Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed this week: Bain's Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jamco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14741:1" rel="noopener">Jamco Corp (7408 JP)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a> also countered for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. I've yet to see a solid rationality why they would block.
One new deal was discussed this week: Bain's Tender Offer for Jamco Corp (7408 JP). Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) also countered for AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU).
Key updates/news took place on: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)/Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

<ul>
<li>After CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with a A$4.30/share NBIO for wealth manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, trumping Bain's A$4.00/share proposal, Bain subsequently matched CC Capital's terms.  </li>
<li>CC Capital has now lifted is indicative Offer to <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250117/pdf/06dm4ygnv88lmw.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A$4.60/share</a>, a ~50% premium to undisturbed. Time for IFL to engage. And for Tanarra to be supportive. </li>
<li>And Bain? I expect them to match CC Capital's terms, again; if not a small premium. </li>
</ul>


After CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with a A$4.30/share NBIO for wealth manager Insignia Financial (IFL AU), trumping Bain's A$4.00/share proposal, Bain subsequently matched CC Capital's terms.  
CC Capital has now lifted is indicative Offer to A$4.60/share, a ~50% premium to undisturbed. Time for IFL to engage. And for Tanarra to be supportive. 
And Bain? I expect them to match CC Capital's terms, again; if not a small premium. 


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match - Or Exceed - CC Capital's Terms

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, a PRC department store operator, announced a Scheme from Thomas Lau, its chairman/CEO and major shareholder (74.91%, including concert parties).</li>
<li>The HK$0.913 Offer price was miserly 21.7% premium to last close. But not declared final. </li>
<li>The Offer deserved a bump, and Lau has obliged. However, the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0116/2025011600886.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">revised HK$0.98/share bid</a>, a 30.6% premium to undisturbed, remains underwhelming. Lau has declared terms final.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th December 2024, Lifestyle China (2136 HK), a PRC department store operator, announced a Scheme from Thomas Lau, its chairman/CEO and major shareholder (74.91%, including concert parties).
The HK$0.913 Offer price was miserly 21.7% premium to last close. But not declared final. 
The Offer deserved a bump, and Lau has obliged. However, the revised HK$0.98/share bid, a 30.6% premium to undisturbed, remains underwhelming. Lau has declared terms final.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Still Wrong. And Now Final

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. </li>
<li>The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. </li>
<li>The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. </li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. 
The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. 
The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Bumps, but the Offer Remains Light

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241128/pdf/06bywtrktl1j89.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into a deed</a> granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.</li>
<li>The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.</li>
<li>In what appeared to be clean deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a> then acquired a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241227/pdf/06d2p7fykvslm6.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5.39% stake</a> on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250115/pdf/06dk238wkx2778.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NBIO at A$0.70/share</a>. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 28th November, AVJennings Ltd (AVJ AU), a reputable home builder in Australia/New Zealand, entered into a deed granting the AVID consortium exclusive confirmatory due diligence.
The AVID consortium, comprising Proprium Capital Partners and AVID Property Group, pitched an NBIO (by way of a Scheme) of A$0.67/share. Singapore's SC Global (54.5% shareholder) was supportive.
In what appeared to be clean deal, Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) then acquired a 5.39% stake on the 23rd December. Now they've made their own NBIO at A$0.70/share. 


AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Hong Kong

Lifestyle China Group is an investment holding company that operates department stores and related retailing businesses, primarily under the 'Jiuguang' brand in Shanghai and Suzhou. The company also engages in property investment and development. It was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

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Lifestyle China Group (2136 HK)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match - Or Exceed - CC Capital's Terms

Both Offers remain non-binding. IFL should engage. Which means Bain needs to step up to at least match CC Capital. I'd be surprised if Tanarra...

David Blennerhassett

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Still Wrong. And Now Final

IF illiquid arbs are your thing and you think this get up, pay up to HK$0.95/share for a 3.4%/15% gross/annualised return (where possible), if mid...

David Blennerhassett

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Bumps, but the Offer Remains Light

The revised offer remains light. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at the...

Arun George

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Ho Bee's Superior Proposal

Although terms are indicative, buy a tick or three below Ho Bee's terms. You could also consider buying the Singaporean leg (quoted in AUD), and...

David Blennerhassett

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