IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Tekscend Photomask / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$828 million). Pricing is on 30 September.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tekscend-photomask-429a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:203592" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tekscend-photomask-429a-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:203753" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that Tekscend is attractively valued at the IPO price range compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$828 million). Pricing is on 30 September.
I previously discussed the IPO in Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case and Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that Tekscend is attractively valued at the IPO price range compared to peer multiples.


Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). Pricing is on 30 September.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tekscend-photomask-429a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:203592" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on its worrisome revenue growth trends, weakening lead revenue indicators, cash burn, and large post-IPO share overhang. </li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). Pricing is on 30 September.
In Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on its worrisome revenue growth trends, weakening lead revenue indicators, cash burn, and large post-IPO share overhang. 


Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). Pricing is on 30 September.   </li>
<li>Tekscend, which was carved out of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toppan-printing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11875:1" rel="noopener">Toppan Printing (7911 JP)</a> in 2022, is owned by Toppan (with a 50.1% stake) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral (5842 JP)</a> (with a 49.9% stake).   </li>
<li>The bull case rests on its leading market position, attractive market opportunity, stable underlying margins, net cash position, and attractive dividend policy. </li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). Pricing is on 30 September.   
Tekscend, which was carved out of Toppan Printing (7911 JP) in 2022, is owned by Toppan (with a 50.1% stake) and Integral (5842 JP) (with a 49.9% stake).   
The bull case rests on its leading market position, attractive market opportunity, stable underlying margins, net cash position, and attractive dividend policy. 


Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>While AI-related demand from hyperscalers and governments has surged, demand for commodity (IT-use) memory remains uncertain.</li><li>This has led to limited capacity expansions, with a large share of new investments focused on HBM.</li><li>The resultant supply/demand imbalance is pushing up commodity chip prices. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

While AI-related demand from hyperscalers and governments has surged, demand for commodity (IT-use) memory remains uncertain.This has led to limited capacity expansions, with a large share of new investments focused on HBM.The resultant supply/demand imbalance is pushing up commodity chip prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mirae Asset Minutes [2025: Volume 18]Biweekly Strategy Meeting Recap

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&amp;MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&amp;MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): LIG Nex1, Alteogen, Samsung F&M Ins, SK Hynix, SKC

South Korea

LG Innotek Co., Ltd. develops and produces cellular phone parts such as mini vibration motors, LCD modules, light emitting diode (LED), camera modules, protection circuit modules. The Company also manufactures liquid crystal displays (LCD) and plasma display panels (PDP) parts such as inverters, intelligent power modules, multi chip modules, and tuners.

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Lg Innotek (011070 KS)

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Tekscend is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$828 million). My analysis suggests that Tekscend is attractively valued at the IPO price...

Arun George

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

Tekscend is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). I previously discussed the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.

Arun George

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

Tekscend Photomask, a global leader in semiconductor photomasks, is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$832 million). In this note, I discuss...

Arun George

Mirae Asset Minutes [2025: Volume 18]Biweekly Strategy Meeting Recap

While AI-related demand from hyperscalers and governments has surged, demand for commodity (IT-use) memory remains uncertain.

Mirae Asset Securities

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): LIG Nex1, Alteogen, Samsung F&M Ins, SK Hynix, SKC

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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