Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, HIMS and unapproved GLP-1 sellers (LFMD) were put on notice by the FDA.</li><li>KZR’s study was stopped and placed on clinical hold, but the stock rose.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, HIMS and unapproved GLP-1 sellers (LFMD) were put on notice by the FDA.KZR’s study was stopped and placed on clinical hold, but the stock rose.

Biopharma Week in Review - October 7, 2024

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The rumors we’ve heard are that the acquisition price has not yet been agreed upon. Meanwhile, the management of Legend Bio and Genscript may have different views on this takeover.</li>
<li>The deal has a 50-50 chance of success. If the deal breaks, this is however "a good news" for the investors of Genscript, whose key performance contributor is Legend Bio. </li>
<li>The commercialization potential of Carvykti has not yet been fully realized. Regardless of whether there is a takeover offer or not, Legend Bio is still considered a high quality asset.  </li>
</ul>


The rumors we’ve heard are that the acquisition price has not yet been agreed upon. Meanwhile, the management of Legend Bio and Genscript may have different views on this takeover.
The deal has a 50-50 chance of success. If the deal breaks, this is however "a good news" for the investors of Genscript, whose key performance contributor is Legend Bio. 
The commercialization potential of Carvykti has not yet been fully realized. Regardless of whether there is a takeover offer or not, Legend Bio is still considered a high quality asset.  


Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - The Takeover Negotiations Could Reach an Impasse?

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Legend Biotech, during their second quarter 2024 earnings call, presented a detailed insight into its operations, financial health, and the strides it's making in the pharmaceutical space, particularly regarding CARVYKTI, their FDA-approved treatment for multiple myeloma.</li><li>The company reported an 18.5% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth amounting to $186 million for CARVYKTI, which marks a robust 60% increase year-over-year.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Legend Biotech, during their second quarter 2024 earnings call, presented a detailed insight into its operations, financial health, and the strides it's making in the pharmaceutical space, particularly regarding CARVYKTI, their FDA-approved treatment for multiple myeloma.The company reported an 18.5% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth amounting to $186 million for CARVYKTI, which marks a robust 60% increase year-over-year.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Legend Biotech: Achieving Regulatory Milestones and Market Approval! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>This takeover could be at negotiation stage and different parties haven't reached an agreement.When Legend Bio releases official announcement, it means main issues of the deal have been agreed upon.</li>
<li>Genscript will be a big winner if Legend Bio is acquired. Major shareholders would take measures to maximize personal interests.The concern is whether Genscript will offer dividends to small/medium shareholders/investors. </li>
<li>Whether the takeover is successful or not, reasonable valuation of Legend Bio is between US$12.5- US$15 billion. Due to uncertainties, we recommend investors buy Legend Bio directly rather than Genscript.</li>
</ul>


This takeover could be at negotiation stage and different parties haven't reached an agreement.When Legend Bio releases official announcement, it means main issues of the deal have been agreed upon.
Genscript will be a big winner if Legend Bio is acquired. Major shareholders would take measures to maximize personal interests.The concern is whether Genscript will offer dividends to small/medium shareholders/investors. 
Whether the takeover is successful or not, reasonable valuation of Legend Bio is between US$12.5- US$15 billion. Due to uncertainties, we recommend investors buy Legend Bio directly rather than Genscript.


Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Some New Information About the Takeover Worth the Attention

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Expect True Wind to walk away rather than raising their price further for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a>. They'd need to pay ¥5,500-5,800 to dislodge a large chunk. And they won't.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a> plumbs new discount lows as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS) </a> gets a boost from Amazon Prime Day.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-marketing-japan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3866:1" rel="noopener">Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP)</a> is still significantly under-levered. That means the stock price will generically not be that volatile. That generally means one should buy dips and sell pops.</li>
</ul>


Expect True Wind to walk away rather than raising their price further for Sun Corp (6736 JP). They'd need to pay ¥5,500-5,800 to dislodge a large chunk. And they won't.

Amorepacific Group (002790 KS) plumbs new discount lows as Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)  gets a boost from Amazon Prime Day.

Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP) is still significantly under-levered. That means the stock price will generically not be that volatile. That generally means one should buy dips and sell pops.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

China

Legend Biotech Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in discovery and development of novel cell therapies for oncology and other indications. Legend Biotech serves customers in the State of New Jersey.

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Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)

Biopharma Week in Review - October 7, 2024

Last week, HIMS and unapproved GLP-1 sellers (LFMD) were put on notice by the FDA. KZR’s study was stopped and placed on clinical hold, but the...

Water Tower Research

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - The Takeover Negotiations Could Reach an Impasse?

Rumors swirl around acquisition price disagreement between Legend Bio and Genscrip. Deal has 50-50 chance of success. Investors still benefit if...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech: Achieving Regulatory Milestones and Market Approval! - Major Drivers

Legend Biotech, during their second quarter 2024 earnings call, presented a detailed insight into its operations, financial health, and the...

Baptista Research

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Some New Information About the Takeover Worth the Attention

The potential takeover seems reliable.Genscript will be a big winner but it's uncertain whether Genscript will offer dividends to small/medium...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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Biopharma Week in Review - October 7, 2024

Last week, HIMS and unapproved GLP-1 sellers (LFMD) were put on notice by the FDA. KZR’s study was stopped and placed on clinical hold, but the...

Water Tower Research

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - The Takeover Negotiations Could Reach an Impasse?

​Rumors swirl around acquisition price disagreement between Legend Bio and Genscrip. Deal has 50-50 chance of success. Investors still benefit if...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Legend Biotech: Achieving Regulatory Milestones and Market Approval! - Major Drivers

Legend Biotech, during their second quarter 2024 earnings call, presented a detailed insight into its operations, financial health, and the...

Baptista Research

Legend Biotech (LEGN.US) Offer Update - Some New Information About the Takeover Worth the Attention

The potential takeover seems reliable.Genscript will be a big winner but it's uncertain whether Genscript will offer dividends to small/medium...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Rumors swirl around acquisition price disagreement between Legend Bio and Genscrip. Deal has 50-50 chance of success. Investors still benefit if...