Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As the possibility of implementing the pre-disclosure rule in the second half of this year arises, the local block deal market is expected to become more active. </li>
<li>Specifically, there are observable movements among Kosdaq mid-sized companies that are particularly sensitive to deal execution risk. This suggests that LHJ's KIS may further solidify its dominance.</li>
<li>Significant increases in trading volume through KB Securities could serve as potential clues indicating the imminence of block deals in companies where the likelihood of such deals is high.</li>
</ul>


As the possibility of implementing the pre-disclosure rule in the second half of this year arises, the local block deal market is expected to become more active. 
Specifically, there are observable movements among Kosdaq mid-sized companies that are particularly sensitive to deal execution risk. This suggests that LHJ's KIS may further solidify its dominance.
Significant increases in trading volume through KB Securities could serve as potential clues indicating the imminence of block deals in companies where the likelihood of such deals is high.


Seeking Clues for a Preemptive Position in the Korean Local Block Deal Market in H2

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

<ul>
<li>Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.</li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF and outflows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the NIFTY, NSE Nifty Next 50, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and Nifty Bank due to the HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank merger.
The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.
Yet another week of inflows to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF and outflows from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The important point is that the regulations also incorporate a provision mandating the disclosure of the actual end traders' identities when brokerages engage in CFD transactions disguised as proprietary trading.</li>
<li>Recent suspicious incidents raise concerns because they are carried out through brokerages' proprietary trading practices, making them relatively more difficult for local regulatory authorities to detect and monitor.</li>
<li>We need to closely monitor the market's abnormal volatility following the strengthened new rules on CFDs and carefully consider the setup for responding to these changes.</li>
</ul>


The important point is that the regulations also incorporate a provision mandating the disclosure of the actual end traders' identities when brokerages engage in CFD transactions disguised as proprietary trading.
Recent suspicious incidents raise concerns because they are carried out through brokerages' proprietary trading practices, making them relatively more difficult for local regulatory authorities to detect and monitor.
We need to closely monitor the market's abnormal volatility following the strengthened new rules on CFDs and carefully consider the setup for responding to these changes.


KRX's Revised CFD Oversight Guidelines & Ongoing Suspicious Incidents

<ul>
<li>The trigger for yesterday's sell-off was the sudden collective decision of the brokerages that had been allowing credit trading for these stocks to halt credit trading simultaneously.</li>
<li>There is a possibility that the identities of the stocks under investigation were leaked, and these brokerages took preemptive actions.</li>
<li>There have also been observations of large-cap stocks that may become the next targets. Some notable examples include Cosmo Chemical, Kum Yang, Posco International, and Ecopro Co.</li>
</ul>


The trigger for yesterday's sell-off was the sudden collective decision of the brokerages that had been allowing credit trading for these stocks to halt credit trading simultaneously.
There is a possibility that the identities of the stocks under investigation were leaked, and these brokerages took preemptive actions.
There have also been observations of large-cap stocks that may become the next targets. Some notable examples include Cosmo Chemical, Kum Yang, Posco International, and Ecopro Co.


Market Talk on the Five Stocks Hitting the Lower Limit Yesterday

South Korea

Kum Yang Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing blowing agents to foam rubber products and polymers.  The Company also produces other basic fine chemicals, such as sulphur products.

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Kum Yang (001570 KS)

Seeking Clues for a Preemptive Position in the Korean Local Block Deal Market in H2

This post discusses how we should search for clues to establish a preemptive position in the Korean local block deal market during the second half...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KRX's Revised CFD Oversight Guidelines & Ongoing Suspicious Incidents

This post highlights the important aspect of the KRX's revised CFD oversight guidelines disclosed yesterday and discusses what impacts this may...

Sanghyun Park

Market Talk on the Five Stocks Hitting the Lower Limit Yesterday

This post examines the major issues that have garnered significant attention based on the information available so far regarding the incident of...

Sanghyun Park

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