Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> gets us to 76 index constituents.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.01% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,845m.</li>
<li>Shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a> are around 5% of float and covering could take the stocks higher.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of Tingyi Holding (322 HK), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK) and Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) gets us to 76 index constituents.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.01% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,845m.
Shorts on Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) and Tingyi Holding (322 HK) are around 5% of float and covering could take the stocks higher.


HSI Index Rebalance: Baby Steps; Double Inclusion for Haier Smart Home

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China just announced game approval for November batch after one month break. The number of games approved is inline with the previous three months.</li>
<li>Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. It is more symbolic than financially material. Sentiments are turning slightly but it is not out of the wood yet.</li>
</ul>


China just announced game approval for November batch after one month break. The number of games approved is inline with the previous three months.
Pace of China game approval stays flattish, at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. It is more symbolic than financially material. Sentiments are turning slightly but it is not out of the wood yet.


Tencent/Netease: Breakthrough in November Batch of Game Approval

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> would seek to divest its $24bn stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.</li>
<li>The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" </li>
<li>With Q3 earnings, Tencent today <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1116/2022111600357.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.</li>
</ul>


In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters article suggested Tencent (700 HK) would seek to divest its $24bn stake in Meituan (3690 HK) this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.
The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" 
With Q3 earnings, Tencent today announced a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.


Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>2022 “11.11” saw mild GMV recovery, with emphasis on “quality growth”, “agricultural incentives”, “domestics promotion”, “opening up” and “user experience”.</li><li>Total GMV recorded RMB1,151bn, +13% YoY, based on Syntun data.</li><li>Short videos share gain continued, up to 16% mkt share from 7% in 2021 (livestreaming ecommerce GMV+146% YoY, vs. comprehensive platforms +2.9%).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

2022 “11.11” saw mild GMV recovery, with emphasis on “quality growth”, “agricultural incentives”, “domestics promotion”, “opening up” and “user experience”.Total GMV recorded RMB1,151bn, +13% YoY, based on Syntun data.Short videos share gain continued, up to 16% mkt share from 7% in 2021 (livestreaming ecommerce GMV+146% YoY, vs. comprehensive platforms +2.9%).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – 2022 "11.11": Moderate recovery with quality growth

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance: Baby Steps; Double Inclusion for Haier Smart Home

There are 3 adds to the HSI to get up to 76 members. Few adds are surprises & there is unlikely to be large positioning. Short interest on some...

Brian Freitas

Tencent/Netease: Breakthrough in November Batch of Game Approval

We analyzed the latest game approval in China. It is a breakthrough for Tencent since its last game approval in May 2021. Still we are highlighting...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent will distribute 90% of its holdings in Meituan in an in-specie distribution, which goes ex- on 5 January and gets settled 24 March 2023....

Travis Lundy

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. In this note, we look...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Sector – 2022 "11.11": Moderate recovery with quality growth

2022 “11.11” saw mild GMV recovery, with emphasis on “quality growth”, “agricultural incentives”, “domestics promotion”, “opening up” and “user...

CMB International

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