has the edge on valuation metrics and credit write-offs</li>
</ul>


We keep deep-value Bank of Baroda on the buy list, whilst replacing UBI with Canara on the buy list; Baroda trades at an over 50% discount to SBI’s PBV ratio
Canara stands out for its PBV to ROE, as well as its prospective earnings and dividend yields; Canara has also been aggressively writing-off NPAs, reducing its low NPL ratio further
We add Indian Bank to our coverage in this report; it ranks highly on the scorecard but we believe that Canara has the edge on valuation metrics and credit write-offs


Indian PSBs: Baroda (BOB IN) Stays a Buy, Adding Canara (CBK IN) As a Buy Replacing UBI (UNBK IN)

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/punjab-national-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:542:1" rel="noopener">Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)</a> price ratio is more than two standard deviations from its average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
 Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/punjab-national-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:542:1" rel="noopener">Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)</a>  targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) vs. Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) price ratio is more than two standard deviations from its average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

 Highlight: Going long Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) and short Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)  targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) Vs Punjab National Bank (PNB IN): A Third Signal, A 6% Target

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY)</a> reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.</li>
<li>Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.</li>
<li>Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federal-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11784:1" rel="noopener">Federal Bank (FB IN)),</a>or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY) reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.
Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.
Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (Federal Bank (FB IN)),or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.


EQD | Nifty Banks – Single Stock Options and Relative Value Opportunities

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights. Ideal for quant traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Indian PSBs: Baroda (BOB IN) Stays a Buy, Adding Canara (CBK IN) As a Buy Replacing UBI (UNBK IN)

We stick with deep-value Bank of Baroda as a buy, adding Canara Bank to the buy list for its valuation and credit quality metrics, whilst...

Victor Galliano