Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shionogi applied for indication expansion of its oral COVID-19 drug for pediatric patients. Simcere Pharmaceutical received approval of Enzeshu for the treatment of ovarian cancer in China.</li>
<li>WuXi XDC has completed its manufacturing site in Singapore. The site to commence operation this year. Sino Biopharma got marketing approval in China for its inhouse congenital hemophilia drug Anqixin.</li>
<li>Apollo Hospitals is demerging its omni-channel pharmacy and digital health business. Torrent Pharmaceuticals is acquiring controlling stake in J. B. Chemicals at an equity valuation of INR 257B.</li>
</ul>


Shionogi applied for indication expansion of its oral COVID-19 drug for pediatric patients. Simcere Pharmaceutical received approval of Enzeshu for the treatment of ovarian cancer in China.
WuXi XDC has completed its manufacturing site in Singapore. The site to commence operation this year. Sino Biopharma got marketing approval in China for its inhouse congenital hemophilia drug Anqixin.
Apollo Hospitals is demerging its omni-channel pharmacy and digital health business. Torrent Pharmaceuticals is acquiring controlling stake in J. B. Chemicals at an equity valuation of INR 257B.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 6)- Shionogi, Simcere, Wuxi XDC, Sino Bio, Apollo Hosp, Torrent Pharma

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine launches Hong Kong IPO to raise ~$1.3B. Wuxi Biologics is selling its drug product plant in Germany to Terumo for €150M.</li>
<li>Chugai Pharmaceutical got conditional approval in Japan for gene therapy product, Elevidys for Duchenne muscular dystrophy. GC Biopharma dosed first patient in Fabry disease drug trial in Korea.</li>
<li>Mayne Pharma was hit hard as an ‘untitled letter’ from the FDA related to certain promotional claims used in a speaker presentation for oral contraceptive Nextstellis, was made public.  </li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine launches Hong Kong IPO to raise ~$1.3B. Wuxi Biologics is selling its drug product plant in Germany to Terumo for €150M.
Chugai Pharmaceutical got conditional approval in Japan for gene therapy product, Elevidys for Duchenne muscular dystrophy. GC Biopharma dosed first patient in Fabry disease drug trial in Korea.
Mayne Pharma was hit hard as an ‘untitled letter’ from the FDA related to certain promotional claims used in a speaker presentation for oral contraceptive Nextstellis, was made public.  


APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 18)-Hengrui Medicine, Wuxi Biologics, Chugai, GC Biopharma, Mayne Pharma

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The resumption of short selling in Korea came at a good time for investors, giving them some additional tools to manage market volatility.</li>
<li>Short interest has increased from 0.17% to 0.23% of market cap for the KOSPI market and from 0.46% to 0.63% for the KOSDAR market.</li>
<li>The KOSPI/KOSDAQ ratio has reverted a bit on profit taking, and the forecast index deletions have recovered a bit but should continue to see increase short interest.</li>
</ul>


The resumption of short selling in Korea came at a good time for investors, giving them some additional tools to manage market volatility.
Short interest has increased from 0.17% to 0.23% of market cap for the KOSPI market and from 0.46% to 0.63% for the KOSDAR market.
The KOSPI/KOSDAQ ratio has reverted a bit on profit taking, and the forecast index deletions have recovered a bit but should continue to see increase short interest.


Korea Short Selling: Biggest Changes in Shorts & Trade Performance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hd Hyundai Electric, Sk Innovation.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hd Hyundai Electric, Sk Innovation.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries

South Korea

LegoChem Biosciences, Inc. (LCB) is a researched-based biotechnology company that discovers, develops, and commercializs of medicines.  The Company utilizes chemistry to make biologics more targeted and potent for patients with diseases of highly unmet medical needs.  The Company focuses on therapy within antibiotics, anti-coagulants, oncology, antibody and protein-drug conjugate.

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Legochem Biosciences (141080 KS)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 6)- Shionogi, Simcere, Wuxi XDC, Sino Bio, Apollo Hosp, Torrent Pharma

Simcere, CSPC, and Sino Bio got approvals for their new drugs in China. Apollo Hospital announced a demerger. Torrent is acquiring controlling...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 18)-Hengrui Medicine, Wuxi Biologics, Chugai, GC Biopharma, Mayne Pharma

Jiangsu Hengrui launches HK IPO. Wuxi Biologics to sell Germany plant. Chugai got Japan approval for gene therapy. Mayne Pharma was hit as FDA...

Tina Banerjee

Korea Short Selling: Biggest Changes in Shorts & Trade Performance

The resumption of short selling in Korea has come at an opportune time as market volatility spikes. Short notional has increased but is still a...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung H.I., Hd Hyundai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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