IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> AGM was a vote of confidence in the Board’s strategy of pursuing two parallel paths to generate value.  </li>
<li>The Board’s management initiatives are steadily being implemented, but have yet to deliver shareholder value. Since they were announced, the share price has modestly outperformed the Nikkei 225.</li>
<li>7&amp;I and Couche Tard signed an NDA but a viable divestiture plan to gain US regulatory approval remains in doubt, particularly as PE has emerged as the likely bidder. </li>
</ul>


The Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) AGM was a vote of confidence in the Board’s strategy of pursuing two parallel paths to generate value.  
The Board’s management initiatives are steadily being implemented, but have yet to deliver shareholder value. Since they were announced, the share price has modestly outperformed the Nikkei 225.
7&amp;I and Couche Tard signed an NDA but a viable divestiture plan to gain US regulatory approval remains in doubt, particularly as PE has emerged as the likely bidder. 


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Wait and Hope

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> has published two documents to respond to misinformation and detail its "<em>constructive engagement</em>" with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a>.</li>
<li>The statements underscore the Board’s serious doubts about securing US antitrust approval. The significant discrepancies in the engagement timeline point to two parties at loggerheads. </li>
<li>While the Board claims it is pursuing a dual-track process to create value, the reality is that the process is designed to hinder Couche-Tard's offer to facilitate the restructuring plan.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) has published two documents to respond to misinformation and detail its "constructive engagement" with Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN).
The statements underscore the Board’s serious doubts about securing US antitrust approval. The significant discrepancies in the engagement timeline point to two parties at loggerheads. 
While the Board claims it is pursuing a dual-track process to create value, the reality is that the process is designed to hinder Couche-Tard's offer to facilitate the restructuring plan.


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Uncomfortable Truths

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> denied a <a href="https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/economy/20250303-OYT1T50214/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Yomiuri article</a> that the Board has decided not to accept an <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> bid in favour of the restructuring plan.</li>
<li>Despite the Board’s assertions that it is still having constructive discussions with Couche-Tard, its actions suggest otherwise.</li>
<li>Couche-Tard remains interested but faces increasing roadblocks. The valuation is undemanding but the news flow is unlikely to support a rerating in the near-term.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) denied a Yomiuri article that the Board has decided not to accept an Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) bid in favour of the restructuring plan.
Despite the Board’s assertions that it is still having constructive discussions with Couche-Tard, its actions suggest otherwise.
Couche-Tard remains interested but faces increasing roadblocks. The valuation is undemanding but the news flow is unlikely to support a rerating in the near-term.


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Shares Under Pressure as Rumours Swirl

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg <a href="https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/745954" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports</a> that the MBO is stalling due to disagreements within the consortium over who will control <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> after it is privatised.</li>
<li>The Nikkei reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> was set to withdraw from the MBO consortium. Along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cp-all-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13889:1" rel="noopener">CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB)</a>’s <a href="https://www.cpall.co.th/en/news-en/coporate-news/reaffirmation-of-the-companys-non-participation-in-the-lnvestment-in-a-japanese-retail-company" target="_blank" rel="noopener">non-participation</a>, the MBO’s financing is in trouble. </li>
<li>An <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a> bid remains in play but has issues. While progressing, the Board’s restructuring plan fails to prove a credible alternative. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that the MBO is stalling due to disagreements within the consortium over who will control Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) after it is privatised.
The Nikkei reported that Itochu Corp (8001 JP) was set to withdraw from the MBO consortium. Along with CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB)’s non-participation, the MBO’s financing is in trouble. 
An Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) bid remains in play but has issues. While progressing, the Board’s restructuring plan fails to prove a credible alternative. 


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): A Potential Derailing of the MBO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Recent news on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> situation includes better-than-expected possible sale of the SST business, a little headline fear-mongering on national security, and earnings.</li>
<li>Earnings this year will be volatile vs expectations. Timing (and magnitude) of kitchen-sinking matters. But neither ACT nor you should be buying it based on trough earnings expectations.</li>
<li>The call transcript is worth listening to. The math on the takeover maths well. This is a buy on dip. Again. </li>
</ul>


Recent news on the Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) situation includes better-than-expected possible sale of the SST business, a little headline fear-mongering on national security, and earnings.
Earnings this year will be volatile vs expectations. Timing (and magnitude) of kitchen-sinking matters. But neither ACT nor you should be buying it based on trough earnings expectations.
The call transcript is worth listening to. The math on the takeover maths well. This is a buy on dip. Again. 


7&I (3382 JP) - Dippity Doo Dah - Irrational Fears, Earnings Vol, But Restructuring Proceeding Apace

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The Kroger Co. operates supermarkets and convenience stores in the United States.  The Company also manufactures and processes some of the foods that its supermarkets sell.

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Kroger Co (KR US)

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Wait and Hope

The AGM was a vote of confidence in the Board's plan. However, the effectiveness of the management initiatives remains uncertain, and a Couche-Tard...

Arun George

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Uncomfortable Truths

The statements underscore the Board’s serious doubts about securing US antitrust approval. The significant discrepancies in the engagement timeline...

Arun George

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Shares Under Pressure as Rumours Swirl

Discussions with Couche-Tard are said to remain constructive, but a bid faces increasing roadblocks. The valuation is undemanding but the news flow...

Arun George

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): A Potential Derailing of the MBO

Itochu’s potential withdrawal and CP All’s non-participation could be the event that derails the MBO. An Couche-Tard bid remains in play but has...

Arun George

7&I (3382 JP) - Dippity Doo Dah - Irrational Fears, Earnings Vol, But Restructuring Proceeding Apace

Seven & i has seen some recent headlines which should be good, but seem to be ignored. The market is concentrating on negative headlines, which are...

Travis Lundy

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