Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources</a> and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.

Regis Resources and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th March 2026.</li>
<li>There are 25 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300. Most of them were in line with our expectations.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th March 2026.
There are 25 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200 and ASX 300. Most of them were in line with our expectations.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 27th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems, Insignia Financial, Transurban.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 27th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD37.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems, Insignia Financial, Transurban.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 27th): Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 4 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 17 adds/10 deletes for the ASX300 in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
While the forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, there was a drawdown for most indices in January. Most of that underperformance has now reversed.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD31.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT, Scentre, South32.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD31.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT, Scentre, South32.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 16th): Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT

Australia

Lendlease Group designs, develops, and manages property and infrastructure assets. The Company constructs apartments, commercial buildings, government offices, retirement living, and educational facilities. Lendlease serves customers worldwide.

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Lendlease Group (LLC AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

We expected 39 changes in total and 35 of them were correct. That translates to an accuracy of ~90% for our predictions. However, there were 43...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 27th): Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 16th): Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT CORPORATION...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Mar26 Results: 43 Changes; Some Surprises; US$1.34bn Total One-Way Flows

We expected 39 changes in total and 35 of them were correct. That translates to an accuracy of ~90% for our predictions. However, there were 43...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 27th): Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Capricorn Metals, BHP, Electro Optic Systems,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 46 changes across the ASX family of indices in March. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Some names are...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 16th): Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Treasury Wine Estates, NEWMONT CORPORATION...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact