Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q2 revenue (INR 680 billion, +10% YoY) missed estimates on transient issues, but order inflows surged 45%, leading to a record INR 6.67 lakh crore (approx. US$80 billion) order book.</li>
<li>L&amp;T is successfully exiting its largest legacy drag (Hyderabad Metro) and capturing a dominant share of the Middle East hydrocarbon boom and the domestic private capex wave.</li>
<li>The strategic pivot to new-age manufacturing and green energy, funded by a booming core, is building a more resilient, higher-growth L&amp;T for the future.</li>
</ul>


Q2 revenue (INR 680 billion, +10% YoY) missed estimates on transient issues, but order inflows surged 45%, leading to a record INR 6.67 lakh crore (approx. US$80 billion) order book.
L&amp;T is successfully exiting its largest legacy drag (Hyderabad Metro) and capturing a dominant share of the Middle East hydrocarbon boom and the domestic private capex wave.
The strategic pivot to new-age manufacturing and green energy, funded by a booming core, is building a more resilient, higher-growth L&amp;T for the future.


L&T’s Q2FY26: Don’t Mind the Margins, Watch the ₹6.67 Lakh Crore Backlog.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$1.7 billion. </li>
<li>I had previously discussed the investment case in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tata-capital-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:197180" rel="noopener">Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The RHP updates show that the fundamentals remain mixed. Positives include large size, mid-tier growth rates and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROA. </li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$1.7 billion. 
I had previously discussed the investment case in Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case. 
The RHP updates show that the fundamentals remain mixed. Positives include large size, mid-tier growth rates and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROA. 


Tata Capital IPO: RHP Update Points to Mixed Fundamentals

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR155bn (US$1.75bn) of stock at a valuation of around INR 1,384bn (US$15.6bn).</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in June 2026.</li>
<li>The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in January and to the Nifty Next 50 Index in March.</li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR155bn (US$1.75bn) of stock at a valuation of around INR 1,384bn (US$15.6bn).
The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in June 2026.
The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in January and to the Nifty Next 50 Index in March.


Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

<ul>
<li>Northern Arc is fast shifting toward direct retail Lending (D2C), while leveraging originator partnerships and technology; recent rate cuts and regulatory relief are improving cost of funds &amp; capital efficiency. 
</li>
<li>Northern Arc’s mix of structured finance, co-lending, and fund management creates steady fee income, making it more resilient than traditional NBFCs relying mainly on heavy lending assets.</li>
<li>Northern Arc is a differentiated NBFC benefits from inclusion &amp; fintech growth, but valuation relies on retail execution, risk control, and asset quality pressures.</li>
</ul>


Northern Arc is fast shifting toward direct retail Lending (D2C), while leveraging originator partnerships and technology; recent rate cuts and regulatory relief are improving cost of funds &amp; capital efficiency. 

Northern Arc’s mix of structured finance, co-lending, and fund management creates steady fee income, making it more resilient than traditional NBFCs relying mainly on heavy lending assets.
Northern Arc is a differentiated NBFC benefits from inclusion &amp; fintech growth, but valuation relies on retail execution, risk control, and asset quality pressures.


The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

India

L&T Finance is an Indian non-banking financial company providing a diverse range of financial products and services to rural and urban customers. Its portfolio includes personal loans, two-wheeler loans, home loans, rural business loans, farm loans, and SME loans, alongside bancassurance products such as life, health, and general insurance. L&T Finance is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 2008.

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L&T Finance (LTF IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

L&T’s Q2FY26: Don’t Mind the Margins, Watch the ₹6.67 Lakh Crore Backlog.

L&T's Q2 revenue missed estimates but order inflows surged, leading to a record order book. Strategic pivot to new-age manufacturing and green...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Tata Capital IPO: RHP Update Points to Mixed Fundamentals

Tata Capital, the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC), is seeking to raise US$1.7 billion. In this note, I examine the latest...

Arun George

Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Tata Cap is looking to raise up to US$1.75bn at a valuation of US$15.6bn. A free float of less than 15% will keep the stock out of one major global...

Brian Freitas

The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

L&T’s Q2FY26: Don’t Mind the Margins, Watch the ₹6.67 Lakh Crore Backlog.

​L&T's Q2 revenue missed estimates but order inflows surged, leading to a record order book. Strategic pivot to new-age manufacturing and green...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Tata Capital IPO: RHP Update Points to Mixed Fundamentals

Tata Capital, the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC), is seeking to raise US$1.7 billion. In this note, I examine the latest...

Arun George

Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Tata Cap is looking to raise up to US$1.75bn at a valuation of US$15.6bn. A free float of less than 15% will keep the stock out of one major global...

Brian Freitas

The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

​Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...

Nimish Maheshwari

L&T's Q2 revenue missed estimates but order inflows surged, leading to a record order book. Strategic pivot to new-age manufacturing and green...

Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...