Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK)</a> had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.
</li>
</ul>


During Hong Kong's market correction during November, we noticed that the Put/Call spread stayed below 1 and the skew moved to its lowest level in 3 years both bullish signals.

Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) share price had a golden cross breakout on December 3, as the casual dining sector in China shows growth going into next year.


MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern relative to MXEF.  The gap up in the share price and momentum signals confirms the uptrend.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Vishal Mega Mart / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishal-mega-mart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44041:1" rel="noopener">Vishal Mega Mart</a> is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India.</li>
<li>Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India.
Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM), is a one-stop retail destination. As per the company it targets middle and lower-middle income consumers across India
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - One-Stop Shop

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics</a> is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO - Low to Mid-End Looks Reasonable

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> turned around in 1H FY25 as it reported a net profit of Rmb137m, vs. losses of Rmb410m a year ago. Interim DPS increased 92.7% YoY.</li>
<li>Investment gain is the key driver, reaching Rmb171m in the period, compared with losses of Rmb497m previously. Most investment categories contributed positively. </li>
<li>CDNX trades on a 76.9% discount to its SOTP value and a P/B of just 0.22x. Net cash amounted to Rmb3.2bn, or 58.3% more than its market capitalisation. </li>
</ul>



China Dongxiang (3818 HK) turned around in 1H FY25 as it reported a net profit of Rmb137m, vs. losses of Rmb410m a year ago. Interim DPS increased 92.7% YoY.
Investment gain is the key driver, reaching Rmb171m in the period, compared with losses of Rmb497m previously. Most investment categories contributed positively. 
CDNX trades on a 76.9% discount to its SOTP value and a P/B of just 0.22x. Net cash amounted to Rmb3.2bn, or 58.3% more than its market capitalisation. 


China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

China

Li Ning Company Limited researches, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails sports footwear, apparel and accessories for sport and leisure use.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Li Ning (2331 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - One-Stop Shop

Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO - Low to Mid-End Looks Reasonable

Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we take a quick look at valuations.

Sumeet Singh

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (DECEMBER 5)

Hong Kong show decreased volatility and increased mainland buying continue since the US election. YUM China share price broke out (golden...

David Mudd

Vishal Mega Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - One-Stop Shop

Vishal Mega Mart is planning to raise around US$950m through its upcoming IPO in India. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO - Low to Mid-End Looks Reasonable

Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we take a quick look at valuations.

Sumeet Singh

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

​China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...