Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Qingdao Port International  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
Currently, we see 9 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 45 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Index Rebalance

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825 CH)

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.</li>
<li>There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.
There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for the CSI 300 Index and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the CSI 500 Index.


CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

Kuang-Chi Technologies   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.</li>
</ul>


There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

China

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes auto parts. The Company mainly develops, produces, and sells car seat slides, adjusters, lifters, and other functional parts. Kuang-Chi Technologies markets products domestically and internationally.

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Kuang-Chi Technologies (002625 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

The 314 changes to the CSI300/500/1000 indices lead to 240 unique names. The round-trip trade across all three indices is around US$12bn. Some...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

8 changes forecast for CSI300 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% and round-trip trade is US$4.5bn. A long adds/short deletes trade has done...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

There could be 7 changes for the CSI300 in June with a one-way turnover of 1.45% and a round-trip trade of US$3.9bn. The adds and deletes have...

Brian Freitas

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Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows

The 9 expected changes for CSI 300 could trigger US$3bn index flows one-way. Separately, the 45 expected changes for CSI 500 could also trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

The 314 changes to the CSI300/500/1000 indices lead to 240 unique names. The round-trip trade across all three indices is around US$12bn. Some...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

8 changes forecast for CSI300 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% and round-trip trade is US$4.5bn. A long adds/short deletes trade has done...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

There could be 7 changes for the CSI300 in June with a one-way turnover of 1.45% and a round-trip trade of US$3.9bn. The adds and deletes have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec25: Some Changes to Expectations; Large Index Flows