Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.</li>
<li>This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.</li>
<li>Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.</li>
</ul>


Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.
This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.
Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.


More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/002352.SZ/1519.HK: Taobao/Tmall adjusts algorithm to favor merchants with better service capabilities (+/+/-)</li>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan QuanQuan shift from direct operating into third party operating, and cut nearly 200 BD job positions(+)</li>
<li>700 HK/259960 KRX:The development team of &lt;PUBG&gt; has unveiled its major game update plan for 2024.(+)  </li>
</ul>


BABA/002352.SZ/1519.HK: Taobao/Tmall adjusts algorithm to favor merchants with better service capabilities (+/+/-)
3690 HK: Meituan QuanQuan shift from direct operating into third party operating, and cut nearly 200 BD job positions(+)
700 HK/259960 KRX:The development team of &lt;PUBG&gt; has unveiled its major game update plan for 2024.(+)  


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/002352 SZ/1519 HK/3690 HK/META/700 HK/259960 KRX

<ul>
<li>AMZN/PDD/Shein: Amazon launches new supply chain solution for China merchants (+/-/-)</li>
<li>JD/2618 HK: Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to article written by internal employee (+/+)</li>
<li>772 HK/700 HK: Yuewen will acquire Tencent Comics business line and related IP for 600 million RMB. (+/+) </li>
</ul>


AMZN/PDD/Shein: Amazon launches new supply chain solution for China merchants (+/-/-)
JD/2618 HK: Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to article written by internal employee (+/+)
772 HK/700 HK: Yuewen will acquire Tencent Comics business line and related IP for 600 million RMB. (+/+) 


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Krafton (259960 KS)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/002352 SZ/1519 HK/3690 HK/META/700 HK/259960 KRX

Major e-commerce platforms adjust algorithms for better merchant service, Meituan shifts to third-party operations, PUBG announces major game...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/002352 SZ/1519 HK/3690 HK/META/700 HK/259960 KRX

​Major e-commerce platforms adjust algorithms for better merchant service, Meituan shifts to third-party operations, PUBG announces major game...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

​Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Major e-commerce platforms adjust algorithms for better merchant service, Meituan shifts to third-party operations, PUBG announces major game...

Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...