Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.</li>
<li>Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.</li>
</ul>


Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.
Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) to KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.


Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 1Q25 outlook is expected to see a 0-5% decline quarter-over-quarter due to the recent earthquake in southern Taiwan.  </li>
<li>Factors such as increased demand related to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>  iPhone production and subsidies for China's electronics industry are expected to boost Novatek's output in 1Q25.</li>
<li>US President Donald Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Taiwan's increasing dominance in the semiconductor manufacturing sector.</li>
</ul>


The 1Q25 outlook is expected to see a 0-5% decline quarter-over-quarter due to the recent earthquake in southern Taiwan.  
Factors such as increased demand related to Apple (AAPL US)  iPhone production and subsidies for China's electronics industry are expected to boost Novatek's output in 1Q25.
US President Donald Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Taiwan's increasing dominance in the semiconductor manufacturing sector.


Novatek (3034.TT): Earthquake Affecting 1Q25 Outlook; Benefited by Subsidies for China's Electronics

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Apple 1Q25 Results -- Overall Price-Supportive for Taiwan Supplier Share Prices When the Taiwan Market Re-Opens Monday</li>
<li>Why Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT) and Kinsus Interconnect Tech (3189 TT) Could Be in a Favorable Position Relative to Apple's AI Trajectory</li>
<li>Increasingly sophisticated Apple products require significantly more complex PCBs &amp; interconnect solutions, especially as advanced packaging has become a key enabler of high-performance computing.</li>
</ul>


Apple 1Q25 Results -- Overall Price-Supportive for Taiwan Supplier Share Prices When the Taiwan Market Re-Opens Monday
Why Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT) and Kinsus Interconnect Tech (3189 TT) Could Be in a Favorable Position Relative to Apple's AI Trajectory
Increasingly sophisticated Apple products require significantly more complex PCBs &amp; interconnect solutions, especially as advanced packaging has become a key enabler of high-performance computing.


Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Latest AAPL Results -- Taiwan Suppliers Well Placed for Monday Re-Open

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>TSMC begins mass production at Kumamoto fab as plans for third fab expansion remain uncertain.</li><li>Broadcom CEO foresees million-chip clusters as the future of AI investment frenzy.</li><li>Tata Group announces plan to generate 50,000 manufacturing jobs in EMS and semiconductor sectors.</li></ul>

TSMC begins mass production at Kumamoto fab as plans for third fab expansion remain uncertain.Broadcom CEO foresees million-chip clusters as the future of AI investment frenzy.Tata Group announces plan to generate 50,000 manufacturing jobs in EMS and semiconductor sectors.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Dec-2024): TSMC starts Kumamoto fab amid 3rd fab expansion uncertainty.

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>LGD plans to invest $1B to expand OLED module production in Vietnam, signaling a commitment to growth in the technology sector.</li><li>Wolfspeed makes a bold move by firing CEO in response to slowdown in the electric vehicle industry, showing a willingness to adapt to market changes.</li><li>MiTAC introduces AIoT innovations for smarter cities and transportation, demonstrating a focus on advancing technology for the future.</li></ul>

LGD plans to invest $1B to expand OLED module production in Vietnam, signaling a commitment to growth in the technology sector.Wolfspeed makes a bold move by firing CEO in response to slowdown in the electric vehicle industry, showing a willingness to adapt to market changes.MiTAC introduces AIoT innovations for smarter cities and transportation, demonstrating a focus on advancing technology for the future.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

South Korea

LG Display Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures digital display products.  The Company's products include thin film transistor-liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCD) for notebook and desktop computer monitors, TVs, mobile phones, and medical equipment.  LG Display provides its products mainly to overseas markets.

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LG Display (034220 KS)

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

Novatek (3034.TT): Earthquake Affecting 1Q25 Outlook; Benefited by Subsidies for China's Electronics

1Q25 outlook for Novatek expected to decline 0-5% due to Taiwan earthquake, but boosted by Apple demand and China subsidies. Trump unhappy with...

Patrick Liao

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Latest AAPL Results -- Taiwan Suppliers Well Placed for Monday Re-Open

Apple's strong 1Q25 results are expected to boost Taiwan supplier share prices when the market re-opens. Zhen Ding and Kinsus Interconnect could...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Dec-2024): TSMC starts Kumamoto fab amid 3rd fab expansion uncertainty.

TSMC ramps up production at Kumamoto fab, uncertain on 3rd fab, Broadcom CEO predicts million-chip clusters for AI, Tata Group to create 50,000...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

Companies such as LGD, MiTAC, Micron, and Foxconn make strategic moves in AI, IoT, and chip production while Samsung and YMTC Zhitai compete in the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

Novatek (3034.TT): Earthquake Affecting 1Q25 Outlook; Benefited by Subsidies for China's Electronics

​1Q25 outlook for Novatek expected to decline 0-5% due to Taiwan earthquake, but boosted by Apple demand and China subsidies. Trump unhappy with...

Patrick Liao

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Latest AAPL Results -- Taiwan Suppliers Well Placed for Monday Re-Open

​Apple's strong 1Q25 results are expected to boost Taiwan supplier share prices when the market re-opens. Zhen Ding and Kinsus Interconnect could...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Dec-2024): TSMC starts Kumamoto fab amid 3rd fab expansion uncertainty.

TSMC ramps up production at Kumamoto fab, uncertain on 3rd fab, Broadcom CEO predicts million-chip clusters for AI, Tata Group to create 50,000...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Nov-2024): LGD invests $1B in Vietnam OLED production.

Companies such as LGD, MiTAC, Micron, and Foxconn make strategic moves in AI, IoT, and chip production while Samsung and YMTC Zhitai compete in the...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

1Q25 outlook for Novatek expected to decline 0-5% due to Taiwan earthquake, but boosted by Apple demand and China subsidies. Trump unhappy with...

Apple's strong 1Q25 results are expected to boost Taiwan supplier share prices when the market re-opens. Zhen Ding and Kinsus Interconnect could...