Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Kawasaki Heavy Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Expect continued buying in defense related, as well as banks and life insurance, renewable energy, rails, and medical IT plays with Shigeru Ishiba at the helm. </li>
<li>The Market will be quick to rotate out of names which spiked into Friday's close on expectation for a Sanae Takaichi win in the LDP election.  </li>
<li>Ishiba has been a vocal critic of Abenomics, and his potential policies aimed at higher taxes for investment incomes and capital gains are set to weigh on the Japanese market. </li>
</ul>


Expect continued buying in defense related, as well as banks and life insurance, renewable energy, rails, and medical IT plays with Shigeru Ishiba at the helm. 
The Market will be quick to rotate out of names which spiked into Friday's close on expectation for a Sanae Takaichi win in the LDP election.  
Ishiba has been a vocal critic of Abenomics, and his potential policies aimed at higher taxes for investment incomes and capital gains are set to weigh on the Japanese market. 


Best Outright and Pair Trades for an Ishiba-Led LDP

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.</li>
</ul>


There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We screen for Japanese companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Japan equity funds.</li>
<li>Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum: Nissan Motor Corp and Misumi Group</li>
<li>High Positioning coupled with High Momentum: ASICS Corp and Kyushu Railway</li>
</ul>


We screen for Japanese companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Japan equity funds.
Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum: Nissan Motor Corp and Misumi Group
High Positioning coupled with High Momentum: ASICS Corp and Kyushu Railway


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. </li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. 
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Tokyo Metro IPO Trading - Robust Demand for Quality Asset

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.3 billion. The shares will start trading on 23 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160168" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160399" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161071" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.3 billion. The shares will start trading on 23 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case and Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights.
The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.


Japan

Kyushu Railway Company, doing business as JR Kyushu, offers transportation services. The Company provides passenger and railway freight services, as well as route, ticket, and time table information. JR Kyushu serves customers in Japan.

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Kyushu Railway (9142 JP)

Best Outright and Pair Trades for an Ishiba-Led LDP

How to position in Japanese equities after the surprise win by Shigeru Ishiba over Sanae Takaichi in Friday's LDP election.

Andrew Jackson

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn)....

Brian Freitas

Japan Funds: Extreme Stocks

We screen for Japanese companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Japan equity funds.

Steven Holden

Tokyo Metro IPO Trading - Robust Demand for Quality Asset

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders raised around US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The shares will start trading on 23 October. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.

Arun George

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