Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Leidos Holdings, Inc., a prominent player in the defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research fields, has reported a solid financial performance for the third quarter of 2025.</li><li>The company continues to display resilience in navigating a dynamic and uncertain macroeconomic landscape, bolstered by its strategic initiatives and governmental partnerships.</li><li>Leidos reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue to $4.47 billion, illustrating strong top-line growth despite challenges such as the government shutdown and previous headwinds from efficiency reviews.</li></ul>

Leidos Holdings, Inc., a prominent player in the defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research fields, has reported a solid financial performance for the third quarter of 2025.The company continues to display resilience in navigating a dynamic and uncertain macroeconomic landscape, bolstered by its strategic initiatives and governmental partnerships.Leidos reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue to $4.47 billion, illustrating strong top-line growth despite challenges such as the government shutdown and previous headwinds from efficiency reviews.

Leidos Accelerates a Defense Supercycle Fueled by Hypersonics & Radar Innovation!

<ul><li>Leidos' second quarter results for 2025 reflected both positive growth and notable challenges.</li><li>The company recorded robust revenue growth of 4.8% year-to-date, achieving record profitability with a 15.2% EBITDA margin and a 28% increase in operating cash flow for the quarter.</li><li>These achievements were realized amidst a dynamic market environment and were attributed to Leidos' strategic focus, centered on five growth pillars under their North Star 2030 strategy: space and maritime, energy infrastructure, digital modernization and cyber, mission software, and managed health services.</li></ul>

Leidos' second quarter results for 2025 reflected both positive growth and notable challenges.The company recorded robust revenue growth of 4.8% year-to-date, achieving record profitability with a 15.2% EBITDA margin and a 28% increase in operating cash flow for the quarter.These achievements were realized amidst a dynamic market environment and were attributed to Leidos' strategic focus, centered on five growth pillars under their North Star 2030 strategy: space and maritime, energy infrastructure, digital modernization and cyber, mission software, and managed health services.

Leidos Holdings: Initiation of Coverage- Expaning Border Security Tech But Will $3 Billion in Funding Fuel Sufficient Growth?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem</a>, RENK Group and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/karman-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44289:1" rel="noopener">Karman Holdings</a> will be added to the MV Global Defense Industry Index after the close of trading on 20 June.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8.8% and a round-trip trade of US$1.1bn.</li>
<li>The index has moved up steadily over the last few years and the ETF has taken in a big chunk of money over the last 6 months.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Rotem, RENK Group and Karman Holdings will be added to the MV Global Defense Industry Index after the close of trading on 20 June.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8.8% and a round-trip trade of US$1.1bn.
The index has moved up steadily over the last few years and the ETF has taken in a big chunk of money over the last 6 months.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: US$1.1bn Round-Trip Trade as Stocks Soar

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amentum-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44105:1" rel="noopener">Amentum Holdings (AMTM US)</a> is an ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chemring-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24801:1" rel="noopener">Chemring Group PLC (CHG LN)</a> is a DEL for the MV Global Defense Index in December 2024. </li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$138mm for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 8.6%.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.

Amentum Holdings (AMTM US) is an ADD and Chemring Group PLC (CHG LN) is a DEL for the MV Global Defense Index in December 2024. 
We expect a one-way flow of US$138mm for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 8.6%.


[Quiddity Index] MVIS Global Defense Index Dec24 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

United States

Leidos Holdings Inc. provides scientific, engineering, systems integration and technical services and solutions. The Company provides its services in the areas of national security, engineering and health.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Leidos Holdings (LDOS US)

Leidos Accelerates a Defense Supercycle Fueled by Hypersonics & Radar Innovation!

Leidos Holdings, Inc., a prominent player in the defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research fields, has reported a solid...

Baptista Research

Leidos Holdings: Initiation of Coverage- Expaning Border Security Tech But Will $3 Billion in Funding Fuel Sufficient Growth?

Leidos' second quarter results for 2025 reflected both positive growth and notable challenges. The company recorded robust revenue growth of 4.8%...

Baptista Research

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: US$1.1bn Round-Trip Trade as Stocks Soar

There are 3 adds to the index. Estimated turnover is 8.8% and round-trip trade is US$1.1bn. The index has moved up a lot and stocks have soared....

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MVIS Global Defense Index Dec24 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

The MVIS Global Defense Index Rebalance was announced Friday. The rebal is set for next Friday (20 Dec 2024) at the close. AMTM US is a buy, which...

Travis Lundy

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)