Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.</li>
<li>Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.</li>
<li>As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
</ul>


We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.
Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.
As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).


Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nikkei +4.6%, Topix +2.5% – strongest weekly performance since February and new YTD highs, driven by semiconductors and broad-based tech momentum.</li>
<li>Risk sentiment normalized after initial geopolitical shock from U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities; focus rotated back to U.S. macro and policy dovishness.</li>
<li>Sector divergence – semiconductors and telcos sharply outperform; Oil &amp; Gas lags amid energy volatility.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei +4.6%, Topix +2.5% – strongest weekly performance since February and new YTD highs, driven by semiconductors and broad-based tech momentum.
Risk sentiment normalized after initial geopolitical shock from U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities; focus rotated back to U.S. macro and policy dovishness.
Sector divergence – semiconductors and telcos sharply outperform; Oil &amp; Gas lags amid energy volatility.


Japan Weekly | Tech Soars as Geopolitics Risks Ease

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,331m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Skylark, Isuzu Motors, Softbank, Joyful Honda, Nippon Steel, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,331m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Skylark, Isuzu Motors, Softbank, Joyful Honda, Nippon Steel, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 20th): Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,593m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor, Isuzu Motors, Skylark, Fujikura, Nintendo, Mcdonald's.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,593m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor, Isuzu Motors, Skylark, Fujikura, Nintendo, Mcdonald's.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 13th): Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Big gains for AMD with analysts more upbeat than last weeks reaction to its AI conference suggests.</li>
<li>Advantest 9.6% yesterday on broker comments should see market hunting for laggards such as Kokusai Electric.</li>
<li>Estee lauder seeing an uptick in China may help beleaguered Shiseido and Kose move higher.</li>
</ul>


Big gains for AMD with analysts more upbeat than last weeks reaction to its AI conference suggests.
Advantest 9.6% yesterday on broker comments should see market hunting for laggards such as Kokusai Electric.
Estee lauder seeing an uptick in China may help beleaguered Shiseido and Kose move higher.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

Japan Weekly | Tech Soars as Geopolitics Risks Ease

Japanese stock market saw strong gains this week, led by semiconductors and tech, as risk sentiment normalized post-geopolitical tensions.

Mark Chadwick

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 20th): Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Advantest (6857 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 13th): Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor, Isuzu...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

Japan SPE underperformers may catch a bid. Estee Lauder's jump up has positive implications for Japan's Shiseido and Kose.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

Japan Weekly | Tech Soars as Geopolitics Risks Ease

​Japanese stock market saw strong gains this week, led by semiconductors and tech, as risk sentiment normalized post-geopolitical tensions.

Mark Chadwick

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 20th): Advantest, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Advantest (6857 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jun 13th): Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Softbank, Fast Retailing, Ihi, Advantest, Toyota Motor, Isuzu...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

Japan SPE underperformers may catch a bid. Estee Lauder's jump up has positive implications for Japan's Shiseido and Kose.

Andrew Jackson

Japanese stock market saw strong gains this week, led by semiconductors and tech, as risk sentiment normalized post-geopolitical tensions.