Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As first discussed back in May (see <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>), shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>As widely reported at the time, Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana reportedly pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares in KTC ballooned in June versus May, but since fallen.</li>
<li>All four were mostly flat in Sept vs. August. Elsewhere, recent big moves were seen in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bcpg-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24051:1" rel="noopener">BCPG (BCPG TB)</a> (up), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-foods-group-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24053:1" rel="noopener">Thai Foods Group (TFG TB)</a> (down).</li>
</ul>


As first discussed back in May (see here), shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
As widely reported at the time, Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana reportedly pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares in KTC ballooned in June versus May, but since fallen.
All four were mostly flat in Sept vs. August. Elsewhere, recent big moves were seen in BCPG (BCPG TB) (up), and Thai Foods Group (TFG TB) (down).


Thai Pledged Shares: The Prakitchaiwattana Complex Remains Static

<ul>
<li>As <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">discussed</a> in May this year, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC World (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares figures released by the SET illustrated a dramatic downward swing in KTC's pledged shares in June versus May. </li>
<li>SET's updated list of securities pledged - as at 29th August - shows pledged shares in KTC ticking up. But so has KTC's share price, slowly but surely.</li>
</ul>


As discussed in May this year, shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC World (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares figures released by the SET illustrated a dramatic downward swing in KTC's pledged shares in June versus May. 
SET's updated list of securities pledged - as at 29th August - shows pledged shares in KTC ticking up. But so has KTC's share price, slowly but surely.


Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Pledged Shares Inching Up, Again

<ul>
<li>Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana is the second largest shareholder in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, behind <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krung-thai-bank-pub-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:298:1" rel="noopener">Krung Thai Bank Pub (KTB TB)</a>.</li>
<li>He also holds stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring Capital (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC World Public (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a>.
</li>
<li>All four companies went limit down on the 23rd June. And again the next day. Both KTC and TPS say nothing has fundamentally changed. The cause? Margin calls. </li>
</ul>


Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana is the second largest shareholder in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), behind Krung Thai Bank Pub (KTB TB).
He also holds stakes in XSpring Capital (XPG TB), BEC World Public (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB).

All four companies went limit down on the 23rd June. And again the next day. Both KTC and TPS say nothing has fundamentally changed. The cause? Margin calls. 


Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Buying Opportunity After Margin Call

<ul>
<li>Predicting binary events based on regulatory action or inaction is not ideal. Decide Monday or Tuesday to either sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a> in the market or tender.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a> is still a buy as latest pledged shares numbers fall to 2.3% of shares outstanding, down from 16.3% in May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a> appears "cheap" to 90%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings C (300999 CH)</a>; however recent implied stub figures have rolled over</li>
</ul>


Predicting binary events based on regulatory action or inaction is not ideal. Decide Monday or Tuesday to either sell Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) in the market or tender.

Krungthai Card (KTC TB) is still a buy as latest pledged shares numbers fall to 2.3% of shares outstanding, down from 16.3% in May.

Wilmar International (WIL SP) appears "cheap" to 90%-held Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings C (300999 CH); however recent implied stub figures have rolled over


Last Week In Event SPACE: Shibaura Electronics, Krungthai Card, Wilmar, First Pac, Fonterra

<ul>
<li>Back in May this year, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC World Public (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>This situation was discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Buying Opportunity After Margin Call</a>. Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana had pledged his shares in all four companies, leading to margin calls.</li>
<li>On the 16th August, the SET released an updated list of securities pledged, with pledged shares in KTC now at 2.3% of shares outstanding, down from 16.3% in May.</li>
</ul>


Back in May this year, shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC World Public (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
This situation was discussed in Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Buying Opportunity After Margin Call. Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana had pledged his shares in all four companies, leading to margin calls.
On the 16th August, the SET released an updated list of securities pledged, with pledged shares in KTC now at 2.3% of shares outstanding, down from 16.3% in May.


Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Still A Buy As Pledged Shares Further Decline

Thailand

Krungthai Card Public Company Limited provides credit and debit card services, as well as other professional services.  The Company offers both VISA and MasterCard associated cards, and covers areas such as recurring payments in addition to traditional credit and debit card related services.

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Krungthai Card (KTC TB)

Thai Pledged Shares: The Prakitchaiwattana Complex Remains Static

Pledged shares in the four key Prakitchaiwattana-held stocks, including Krungthai Card, were mostly flat in Sept vs. August. Elsewhere, recent big...

David Blennerhassett