Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 9th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development, Central Retail, Srisawad, Tmbthanachart Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 9th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development, Central Retail, Srisawad, Tmbthanachart Bank.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 2nd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Scc, Krung Thai Bank, Gulf Energy Development, Tisco Financial, True, Cp Foods, Central Retail.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 2nd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Scc, Krung Thai Bank, Gulf Energy Development, Tisco Financial, True, Cp Foods, Central Retail.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Delta Electronics, Scc, Krung Thai Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, PTT Oil and Retail.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, PTT Oil and Retail.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Advanced Info Service, PTT Oil and Retail

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>KTC has just released its 4Q24 results and presentation, with a stand out diagram on BOT debt relief measures</li>
<li>With the several measures in place by the BOT, including lowering minimum card payment, lengthening loan term and lowering rate, there are clear stresses.</li>
<li>ROA is under pressure, and part of this will be due to rising credit costs, which are up from 470bps to 610bps from FY22 to FY24</li>
</ul>


KTC has just released its 4Q24 results and presentation, with a stand out diagram on BOT debt relief measures
With the several measures in place by the BOT, including lowering minimum card payment, lengthening loan term and lowering rate, there are clear stresses.
ROA is under pressure, and part of this will be due to rising credit costs, which are up from 470bps to 610bps from FY22 to FY24


KTC - Stresses in Thailand Mass Market Credit Cards, Clear in BOT Debt Relief Measures

National Australia Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NAB holds significantly more maturing debt in the coming year than its largest 3 peer banks in Australia and also more than the 3 banks in Singapore, by comparison</li>
<li>The bank has grown its business loans aggressively, which can see lumpy bad loans in a poor economy, with high unseasoned loans, yet its HoH credit costs were flat</li>
<li>CRE loans are meaningful at NAB, adding another risk to maturing debt at the top of the rate cycle with what appears to optimistic credit costs in recent results</li>
</ul>


NAB holds significantly more maturing debt in the coming year than its largest 3 peer banks in Australia and also more than the 3 banks in Singapore, by comparison
The bank has grown its business loans aggressively, which can see lumpy bad loans in a poor economy, with high unseasoned loans, yet its HoH credit costs were flat
CRE loans are meaningful at NAB, adding another risk to maturing debt at the top of the rate cycle with what appears to optimistic credit costs in recent results


NAB - Maturing Debt AUD40bn | At Top of Rate Cycle | With High Unseasoned Loans, CRE Loans

Thailand

Krungthai Card Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based financial services company primarily engaged in credit card and personal loan businesses. The company offers a variety of credit cards, merchant acquiring services, payment services, and personal loan products including auto title loans, provincial retail lending, and e-money services. It was founded in Bangkok, Thailand, in 1996.

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Krungthai Card (KTC TB)

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 9th): Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports Of Thailand (AOT TB), Advanced Info...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Delta Electronics, Scc, Krung Thai Bank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Scc, Krung Thai Bank, Gulf...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 18th): Advanced Info Service, PTT Oil and Retail

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, PTT Oil and Retail.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KTC - Stresses in Thailand Mass Market Credit Cards, Clear in BOT Debt Relief Measures

KTC reveals granular detail for many Bank of Thailand relief measures on consumer debt, suggesting that credit metrics are very weak, and this is...

Daniel Tabbush

NAB - Maturing Debt AUD40bn | At Top of Rate Cycle | With High Unseasoned Loans, CRE Loans

NAB has more maturity debt than large peers, which can mean worse NIM impact when refinancing at the top of the rate cycle. Business loan growth...

Daniel Tabbush

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