External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tata Elxsi: Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1.</li><li>L&amp;T Technology Services: L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of estimates and an in-line operating performance, while maintaining its FY23E revenue guidance (14.5-16.5% CC) and margin (18%+ EBITM).</li><li>Angel One: ANGELONE printed a sequentially flat top-line on a strong base (Q4: 15),  led by a healthy NII (+11% QoQ), offset by lower ancillary transactional revenues.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Tata Elxsi: Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1.L&amp;T Technology Services: L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of estimates and an in-line operating performance, while maintaining its FY23E revenue guidance (14.5-16.5% CC) and margin (18%+ EBITM).Angel One: ANGELONE printed a sequentially flat top-line on a strong base (Q4: 15),  led by a healthy NII (+11% QoQ), offset by lower ancillary transactional revenues.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Elxsi, L&T Technology Services, Angel One

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).</li><li>Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.</li><li>Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li><div><div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul></div></div></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x</li>
<li>The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing</li>
<li>The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x
The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing
The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<p>For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.</p>
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<h3>About India Channel Insight </h3>
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<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.</p>
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For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.


About India Channel Insight 



Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.


India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

<p><strong>Infosys</strong>: We maintain BUY on Infosys (INFY), following the decade best Q1 growth and a strong growth outlook. Revenue growth guidance for FY22E was increased to 14-16% CC (12-14% earlier) and the EBIT margin band was maintained at 22-24% (despite the near-term supply crunch). INFY’s growth trajectory remains strong, supported by (1) a strong deal pipeline (higher QoQ), release in pent-up demand to restart the delayed projects, and sustainable improvement in large deals (USD 9.8bn TTM new large deal wins); (2) momentum across verticals – BFSI (nine large deals in Q1 vs six in Q4), retail, manufacturing, life-science and utilities, notwithstanding the lower net-new bookings; (3) structural operational pivots of offshoring and utilisation mitigating the near-term impact from higher sub-contracting; (4) uptick in fresher onboarding (35k in FY22 vs. 25k planned earlier and 21k in FY21) towards demand fulfilment and offsetting the near-term attrition surge. We remain positive on INFY (top pick in tier-1 IT) with &gt;13% EPS CAGR and &gt;40% RoIC valuing the company at INR 1,730, based on 28x Jun-23E EPS.</p>
<p><strong>L&amp;T Technology Services</strong>: We maintain REDUCE on L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS), despite a slightly better Q1 revenue performance. Revenue guidance has been increased to 15-17% growth for FY22 (13-15% earlier), which implies a decelerated trajectory of 2-3% CQGR (as compared to 4.2% QoQ delivered in Q1FY22), despite a base benefit (FY21 at -6%). Two wins with TCV &gt;USD 25mn (similar to Q4) will support growth in the transportation vertical. LTTS' historical volatility in the large accounts bucket (&gt;USD 20mn accounts) and volatility due to variability in segmental operating profile are reflected in the growth guidance of ~800bps below its strongest year.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Infosys: We maintain BUY on Infosys (INFY), following the decade best Q1 growth and a strong growth outlook. Revenue growth guidance for FY22E was increased to 14-16% CC (12-14% earlier) and the EBIT margin band was maintained at 22-24% (despite the near-term supply crunch). INFY’s growth trajectory remains strong, supported by (1) a strong deal pipeline (higher QoQ), release in pent-up demand to restart the delayed projects, and sustainable improvement in large deals (USD 9.8bn TTM new large deal wins); (2) momentum across verticals – BFSI (nine large deals in Q1 vs six in Q4), retail, manufacturing, life-science and utilities, notwithstanding the lower net-new bookings; (3) structural operational pivots of offshoring and utilisation mitigating the near-term impact from higher sub-contracting; (4) uptick in fresher onboarding (35k in FY22 vs. 25k planned earlier and 21k in FY21) towards demand fulfilment and offsetting the near-term attrition surge. We remain positive on INFY (top pick in tier-1 IT) with &gt;13% EPS CAGR and &gt;40% RoIC valuing the company at INR 1,730, based on 28x Jun-23E EPS.
L&amp;T Technology Services: We maintain REDUCE on L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS), despite a slightly better Q1 revenue performance. Revenue guidance has been increased to 15-17% growth for FY22 (13-15% earlier), which implies a decelerated trajectory of 2-3% CQGR (as compared to 4.2% QoQ delivered in Q1FY22), despite a base benefit (FY21 at -6%). Two wins with TCV &gt;USD 25mn (similar to Q4) will support growth in the transportation vertical. LTTS' historical volatility in the large accounts bucket (&gt;USD 20mn accounts) and volatility due to variability in segmental operating profile are reflected in the growth guidance of ~800bps below its strongest year.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily (Technology Services): Infosys, L&T Technology Services

India

L&T Technology Services (LTTS) is an Indian multinational technology company specializing in Engineering Research and Development (ER&D) services. It offers consultancy, design, development, and testing services across various industries including automotive, medical devices, telecom, and industrial products. LTTS is headquartered in Vadodara, India, and was founded in 2012.

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L&T Technology Services (LTTS IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Elxsi, L&T Technology Services, Angel One

Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1; L&T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of...

HDFC Securities

IT Sector - Decoding Signal from Noise

In this note, we decode the signal from noise and probe some key questions: (1) How structural is the demand and how correlated is it to the macros...

HDFC Securities

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

IT index is up >40% (mid-tier >100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and...

HDFC Securities

India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily (Technology Services): Infosys, L&T Technology Services

We maintain REDUCE on L&T Technology Services (LTTS), despite a slightly better Q1 revenue performance. We maintain BUY on Infosys (INFY),...

HDFC Securities

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