Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a> to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> is cheap"  vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers</li>
<li>Be comfortable medium-long-term with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a>'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.</li>
</ul>


EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for Kakaku.com (2371 JP) to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.

Prosus NV (PRX NA) is cheap"  vs. Tencent (700 HK). And Naspers (NPN SJ) "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers
Be comfortable medium-long-term with Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

<ul>
<li>A double dose of StubWorld this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-holdings-corporation-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:517:1" rel="noopener">Legend Holdings (3396 HK)</a>'s implied stub and simple ratio (Legend/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>) are both around multi-year lows.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Legend and Lenovo are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


A double dose of StubWorld this week: Legend Holdings (3396 HK)'s implied stub and simple ratio (Legend/Lenovo (992 HK)) are both around multi-year lows.
Preceding my comments on Legend and Lenovo are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Legend's Bifurcation To Lenovo Is Unsustainable

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Oil prices surge amid Russian assault on Ukraine</li><li>China’s annual rural policy road map urges better protection for women and children</li><li>Exclusive: China’s banks told to stop taking liberties with ‘agreement deposits’</li></ul>

Oil prices surge amid Russian assault on UkraineChina’s annual rural policy road map urges better protection for women and childrenExclusive: China’s banks told to stop taking liberties with ‘agreement deposits’

CX Daily: Oil Prices Surge Amid Russian Assault on Ukraine

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>It'll take another 3-5 years of further development for VR and AR products to reach the level of user experience and reduction in cost necessary for wide commercial adoption. </li>
<li>The emergence of blockbuster AAA content will aid the large-scale adoption of Metaverse hardware, user generated contents are much lower in development cost,  a trend pioneered by Roblox &amp;Epic Games.</li>
<li>A-Share listed companies mainly focus on hardware value chain. China's video game regulator hasn't approved any new titles since July 2021. Leading Chinese companies are focusing on the commercial application.  </li>
</ul>


It'll take another 3-5 years of further development for VR and AR products to reach the level of user experience and reduction in cost necessary for wide commercial adoption. 
The emergence of blockbuster AAA content will aid the large-scale adoption of Metaverse hardware, user generated contents are much lower in development cost,  a trend pioneered by Roblox &amp;Epic Games.
A-Share listed companies mainly focus on hardware value chain. China's video game regulator hasn't approved any new titles since July 2021. Leading Chinese companies are focusing on the commercial application.  


Virtual Smoke and Mirror—Vision to Reality

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Hang Seng TECH Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>In a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hstech-30-capitulation-and-global-ai-selloff-trigger-tactical-long-entry" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent insight</a> we theorized the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY)</a> was about to bottom and rally. The rally happened as expected, but lasted only 2 weeks.</li>
<li>After 2 weeks up, the following (last week's) negative WEEKLY Close could be a potential tactical entry before the rally restarts. Our model signals the next leg could reach 5000.</li>
<li>Global tech valuation de-rating (Nasdaq AI selloff), geopolitical macro shock (Iran war), and China's recent domestic economic data are the possible headwinds to our model's theory.</li>
</ul>


In a recent insight we theorized the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX EQUITY) was about to bottom and rally. The rally happened as expected, but lasted only 2 weeks.
After 2 weeks up, the following (last week's) negative WEEKLY Close could be a potential tactical entry before the rally restarts. Our model signals the next leg could reach 5000.
Global tech valuation de-rating (Nasdaq AI selloff), geopolitical macro shock (Iran war), and China's recent domestic economic data are the possible headwinds to our model's theory.


HSTECH Tactical Outlook Amid Global AI De-Rating and Macro Shocks

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo Group Ltd Adr (LNVGY US)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Legend's Bifurcation To Lenovo Is Unsustainable

Even factoring in a holdco discount, this bifurcation is out of whack. Long Legend, Short Lenovo (& hedge out the rump with a Euro bank + large...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: Oil Prices Surge Amid Russian Assault on Ukraine

Oil prices surge amid Russian assault on Ukraine. China’s annual rural policy road map urges better protection for women and children

Caixin Global

Virtual Smoke and Mirror—Vision to Reality

The recent surge in Metaverse have brought VR & AR back into the focus of the market. So is the Metaverse finally ready for prime time or still a...

Evelyn Zhang

HSTECH Tactical Outlook Amid Global AI De-Rating and Macro Shocks

The Hang Seng TECH Index has been flagged by our model for potential tactical re-entry this week, with aprofit target at 5071, despite global tech...

Nico Rosti

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