Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.</li>
<li>Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?</li>
<li>The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).</li>
</ul>


The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.
Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?
The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).


KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material / Equity Capital Markets

Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material (YNEM HK)

<ul>
<li>Hunan Yuneng, a lithium iron phosphate cathode material supplier, is seeking an A+H listing. CSC and HSBC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core business, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials for power batteries and energy storage batteries.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on the A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Hunan Yuneng, a lithium iron phosphate cathode material supplier, is seeking an A+H listing. CSC and HSBC are the joint sponsors.
We look at the company's core business, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials for power batteries and energy storage batteries.
We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on the A-H premium.


Hunan Yuneng (湖南裕能) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of KOSPI 200 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Samsung Electronics, SK Innovation, KEPCO, S-Oil, KCC, LG Chem, SKCHEM.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of KOSPI 200 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Samsung Electronics, SK Innovation, KEPCO, S-Oil, KCC, LG Chem, SKCHEM.


KOSPI 200 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Samsung Electronics, SK Innovation, KEPCO, S-Oil, KCC

<ul>
<li>The net short selling balance in KOSPI reached 12.6 trillion won as of 20 October. This is the largest amount ever.</li>
<li>The top 5 companies in KOSPI with highest short selling balance/market cap ratio include Kakaopay, L&amp;F, Hanmi Semiconductor, Cosmax, and LG H&amp;H. </li>
<li>Net short position In KOSDAQ as a percentage of total KOSDAQ market cap more than doubled from 0.5% as of 31 March to 1.1% as of 21 October 2025.</li>
</ul>


The net short selling balance in KOSPI reached 12.6 trillion won as of 20 October. This is the largest amount ever.
The top 5 companies in KOSPI with highest short selling balance/market cap ratio include Kakaopay, L&amp;F, Hanmi Semiconductor, Cosmax, and LG H&amp;H. 
Net short position In KOSDAQ as a percentage of total KOSDAQ market cap more than doubled from 0.5% as of 31 March to 1.1% as of 21 October 2025.


A Sharp Increase in Short Selling Balance in the Korean Stock Market Past Seven Months

South Korea

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

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L&F (066970 KS)

KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Hunan Yuneng (湖南裕能) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Hunan Yuneng is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business and its industry, and give our early thoughts on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI 200 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Samsung Electronics, SK Innovation, KEPCO, S-Oil, KCC

We analyzed KOSPI 200's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Samsung Electronics, SK Innovation, KEPCO, S-Oil, KCC, LG Chem,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Sharp Increase in Short Selling Balance in the Korean Stock Market Past Seven Months

Net short selling balance in KOSPI was 12.6 trillion won as of 20 October, the largest amount ever. This suggests an increasing desire by many...

Douglas Kim

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