Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Today,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results. Timing: 24 March 2025, after market close.</li>
<li>
Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement is above the historically recorded movement.</li>
<li>
Implied volatility and options strategies: Discussion of implied volatility term structure and option strategies.</li>
</ul>



Today,BYD (1211 HK) is scheduled to report its annual 2024 financial results. Timing: 24 March 2025, after market close.

Expected Price Movement: Option implied movement is above the historically recorded movement.

Implied volatility and options strategies: Discussion of implied volatility term structure and option strategies.


BYD (1211 HK) Earnings Today: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;</li>
<li>Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;</li>
<li>China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. </li>
</ul>


China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;
Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;
China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

<ul>
<li>The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; </li>
<li>Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; </li>
<li>BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.</li>
</ul>


The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; 
Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; 
BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

<ul>
<li>The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?</li>
<li>China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;</li>
<li>MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.</li>
</ul>


The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?
China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;
MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
US steel and aluminum tariffs (effective 12 March US time) will take effect on March 13 across the Asia-Pacific region. Volatility can be expected in Japan, South Korea, India, China.</li>
<li>Major quarterly derivatives expirations will occur on March 13 in Japan (Nikkei 225, TOPIX, Stocks), South Korea (KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, Stocks), and India (BSE Stock Futures and Options).</li>
<li>Earnings announcements for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK/LI US)</a> are scheduled for March 14, while India's markets will be closed that day for the Holi holiday.</li>
</ul>



US steel and aluminum tariffs (effective 12 March US time) will take effect on March 13 across the Asia-Pacific region. Volatility can be expected in Japan, South Korea, India, China.
Major quarterly derivatives expirations will occur on March 13 in Japan (Nikkei 225, TOPIX, Stocks), South Korea (KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, Stocks), and India (BSE Stock Futures and Options).
Earnings announcements for AIA Group (1299 HK) and Li Auto (2015 HK/LI US) are scheduled for March 14, while India's markets will be closed that day for the Holi holiday.


China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
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Li Auto (LI US)

BYD (1211 HK) Earnings Today: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

BYD (1211 HK) to report 2024 financial results today after market close. Option implied movement higher than historical, discussion on implied...

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Week Ahead in Options - 10 March

US steel and aluminum tariffs to impact Asia-Pacific markets on March 13. Quarterly derivatives expirations in Japan, South Korea, and India....

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BYD (1211 HK) Earnings Today: Anticipated Price Movements and Options Insights

​BYD (1211 HK) to report 2024 financial results today after market close. Option implied movement higher than historical, discussion on implied...

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

​China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

​Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

​China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Week Ahead in Options - 10 March

​US steel and aluminum tariffs to impact Asia-Pacific markets on March 13. Quarterly derivatives expirations in Japan, South Korea, and India....

Gaudenz Schneider

BYD (1211 HK) to report 2024 financial results today after market close. Option implied movement higher than historical, discussion on implied...

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

US steel and aluminum tariffs to impact Asia-Pacific markets on March 13. Quarterly derivatives expirations in Japan, South Korea, and India....