IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 20 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a> satisfied the precondition for its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> offer. The offer document will be despatched by 27 December.</li>
<li>Analysing the EGM vote on 18 October suggests that the 50% minimum acceptance condition will be met if no competing management offer is made. </li>
<li>Management will oppose the offer, but the last EGM protest votes suggest that many minorities will ignore management. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread was 2.3%/25.3%.</li>
</ul>


On 20 December, Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) satisfied the precondition for its Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) offer. The offer document will be despatched by 27 December.
Analysing the EGM vote on 18 October suggests that the 50% minimum acceptance condition will be met if no competing management offer is made. 
Management will oppose the offer, but the last EGM protest votes suggest that many minorities will ignore management. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread was 2.3%/25.3%.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. </li>
<li>The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. </li>
<li>The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.</li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has received SAFE approval. Therefore, the precondition is satisfied. 
The offer and response document will be despatched by 20 December and 3 January 2025, respectively. The Board will recommend the offer. 
The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread was 7.3%/88.0%.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> has one remaining precondition: SAFE approval.</li>
<li>Mr Wei’s irrevocable was terminated. Nevertheless, as a seller, he will accept the offer, as the shares trade below the offer price, and there is no competing offer. </li>
<li>The precondition long stop date is 6 January, sufficient time to satisfy the precondition. It would be highly unusual to secure MOFCOM and NDRC approval but not SAFE approval.</li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) has one remaining precondition: SAFE approval.
Mr Wei’s irrevocable was terminated. Nevertheless, as a seller, he will accept the offer, as the shares trade below the offer price, and there is no competing offer. 
The precondition long stop date is 6 January, sufficient time to satisfy the precondition. It would be highly unusual to secure MOFCOM and NDRC approval but not SAFE approval.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Steady Nerves Required

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a> has received SAMR clearance, the key regulatory hurdle, for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>SAMR approval paves the way for the ORG precondition to be satisfied in September. Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer first close is on 3 September.</li>
<li>Changping Industrial has little choice but to revise its terms. It has a short window to seize the initiative by bumping its offer before ORG’s competing and higher offer opens. </li>
</ul>



ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) has received SAMR clearance, the key regulatory hurdle, for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK).
SAMR approval paves the way for the ORG precondition to be satisfied in September. Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer first close is on 3 September.
Changping Industrial has little choice but to revise its terms. It has a short window to seize the initiative by bumping its offer before ORG’s competing and higher offer opens. 


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> Board recommends that shareholders accept Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer, which the IFA opines is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The Board's carefully crafted and suitably caveated recommendation acknowledges that shares continue to trade through terms and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s HK$7.21 offer is higher but preconditional. </li>
<li>Based on ORG's shareholding/irrevocable and volume traded above terms, Changping Industrial’s offer has little chance of success. It remains a question of when, not if, Changping Industrial will bump.</li>
</ul>


The CPMC Holdings (906 HK) Board recommends that shareholders accept Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer, which the IFA opines is fair and reasonable.
The Board's carefully crafted and suitably caveated recommendation acknowledges that shares continue to trade through terms and ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s HK$7.21 offer is higher but preconditional. 
Based on ORG's shareholding/irrevocable and volume traded above terms, Changping Industrial’s offer has little chance of success. It remains a question of when, not if, Changping Industrial will bump.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): A Carefully Caveated Board Recommendation of Changping Industrial’s Offer

Hong Kong

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing is a major paper and pulp producer specializing in containerboard, tissue paper, and corrugating medium for various industrial and consumer applications. The company operates a vertically integrated model, producing a wide array of paper products from raw materials to finished goods. Headquartered in Hong Kong, the company was established in 1994.

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Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (2314 HK)

GA Pack (468 HK): The State of Play

Management will oppose the offer, but the last EGM protest votes suggest that many minorities will ignore management. At the last close, the gross...

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Festive Cheer as Precondition Satisfied🎄

The offer should be declared unconditional by the first closing date. At the last close and late-January 2025 payment, the gross/annualized spread...

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Steady Nerves Required

The irrevocable has terminated, and the precondition long stop date is approaching. This is not a good look, but the offer can still be completed....

Arun George

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle

On the first closing date, Changping Industrial offer has let its offer lapse as acceptances (30.9% of out. shares) came well below the 50% minimum...

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK): A Carefully Caveated Board Recommendation of Changping Industrial’s Offer

Based on ORG's shareholding/irrevocable and volume traded above terms, Changping Industrial’s offer has little chance of success. It remains a...

Arun George

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