HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Mokingran Jewellery Group Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The skyrocketing gold prices have driven up the prices of gold jewelry, but actually dampen the enthusiasm of many people to buy gold jewelry, which will directly affect MOKINGRAN's performance.</li>
<li>MOKINGRAN's prediction of gold price is incorrect. For an industry veteran, MOKINGRAN shouldn’t make such mistakes. The error in the judgment of important raw material trends is worth investors' vigilance.</li>
<li>We think that valuation of MOKINGRAN should be lower than that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lao-feng-xiang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29910:1" rel="noopener">Lao Feng Xiang (600612 CH)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-seng-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29414:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Seng Jewellery (002867 CH)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and industry average.</li>
</ul>


The skyrocketing gold prices have driven up the prices of gold jewelry, but actually dampen the enthusiasm of many people to buy gold jewelry, which will directly affect MOKINGRAN's performance.
MOKINGRAN's prediction of gold price is incorrect. For an industry veteran, MOKINGRAN shouldn’t make such mistakes. The error in the judgment of important raw material trends is worth investors' vigilance.
We think that valuation of MOKINGRAN should be lower than that of Lao Feng Xiang (600612 CH)/Chow Tai Seng Jewellery (002867 CH)/Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and industry average.


Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The franchise model of Zhou Liu Fu is the biggest performance contributor, which is also the main reason for the Company's rapid expansion and high gross profit margin.  </li>
<li>However, the CSRC questioned the rationality of franchise model and thus rejected its A-share IPO. We think the high revenue growth/profit margin may not be sustainable in the long term.</li>
<li>Pre-IPO post-investment valuation was approximately 7.407 billion yuan. Zhou Liu Fu has applied for H-Share full circulation, which may put pressure on stock price performance after the lockdown period expires.</li>
</ul>


The franchise model of Zhou Liu Fu is the biggest performance contributor, which is also the main reason for the Company's rapid expansion and high gross profit margin.  
However, the CSRC questioned the rationality of franchise model and thus rejected its A-share IPO. We think the high revenue growth/profit margin may not be sustainable in the long term.
Pre-IPO post-investment valuation was approximately 7.407 billion yuan. Zhou Liu Fu has applied for H-Share full circulation, which may put pressure on stock price performance after the lockdown period expires.


Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - The Potential Risks and Concerns Brought by the Business Model

Mokingran Jewellery Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MOKINGRAN’s revenue fluctuated in the past three years. Profit margin was much lower than that of peers/industry average, which may not necessarily have big improvement even with upward gold price.</li>
<li>MOKINGRAN once applied for IPO in A-share but failed. The concerns of SZSE included “unusual” gold trade-in business, large inventory balance and the risk of "false increase" in profits/revenues.</li>
<li>The gold boom should not mask the risks of MOKINGRAN. Even if MOKINGRAN successfully goes public, it still faces many challenges. Valuation of MOKINGRAN should be lower than peers. </li>
</ul>


MOKINGRAN’s revenue fluctuated in the past three years. Profit margin was much lower than that of peers/industry average, which may not necessarily have big improvement even with upward gold price.
MOKINGRAN once applied for IPO in A-share but failed. The concerns of SZSE included “unusual” gold trade-in business, large inventory balance and the risk of "false increase" in profits/revenues.
The gold boom should not mask the risks of MOKINGRAN. Even if MOKINGRAN successfully goes public, it still faces many challenges. Valuation of MOKINGRAN should be lower than peers. 


Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group - Disappointing Profit Margin and Potential Risk in Business Model

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.</li>
<li>This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.</li>
<li>Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.</li>
</ul>


Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.
This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.
Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.


More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

China Shenhua Energy Co H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index Team announced four changes to the Hang Seng Index, bringing membership to 73 from 69, on its way to 80, but later than originally targeter mid-2022. </li>
<li>Additions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Official placeholder turnover is about 3.8%. Small changes due to capping updates still to come. China Shenhua and possibly Chow Tai Fook look interesting as trades.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index Team announced four changes to the Hang Seng Index, bringing membership to 73 from 69, on its way to 80, but later than originally targeter mid-2022. 
Additions are China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), and Baidu (9888 HK). 
Official placeholder turnover is about 3.8%. Small changes due to capping updates still to come. China Shenhua and possibly Chow Tai Fook look interesting as trades.


Hang Seng Index Rebalance - FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

China

Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. processes and sells gold and jewelry products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures and sells wooden, mechanical and cosmetic pencils, as well as manufactures and sells pencil making machinery and paints, and general trading.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lao Feng Xiang (600612 CH)

Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Skyrocketing gold prices dampen enthusiasm for gold jewelry, impacting MOKINGRAN's performance. Incorrect gold price prediction raises investor...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - The Potential Risks and Concerns Brought by the Business Model

Franchise model drives rapid growth, but CSRC once questioned the rationality. There're doubts about sustainability of growth/profit margin. Share...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group - Disappointing Profit Margin and Potential Risk in Business Model

MOKINGRAN's fluctuating revenue and low profit margin raise concerns about its IPO potential and its long-term performance in the gold market. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

Hang Seng Index Rebalance - FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

The Hang Seng Index Rebalance has 4 ADDs and zero DELETEs for September on course for 80 names in March-June 2023. The two 'interesting' ADDs to me...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​Skyrocketing gold prices dampen enthusiasm for gold jewelry, impacting MOKINGRAN's performance. Incorrect gold price prediction raises investor...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - The Potential Risks and Concerns Brought by the Business Model

​Franchise model drives rapid growth, but CSRC once questioned the rationality. There're doubts about sustainability of growth/profit margin. Share...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Mokingran Jewellery Group - Disappointing Profit Margin and Potential Risk in Business Model

​MOKINGRAN's fluctuating revenue and low profit margin raise concerns about its IPO potential and its long-term performance in the gold market. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

Hang Seng Index Rebalance - FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

The Hang Seng Index Rebalance has 4 ADDs and zero DELETEs for September on course for 80 names in March-June 2023. The two 'interesting' ADDs to me...

Travis Lundy

Skyrocketing gold prices dampen enthusiasm for gold jewelry, impacting MOKINGRAN's performance. Incorrect gold price prediction raises investor...

Franchise model drives rapid growth, but CSRC once questioned the rationality. There're doubts about sustainability of growth/profit margin. Share...

MOKINGRAN's fluctuating revenue and low profit margin raise concerns about its IPO potential and its long-term performance in the gold market. The...