Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The capping for the Hang Seng family of indices will use closing prices from 28 November while implementation will take place at the close on 1 December.</li>
<li>The changes for the next <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> rebalance will be announced after the close of trading on 1 December.</li>
<li>It was another week of inflows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a> to take units outstanding to a new high.</li>
</ul>


The capping for the Hang Seng family of indices will use closing prices from 28 November while implementation will take place at the close on 1 December.
The changes for the next S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) rebalance will be announced after the close of trading on 1 December.
It was another week of inflows for the iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US) to take units outstanding to a new high.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, Div+, Top50, ASX, FXI, Xiaomi, Tata Tech

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Singles’ Day sales are more than four times the USD 35.3 billion that U.S. shoppers clocked during Cyber Week (from Black Friday to Cyber Monday).</li>
<li>Global consumer names such as Apple, Nike, Lululemon, L’Oreal, and P&amp;G have a large presence on Chinese e-commerce platforms.</li>
<li>JD.com reported last year that Apple sold more than RMB 1 billion worth of products in the first minute of the event's final sales period.</li>
</ul>


Singles’ Day sales are more than four times the USD 35.3 billion that U.S. shoppers clocked during Cyber Week (from Black Friday to Cyber Monday).
Global consumer names such as Apple, Nike, Lululemon, L’Oreal, and P&amp;G have a large presence on Chinese e-commerce platforms.
JD.com reported last year that Apple sold more than RMB 1 billion worth of products in the first minute of the event's final sales period.


Singles' Day: Chinese Consumers Are Trading Down Instead of Buying Up

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income 1.13%/35.0%/52.2% vs. our estimation.</li>
<li>The bottom-line beats were primarily due to reduced S&amp;M costs related to effective user retention strategies and the operation of the newly constructed data centre in Ulanqab...</li>
<li>We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to HK$78 for a positive outlook in the e-commerce business and viral playlets, stimulating advertising growth...</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income 1.13%/35.0%/52.2% vs. our estimation.
The bottom-line beats were primarily due to reduced S&amp;M costs related to effective user retention strategies and the operation of the newly constructed data centre in Ulanqab...
We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to HK$78 for a positive outlook in the e-commerce business and viral playlets, stimulating advertising growth...


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is a member of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, among others.</li>
<li>Capping of stocks at 8% of the index weight will lead to selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> at the close on 1 December, mainly from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> trackers.</li>
<li>Relative underperformance vs the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH Index</a> from now to Tuesday will require passive to sell less stock, while outperformance will lead to increased passive selling. That opens up trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is a member of the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng TECH Index, among others.
Capping of stocks at 8% of the index weight will lead to selling in Xiaomi (1810 HK) at the close on 1 December, mainly from Hang Seng TECH Index trackers.
Relative underperformance vs the HSTECH Index from now to Tuesday will require passive to sell less stock, while outperformance will lead to increased passive selling. That opens up trading opportunities.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Outperformance Leads to Passive Selling & Opens Up Trading Opportunities

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou’s 3Q2023 earnings beat consensus estimates with significant improvement to the company’s profitability driven by growth across all business segments.</li>
<li>Operating losses of the overseas segment has further reduced, and new offerings such as paid mini dramas have been driving strong growth for the company.</li>
<li>Though Kuaishou’s share price has moved up during the last few months, valuation multiples are at a steep discount to historical multiples, suggesting there is further upside.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou’s 3Q2023 earnings beat consensus estimates with significant improvement to the company’s profitability driven by growth across all business segments.
Operating losses of the overseas segment has further reduced, and new offerings such as paid mini dramas have been driving strong growth for the company.
Though Kuaishou’s share price has moved up during the last few months, valuation multiples are at a steep discount to historical multiples, suggesting there is further upside.


Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, Div+, Top50, ASX, FXI, Xiaomi, Tata Tech

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Singles' Day: Chinese Consumers Are Trading Down Instead of Buying Up

Singles' Day has transcended its origins. It is a symbol of innovation and global commerce. As tech continues to shape consumer habits, Singles'...

Mint Finance

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Outperformance Leads to Passive Selling & Opens Up Trading Opportunities

There will be passive selling in Xiaomi from HSTECH trackers at the close on 1 Dec. Relative underperformance till Tuesday will lead to less...

Brian Freitas

Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, Div+, Top50, ASX, FXI, Xiaomi, Tata Tech

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Singles' Day: Chinese Consumers Are Trading Down Instead of Buying Up

Singles' Day has transcended its origins. It is a symbol of innovation and global commerce. As tech continues to shape consumer habits, Singles'...

Mint Finance

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

​Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Outperformance Leads to Passive Selling & Opens Up Trading Opportunities

There will be passive selling in Xiaomi from HSTECH trackers at the close on 1 Dec. Relative underperformance till Tuesday will lead to less...

Brian Freitas

Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

​Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...