Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During 2Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +7.1%y/y, down slightly from the +8.7% reported during 1Q2024.</li>
<li>Overall, 61% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 57% delivered positive Sales surprises, a marked improvement from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 2Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +7.1%y/y, down slightly from the +8.7% reported during 1Q2024.
Overall, 61% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 57% delivered positive Sales surprises, a marked improvement from the previous quarter.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jun 2024 sales volumes on 1 Jul.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 42% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +739%) and 8% MoM (ranging from -13% to +51%).</li><li>The NEV trio slightly beat. Li Auto delivered about 48,000 units (+36% MoM) in Jun. The L6’s deliveries surpassed 20,000 units in Jun, in line with our prior forecast. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jun 2024 sales volumes on 1 Jul.Total sales volume combined rose 42% YoY (ranging from - 22% to +739%) and 8% MoM (ranging from -13% to +51%).The NEV trio slightly beat. Li Auto delivered about 48,000 units (+36% MoM) in Jun. The L6’s deliveries surpassed 20,000 units in Jun, in line with our prior forecast. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Six NEV Brands Hit a Record-High in Jun

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.</li><li>CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.</li><li>Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.</li></ul>

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Auto - Six NEV Brands Hit a Record-High in Jun

Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Leap, Neta and HIMA etc reported their Jun 2024...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI, CuspAI secures funding for climate change efforts, IC fab capacity to grow, Lumai boosts AI with...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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