Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Auto LED orders set to increase significantly for a year, with Edison predicting double growth by 2025.</li><li>TSMC upgrades CoWoS technology to compete with 9x reticle sizes by 2027, showing continuous advancement in semiconductor manufacturing.</li><li>MiTAC plans to double capital expenditures in 2025 to diversify production under the new administration of Trump 2.0.</li></ul>

Auto LED orders set to increase significantly for a year, with Edison predicting double growth by 2025.TSMC upgrades CoWoS technology to compete with 9x reticle sizes by 2027, showing continuous advancement in semiconductor manufacturing.MiTAC plans to double capital expenditures in 2025 to diversify production under the new administration of Trump 2.0.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply</li>
<li>Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades</li>
<li>Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment</li>
</ul>


Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply
Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades
Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell &amp; HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment


PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

<ul><li>India's PC market shows growth in 3Q24, indicating signs of recovery in the industry after a challenging period.</li><li>Taiwan's aerospace industry experiences a surge in ambitions amidst global security worries, highlighting the region's competitive edge.</li><li>Samsung makes changes in leadership with new foundry CTO appointment, signaling a strategic shift in the company's direction.</li></ul>

India's PC market shows growth in 3Q24, indicating signs of recovery in the industry after a challenging period.Taiwan's aerospace industry experiences a surge in ambitions amidst global security worries, highlighting the region's competitive edge.Samsung makes changes in leadership with new foundry CTO appointment, signaling a strategic shift in the company's direction.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

<ul><li>HP undergoes leadership overhaul and revamps supply chain in preparation for Trump 2.0, while strict qualification measures impact 7nm technology development.</li><li>TSMC's AI chip expansion is overshadowed by the potential return of Trump, with global notebook shipments fluctuating in Q3/Q4 2024.</li><li>DIGITIMES Research forecasts a steady revenue growth of over 10% CAGR for the global wafer foundry industry during the 2024-2029 period, while Apple India's sales soar to US$8B driven by strong iPhone sales. Availability of Samsung's HBM3E for Nvidia's Blackwell remains uncertain.</li></ul>

HP undergoes leadership overhaul and revamps supply chain in preparation for Trump 2.0, while strict qualification measures impact 7nm technology development.TSMC's AI chip expansion is overshadowed by the potential return of Trump, with global notebook shipments fluctuating in Q3/Q4 2024.DIGITIMES Research forecasts a steady revenue growth of over 10% CAGR for the global wafer foundry industry during the 2024-2029 period, while Apple India's sales soar to US$8B driven by strong iPhone sales. Availability of Samsung's HBM3E for Nvidia's Blackwell remains uncertain.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Nov-2024): HP prepares for Trump 2.0 with changes in leadership and supply chain in NA.

Inspur Electronic Infmtn Indtry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.</li><li>Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.</li><li>China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.</li></ul>

India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo Group Ltd Adr (LNVGY US)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

October 2024 update: Strong notebook shipments, LED orders rising, TSMC advancing technology, MiTAC plans to diversify, SMIC driving China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

India sees slight growth in PC shipments, Taiwan's aerospace sector thrives, Samsung appoints new CTO, Taiwan and Germany collaborate on AI license...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Nov-2024): HP prepares for Trump 2.0 with changes in leadership and supply chain in NA.

HP is preparing for Trump 2.0 with leadership changes and supply chain revamp, while strict wafer scrutiny affects 7nm tech development.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Passenger EV sales lag behind, but commercial EVs thrive; Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates, sparking analyst reactions; China accelerates chip...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Dec-2024): Oct 2024: Notebook shipment update

October 2024 update: Strong notebook shipments, LED orders rising, TSMC advancing technology, MiTAC plans to diversify, SMIC driving China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

​Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

India sees slight growth in PC shipments, Taiwan's aerospace sector thrives, Samsung appoints new CTO, Taiwan and Germany collaborate on AI license...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Nov-2024): HP prepares for Trump 2.0 with changes in leadership and supply chain in NA.

HP is preparing for Trump 2.0 with leadership changes and supply chain revamp, while strict wafer scrutiny affects 7nm tech development.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Passenger EV sales lag behind, but commercial EVs thrive; Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates, sparking analyst reactions; China accelerates chip...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Dell and HPQ report soft PC results, with industry upgrades delayed until 2025. Commercial strength confirmed, while consumer weakness persists.