Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week In Event SPACE: Didi Chuxing, Sydney Airport, Weibo, Container Shipping, Macau Gaming

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

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This week in StubWorld ...
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a>'s has bounced off its all-time low NAV discount and implied stub back in March, and is now back to +2 STD levels. 
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Preceding my comments on Melco are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
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These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.
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As always, more below the fold.
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This week in StubWorld ...




Melco International Development (200 HK)'s has bounced off its all-time low NAV discount and implied stub back in March, and is now back to +2 STD levels. 




Preceding my comments on Melco are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


As always, more below the fold.


StubWorld: Lock In Profits As Melco's NAV Discount Narrows

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

Galaxy Entertainment Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The passage of Japan Integrated Casino Resort legislation in 2016 initially targeted the 2020 Olympics for launch of properties. Now, even 2027/29 is earliest feasible debut.</li>
<li>The projected US$25b Japan marker would have cannibalized existing Macau revenues considering that pre-pandemic, Japan welcomed 9.5m Chinese tourists--without casinos.</li>
<li>Macau operators have an ongoingUS$8.5b investment in expansion there. A possible opening of Japan in the originally envisioned years is no longer operative.</li>
</ul>


The passage of Japan Integrated Casino Resort legislation in 2016 initially targeted the 2020 Olympics for launch of properties. Now, even 2027/29 is earliest feasible debut.
The projected US$25b Japan marker would have cannibalized existing Macau revenues considering that pre-pandemic, Japan welcomed 9.5m Chinese tourists--without casinos.
Macau operators have an ongoingUS$8.5b investment in expansion there. A possible opening of Japan in the originally envisioned years is no longer operative.


Interminable Delays in Japan Casinos Have Reduced Cannibalization Threat to Macau's Long Term Growth

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2021-05/UnUsUaL-CEO.jpg' alt='UnUsUaL - CEO' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>UnUsUaL - CEO</div>
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When engineer-turned-entrepreneur Leslie Ong founded UnUsUaL with his brother Johnny in 1997, it began as a stage, sound and lighting equipment rental business, aimed at financing the pair’s tertiary education. 
“Coming from a low-income family, we initially started this company so that we could support ourselves through school,” recalled Ong, who holds a diploma in Electronic Engineering from Singapore’s Ngee Ann Polytechnic.  
However, 24 years later, SGX-listed UnUsUaL has grown into one of Asia’s leading concert promotion as well as event production companies, and is now in the business of fulfilling dreams. 
“I get a lot of joy and satisfaction when fans thank me, when they shake my hand in gratitude, or write in to compliment us on the events,” noted Ong, who is the Group's Chief Executive Officer. “I’m really thrilled to be able to help them realise their dreams of meeting or seeing their idols in the flesh.” 
He also gets a high from sold-out concerts and events. “When you see an auditorium or stadium at full capacity, and all 20,000 or 40,000 fans singing and dancing along with their pop idols, their light sticks all aglow, you know you did good. That feeling is indescribable, which money cannot buy!” 
Listed on SGX Catalist in April 2017, the UnUsUaL Group is an established producer and promoter of large-scale live events and concerts in Singapore and in the region. 
Under its production business segment, it provides support to the artiste’s team or event organiser in terms of stage and set design creation, as well as the installation of sound, light and video. The Group’s promotion business segment focuses on the planning and managing of concerts and events, including the coordination of ticketing matters, as well as marketing activities leading up to the opening of the concert/event.  
In 2016, the Group was acquired by mm2 Asia Ltd, a Singapore-based, SGX Mainboard-listed producer of films, TV and online content and cinema operator.  
With more than 20 years of proven operational track record and established trusted relationships with artistes, UnUsUaL is well-positioned to weather the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, Ong noted. 
“We were lucky in that when COVID struck, most of our large gigs and tours had already been completed,” he said. 
During this period, the Group has taken measures to boost its balance sheet, including implementing cost-cuts, such as a reduction in payroll and discretionary expenses, as well as negotiating for revised payment terms on its existing commitments. 
“Our concerts were not cancelled, just postponed a few times. We’re now looking at a pipeline of events in the second half of 2021, both in Singapore and the region,” Ong added. 
“We’ve also been in close touch with the relevant venues to manage the various seat planning, social distancing and SafeEntry procedures, including temperature screening for large crowds. Just like us, our audiences are eagerly looking forward to the return of live shows.” Emerging Mandopop Wave  
Looking ahead, UnUsUaL will leverage on its strength in Asian concerts, with a focus on the Mandopop genre, which has emerged as a powerhouse in world music. The Group plans to continue expanding into selected Western markets with sizeable Asian populations that include permanent residents and students. Examples in 2019 include JJ Lin’s gigs in Melbourne and Sydney, as well as GEM Tang’s concert in San Francisco.  
“This gives UnUsUaL a competitive edge against local organisers in these markets, who may not have the expertise to identify profitable Mandopop concerts,” Ong noted. 
When live shows are eventually given the green light, they will also be conducted in tandem with online screenings. The Group is working on digital distribution and live streaming of such shows, he added.  
“Fans who cannot physically be present at the live concert can watch it online, so they don’t miss out. This hybrid approach will also give us an additional revenue stream,” he said. 
“In the past, artistes were not keen to take up the online option, for fear of poor attendance at these screenings, but with COVID-19, all of that has changed.” 
In March, JJ Lin announced that his “Sanctuary Finale” virtual concert would be streamed live to a global audience on 6 June 2021. This marks the conclusion to his successful Sanctuary World Tour, which kicked off in March 2018 and spanned 43 cities.  
This groundbreaking concert, organised jointly by UnUsUaL and Lin’s production company, will feature new hits and a specially curated, state-of-the-art extended reality (XR), combined with an immersive performance and stage, giving the viewer an unparalleled four-dimensional musical experience. 
The Group also plans to unveil La Clique, a cabaret circus entertainment show, to Singapore audiences at Sands Theatre Marina Bay Sands from 29 May to 18 July 2021. A theatrical experience featuring a unique blend of circus, cabaret, comedy and live music, La Clique has toured cities such as New York, Melbourne, Sydney, Brighton, Montreal and Edinburgh.  Virtual With Live 
According to data from a Goldman Sachs Equity Research report “Music in the Air” published last July, 79% of fans expect to return to live events within four months of the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions, and 74% of concert fans said they would continue to watch live streaming events even after physical events resume. 
A 2020 US Music 360 report, published last September by MRC Data, also showed that 47% of music listeners feel it’s important for the industry to offer live stream performances or virtual concerts. 
Over the medium to long term, Goldman Sachs has forecast live events to rebound to a 4%-5% annual growth rate, reaching US$39 billion by 2030, from US$28 billion in 2019.  
This is driven by “a number of demand and supply side tailwinds”, including the “millennial experience economy” boosting demand for live events, new monetisation opportunities through live streaming, ticket sales, merchandise and sponsorship, as well as artistes’ greater dependence on touring income, the report added. 
Another potential revenue source UnUsUaL is exploring is an e-ticketing platform for the sale of concert and event tickets. “Online ticketing is gradually becoming the norm, and has been made easier and more convenient with a variety of online payment options,” Ong noted. 
“With this e-ticketing platform, we also get to retain all the customer data. This in turn allows us to create a marketing tool for future artiste merchandise sales.” 
At the same time, the Group is working hard to manage some of its key risks and challenges. “Key man risk is a challenge in our line of work, where the firm’s projects are often dependent on the founders’ or owners’ relationships with artistes or artiste managers to secure the rights to promote and produce these shows,” Ong said. 
“To mitigate such risks, UnUsUaL has been actively grooming the next generation of management, who have been able to secure new contracts by cultivating new relationships with key stakeholders.” 
Another risk is the Group’s reliance on Singapore for half its total revenue. “We’ve actively taken steps to mitigate this concentration risk by venturing overseas, into countries such as the US, Australia, and will also progressively expand into regional markets, such as Thailand, Philippines, and Indonesia,” Ong noted. 
Meanwhile, as part of the Group’s environmental, social and governance (ESG) efforts, UnUsUaL makes it a point to re-use and recycle its platforms, stage and design sets, rather than throwing and rebuilding new ones. It is also focused on using solar energy for its lighting needs in outdoor venues and ticketing booths. 
Not surprisingly, there’s much to keep the 54-year-old up till the wee hours. “Organising large-scale shows is always challenging,” he admitted. “What keeps me up are unforeseen events like typhoons, riots, floods and bush fires - all of these involve cancellations, change of venues, insurance claims and/or refunds.” 
At the end of the day, what continues to inspire this father of two is his passion for the industry and the team he has built up over the years.  
“UnUsUaL is not a one-man show - it’s a team effort, and I value my staff, many of whom have been with me for a decade or more,” he added. “It will require everyone’s contributions to ensure that our business remains sustainable over the long term.” 
 

UnUsUaL Ltd

Established in 1997, UnUsUaL started as a stage, sound and lighting equipment rental business. It has grown to become one of the leading names in concert promotion and event production in Asia. Its presence in Singapore is represented by UnUsUaL Entertainment, UnUsUaL Productions, UnUsUaL Development; UnUsUaL Productions in Malaysia; and UnUsUaL Entertainment International in Hong Kong. Its ability to deliver a complete technical solution has seen the company working on large scale events such as the Singapore Arts Festival, the Chingay Parade, SG50 Youth Celebrate! and the Formula One Singapore Grand Prix. The company also promotes and organises world-class concerts and events for artistes such as Air Supply, Andy Lau, Cesar Millan, Chang Hui Mei, G.E.M, Hillsong, Jacky Cheung, Jay Chou, JJ Lin, Kim Soo Hyun, Lee Min Ho, Lionel Richie, Mariah Carey, Michael Bublé, Park Bo Gum, Pet Shop Boys, S.H.E., Stefanie Sun, Rain and Yanni in Singapore and the region.   
The company website is: <a href="http://www.unusual.com.sg/">www.unusual.com.sg</a> 
Click <a href="https://www.sgx.com/securities/equities/1D1">here </a>for the company's StockFacts page. 
For the half year ended 30 September 2020 financial results, click <a href="https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-announcements/HC30OSZSKT8CWMPJ/639309_UnUsUaL_1HFY2021%20Press%20Release.pdf">here</a>.

 

About kopi-C: the Company brew

Text: Jennifer Tan-Stanisic Photo: Company file kopi-C is a regular column on the SGX Research website that features C-level executives of leading companies listed on Singapore Exchange. These interviews are profiles of senior management aimed at helping investors better understand the individuals who run these corporations. 
For previous editions of kopi-C: the Company brew, please click <a href="https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-dialogues">here</a>.   
For more information, or if you would like your senior executives to be featured on SGX Market Dialogues, please send suggestions to <a href="https://www.sgx.com/jennifer.t@sgx.com">jennifer.t@sgx.com</a>.
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    UnUsUaL - CEO


When engineer-turned-entrepreneur Leslie Ong founded UnUsUaL with his brother Johnny in 1997, it began as a stage, sound and lighting equipment rental business, aimed at financing the pair’s tertiary education.  
“Coming from a low-income family, we initially started this company so that we could support ourselves through school,” recalled Ong, who holds a diploma in Electronic Engineering from Singapore’s Ngee Ann Polytechnic.   
However, 24 years later, SGX-listed UnUsUaL has grown into one of Asia’s leading concert promotion as well as event production companies, and is now in the business of fulfilling dreams.  
“I get a lot of joy and satisfaction when fans thank me, when they shake my hand in gratitude, or write in to compliment us on the events,” noted Ong, who is the Group's Chief Executive Officer. “I’m really thrilled to be able to help them realise their dreams of meeting or seeing their idols in the flesh.”  
He also gets a high from sold-out concerts and events. “When you see an auditorium or stadium at full capacity, and all 20,000 or 40,000 fans singing and dancing along with their pop idols, their light sticks all aglow, you know you did good. That feeling is indescribable, which money cannot buy!”  
Listed on SGX Catalist in April 2017, the UnUsUaL Group is an established producer and promoter of large-scale live events and concerts in Singapore and in the region.  
Under its production business segment, it provides support to the artiste’s team or event organiser in terms of stage and set design creation, as well as the installation of sound, light and video. The Group’s promotion business segment focuses on the planning and managing of concerts and events, including the coordination of ticketing matters, as well as marketing activities leading up to the opening of the concert/event.   
In 2016, the Group was acquired by mm2 Asia Ltd, a Singapore-based, SGX Mainboard-listed producer of films, TV and online content and cinema operator.   
With more than 20 years of proven operational track record and established trusted relationships with artistes, UnUsUaL is well-positioned to weather the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, Ong noted.  
“We were lucky in that when COVID struck, most of our large gigs and tours had already been completed,” he said.  
During this period, the Group has taken measures to boost its balance sheet, including implementing cost-cuts, such as a reduction in payroll and discretionary expenses, as well as negotiating for revised payment terms on its existing commitments.  
“Our concerts were not cancelled, just postponed a few times. We’re now looking at a pipeline of events in the second half of 2021, both in Singapore and the region,” Ong added.  
“We’ve also been in close touch with the relevant venues to manage the various seat planning, social distancing and SafeEntry procedures, including temperature screening for large crowds. Just like us, our audiences are eagerly looking forward to the return of live shows.”  Emerging Mandopop Wave   
Looking ahead, UnUsUaL will leverage on its strength in Asian concerts, with a focus on the Mandopop genre, which has emerged as a powerhouse in world music. The Group plans to continue expanding into selected Western markets with sizeable Asian populations that include permanent residents and students. Examples in 2019 include JJ Lin’s gigs in Melbourne and Sydney, as well as GEM Tang’s concert in San Francisco.   
“This gives UnUsUaL a competitive edge against local organisers in these markets, who may not have the expertise to identify profitable Mandopop concerts,” Ong noted.  
When live shows are eventually given the green light, they will also be conducted in tandem with online screenings. The Group is working on digital distribution and live streaming of such shows, he added.   
“Fans who cannot physically be present at the live concert can watch it online, so they don’t miss out. This hybrid approach will also give us an additional revenue stream,” he said.  
“In the past, artistes were not keen to take up the online option, for fear of poor attendance at these screenings, but with COVID-19, all of that has changed.”  
In March, JJ Lin announced that his “Sanctuary Finale” virtual concert would be streamed live to a global audience on 6 June 2021. This marks the conclusion to his successful Sanctuary World Tour, which kicked off in March 2018 and spanned 43 cities.   
This groundbreaking concert, organised jointly by UnUsUaL and Lin’s production company, will feature new hits and a specially curated, state-of-the-art extended reality (XR), combined with an immersive performance and stage, giving the viewer an unparalleled four-dimensional musical experience.  
The Group also plans to unveil La Clique, a cabaret circus entertainment show, to Singapore audiences at Sands Theatre Marina Bay Sands from 29 May to 18 July 2021. A theatrical experience featuring a unique blend of circus, cabaret, comedy and live music, La Clique has toured cities such as New York, Melbourne, Sydney, Brighton, Montreal and Edinburgh.   Virtual With Live  
According to data from a Goldman Sachs Equity Research report “Music in the Air” published last July, 79% of fans expect to return to live events within four months of the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions, and 74% of concert fans said they would continue to watch live streaming events even after physical events resume.  
A 2020 US Music 360 report, published last September by MRC Data, also showed that 47% of music listeners feel it’s important for the industry to offer live stream performances or virtual concerts.  
Over the medium to long term, Goldman Sachs has forecast live events to rebound to a 4%-5% annual growth rate, reaching US$39 billion by 2030, from US$28 billion in 2019.   
This is driven by “a number of demand and supply side tailwinds”, including the “millennial experience economy” boosting demand for live events, new monetisation opportunities through live streaming, ticket sales, merchandise and sponsorship, as well as artistes’ greater dependence on touring income, the report added.  
Another potential revenue source UnUsUaL is exploring is an e-ticketing platform for the sale of concert and event tickets. “Online ticketing is gradually becoming the norm, and has been made easier and more convenient with a variety of online payment options,” Ong noted.  
“With this e-ticketing platform, we also get to retain all the customer data. This in turn allows us to create a marketing tool for future artiste merchandise sales.”  
At the same time, the Group is working hard to manage some of its key risks and challenges. “Key man risk is a challenge in our line of work, where the firm’s projects are often dependent on the founders’ or owners’ relationships with artistes or artiste managers to secure the rights to promote and produce these shows,” Ong said.  
“To mitigate such risks, UnUsUaL has been actively grooming the next generation of management, who have been able to secure new contracts by cultivating new relationships with key stakeholders.”  
Another risk is the Group’s reliance on Singapore for half its total revenue. “We’ve actively taken steps to mitigate this concentration risk by venturing overseas, into countries such as the US, Australia, and will also progressively expand into regional markets, such as Thailand, Philippines, and Indonesia,” Ong noted.  
Meanwhile, as part of the Group’s environmental, social and governance (ESG) efforts, UnUsUaL makes it a point to re-use and recycle its platforms, stage and design sets, rather than throwing and rebuilding new ones. It is also focused on using solar energy for its lighting needs in outdoor venues and ticketing booths.  
Not surprisingly, there’s much to keep the 54-year-old up till the wee hours. “Organising large-scale shows is always challenging,” he admitted. “What keeps me up are unforeseen events like typhoons, riots, floods and bush fires - all of these involve cancellations, change of venues, insurance claims and/or refunds.”  
At the end of the day, what continues to inspire this father of two is his passion for the industry and the team he has built up over the years.   
“UnUsUaL is not a one-man show - it’s a team effort, and I value my staff, many of whom have been with me for a decade or more,” he added. “It will require everyone’s contributions to ensure that our business remains sustainable over the long term.”  
 

UnUsUaL Ltd

Established in 1997, UnUsUaL started as a stage, sound and lighting equipment rental business. It has grown to become one of the leading names in concert promotion and event production in Asia. Its presence in Singapore is represented by UnUsUaL Entertainment, UnUsUaL Productions, UnUsUaL Development; UnUsUaL Productions in Malaysia; and UnUsUaL Entertainment International in Hong Kong. Its ability to deliver a complete technical solution has seen the company working on large scale events such as the Singapore Arts Festival, the Chingay Parade, SG50 Youth Celebrate! and the Formula One Singapore Grand Prix. The company also promotes and organises world-class concerts and events for artistes such as Air Supply, Andy Lau, Cesar Millan, Chang Hui Mei, G.E.M, Hillsong, Jacky Cheung, Jay Chou, JJ Lin, Kim Soo Hyun, Lee Min Ho, Lionel Richie, Mariah Carey, Michael Bublé, Park Bo Gum, Pet Shop Boys, S.H.E., Stefanie Sun, Rain and Yanni in Singapore and the region.    
The company website is: www.unusual.com.sg  
Click here for the company's StockFacts page.  
For the half year ended 30 September 2020 financial results, click here.

 

About kopi-C: the Company brew

Text: Jennifer Tan-Stanisic Photo: Company file  kopi-C is a regular column on the SGX Research website that features C-level executives of leading companies listed on Singapore Exchange. These interviews are profiles of senior management aimed at helping investors better understand the individuals who run these corporations.  
For previous editions of kopi-C: the Company brew, please click here.    
For more information, or if you would like your senior executives to be featured on SGX Market Dialogues, please send suggestions to jennifer.t@sgx.com.



UnUsUaL Celebrates Emerging Era in Live Music

<ul>
<li>Bearish outlooks for the stock in too much financial reporting constitute old wine in new bottles and do not in our view, reflect growing forward value.</li>
<li>Our informal survey of 38 opinions on the stock in the financial press over the past year, reveal a persistent clinging to risks that have considerably been diminished since.</li>
<li>LVS forward prospects are led by steady recovery in Macau and Singapore, the opening of Phase One of its Macau Londoner re-vamp, its recent sale of its Las Vegas assets for US$6.2b. It's superior business model focused on mass vs. VIP promises quicker recovery.</li>
</ul>


Bearish outlooks for the stock in too much financial reporting constitute old wine in new bottles and do not in our view, reflect growing forward value.
Our informal survey of 38 opinions on the stock in the financial press over the past year, reveal a persistent clinging to risks that have considerably been diminished since.
LVS forward prospects are led by steady recovery in Macau and Singapore, the opening of Phase One of its Macau Londoner re-vamp, its recent sale of its Las Vegas assets for US$6.2b. It's superior business model focused on mass vs. VIP promises quicker recovery.


Asia Facing Las Vegas Sands Remains Undervalued for the Wrong Reasons. Bullish Signs Are Increasing.

United States

Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates casino resorts and convention centers. The Company operates in the United States, Macau and Singapore. Las Vegas Sand Corp's casinos offer a wide range of gaming activities and entertainment as well as overnight accommodations, while its expo centers host a wide range of entertainment shows, expositions, and other activities.

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Las Vegas Sands (LVS US)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Didi Chuxing, Sydney Airport, Weibo, Container Shipping, Macau Gaming

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Lock In Profits As Melco's NAV Discount Narrows

If you had set-up Melco - Long Melco and Short MLCO - I'd unwind that trade. I'd be inclined to reverse the stub here - Short Melco and Long MLCO.

David Blennerhassett

Interminable Delays in Japan Casinos Have Reduced Cannibalization Threat to Macau's Long Term Growth

The continuing delay in Japan casinos gives Macau operators a much longer competition free runway post pandemic through almost a decade ahead. This...

Howard J Klein

UnUsUaL Celebrates Emerging Era in Live Music

When engineer-turned-entrepreneur Leslie Ong founded UnUsUaL with his brother Johnny in 1997, it began as a stage, sound and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asia Facing Las Vegas Sands Remains Undervalued for the Wrong Reasons. Bullish Signs Are Increasing.

Negative risk elements in financial reporting on LVS shares have hidden the many reasons why the stock remains a strong value buy at $62. Our PT is...

Howard J Klein

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52-week Range

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