Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The long awaited IPO of LG CNS is finally getting ready to be completed in February 2025. The IPO price range is 53,700 won to 61,900 won.</li>
<li>Expected market cap is between 5.2 trillion won to 6.0 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the total IPO offering would involve 1.2 trillion won.</li>
<li>The bankers used three companies including Samsung Sds, Hyundai Autoever, and NTT Data Corp as comps. This is expected to be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2025</li>
</ul>


The long awaited IPO of LG CNS is finally getting ready to be completed in February 2025. The IPO price range is 53,700 won to 61,900 won.
Expected market cap is between 5.2 trillion won to 6.0 trillion won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the total IPO offering would involve 1.2 trillion won.
The bankers used three companies including Samsung Sds, Hyundai Autoever, and NTT Data Corp as comps. This is expected to be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2025


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If the three non-IT names exit IT, passive flows hit hard: SK Square/LG Electronics ~0.4× DTV out, LG Corp ~0.8× DTV out, new IT entrants ~0.2–0.25× DTV in.</li>
<li>If KRX surprises next Tuesday, kicking three names from IT, expect immediate tape reaction—market memory exists, but the scenario isn’t priced, unlike 2023 Kakaopay, so instant price impact is likely.</li>
<li>If this happens, June 11 turns into a chunky basket-flow day: SK Square (~15% weight) out, next-tier caps see ~0.15–0.2× DTV inflow, except ultra-liquid names like Hanmi Semi.</li>
</ul>


If the three non-IT names exit IT, passive flows hit hard: SK Square/LG Electronics ~0.4× DTV out, LG Corp ~0.8× DTV out, new IT entrants ~0.2–0.25× DTV in.
If KRX surprises next Tuesday, kicking three names from IT, expect immediate tape reaction—market memory exists, but the scenario isn’t priced, unlike 2023 Kakaopay, so instant price impact is likely.
If this happens, June 11 turns into a chunky basket-flow day: SK Square (~15% weight) out, next-tier caps see ~0.15–0.2× DTV inflow, except ultra-liquid names like Hanmi Semi.


Unexpected ETF-Driven Flow Event Lights up the KOSPI 200 IT Sleeve

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 7 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.</li>
<li>As expected, there are no adhoc inclusions as Samsung Epis Holdings is added to the index to offset the gap created by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-heavy-industries-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-mipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mipo</a> merger.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes very handily while also outperforming the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> but by a much narrower margin.</li>
</ul>


There will be 7 additions and 8 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.
As expected, there are no adhoc inclusions as Samsung Epis Holdings is added to the index to offset the gap created by the Hyundai Heavy/ Hyundai Mipo merger.
The adds have outperformed the deletes very handily while also outperforming the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) but by a much narrower margin.


South Korea

LG CNS Co., Ltd. provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers consulting, system integration, outsourcing, convergence, video solutions, conditional access systems, and interactive digital television solutions. LG CNS serves customers worldwide.

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LG CNS (064400 KS)

LG CNS IPO Preview

The long awaited IPO of LG CNS is finally getting ready to be completed in February 2025. The IPO price range is 53,700 won to 61,900 won.

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Unexpected ETF-Driven Flow Event Lights up the KOSPI 200 IT Sleeve

This post looks at the KOSPI 200 IT sector getting hit by a surprise passive-flow swing and what it could mean for upcoming rebalance trades.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Nearly Perfect

As expected, there are 7 changes a side (ignoring the merger, which was known). No ad hoc inclusions since the Hyundai merger offsets the Samsung...

Brian Freitas

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