Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Oneconnect Financial Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 15th May, dual-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oneconnect-financial-technology-co-ltd-2e580cf8-6a65-4148-ac1e-f9a8a167856a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36656:1" rel="noopener">Oneconnect (6638 HK/OFT US)</a>, a digital retail banking/commercial banking/digital insurance play, announced a firm Scheme Offer from Ping An, OneConnect's controlling shareholder.</li>
<li>Ping An is offering HK$2.068/share, or US$7.98/ADS, a 72.33% premium to last close, and a 131.66% premium to the 30-day average. Net cash is, however,  ~HK$1.83/share. The price is final.
</li>
<li>SAMR has now signed off on the deal, satisfying the pre-condition. We await directions from the Cayman court on timing. I'm estimating late-September payment. Should the deal get up.</li>
</ul>


On the 15th May, dual-listed Oneconnect (6638 HK/OFT US), a digital retail banking/commercial banking/digital insurance play, announced a firm Scheme Offer from Ping An, OneConnect's controlling shareholder.
Ping An is offering HK$2.068/share, or US$7.98/ADS, a 72.33% premium to last close, and a 131.66% premium to the 30-day average. Net cash is, however,  ~HK$1.83/share. The price is final.

SAMR has now signed off on the deal, satisfying the pre-condition. We await directions from the Cayman court on timing. I'm estimating late-September payment. Should the deal get up.


OneConnect (6638 HK/OCFT US): Ping An's Offer Gets The Nod From SAMR

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that Mr Thomas Lau’s HK$0.98 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 20 February. </li>
<li>The IFA analysis is flawed. The revised and final offer is light compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges.</li>
<li>The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk, mainly as retail seems firmly against the offer. The 14.0% gross spread is high but justified. </li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK)’s IFA opines that Mr Thomas Lau’s HK$0.98 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 20 February. 
The IFA analysis is flawed. The revised and final offer is light compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges.
The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk, mainly as retail seems firmly against the offer. The 14.0% gross spread is high but justified. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Expectations of a Deal Break with a Vote on 20 February

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, a PRC department store operator, announced a Scheme from Thomas Lau, its chairman/CEO and major shareholder (74.91%, including concert parties).</li>
<li>The HK$0.913 Offer price was miserly 21.7% premium to last close. But not declared final. </li>
<li>The Offer deserved a bump, and Lau has obliged. However, the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0116/2025011600886.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">revised HK$0.98/share bid</a>, a 30.6% premium to undisturbed, remains underwhelming. Lau has declared terms final.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th December 2024, Lifestyle China (2136 HK), a PRC department store operator, announced a Scheme from Thomas Lau, its chairman/CEO and major shareholder (74.91%, including concert parties).
The HK$0.913 Offer price was miserly 21.7% premium to last close. But not declared final. 
The Offer deserved a bump, and Lau has obliged. However, the revised HK$0.98/share bid, a 30.6% premium to undisturbed, remains underwhelming. Lau has declared terms final.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Still Wrong. And Now Final

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. </li>
<li>The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. </li>
<li>The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. </li>
</ul>



Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a revised offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.98 per share, a 7.3% premium to the previous HK$0.913 offer. The offer has been declared final. 
The bump was unsurprising. Crucially, the shares have traded above the revised offer on 20 of the 25 trading days since the previous offer was announced. 
The revised offer remains light, and minorities remain unimpressed. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at terms. 


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Bumps, but the Offer Remains Light

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a> was suspended pursuant to then Takeovers Code, the takeaway was that Thomas Lau with 74.91% of shares out would table a Scheme.</li>
<li>Which is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/169377/Lifestyle%20China%20(2136%20HK):%20Thomas%20Yau%20Scheme%20Expected.%20Read%20more:" target="_blank" rel="noopener">exactly what unfolded</a>. What was not expected was a stingy 21.7% premium to last close. </li>
<li>
The Offer Price has not been declared final. Lifestyle China is trading at 0.11x P/B. This Offer deserves a bump. Otherwise minorities should vote this down.</li>
</ul>


After Lifestyle China (2136 HK) was suspended pursuant to then Takeovers Code, the takeaway was that Thomas Lau with 74.91% of shares out would table a Scheme.
Which is exactly what unfolded. What was not expected was a stingy 21.7% premium to last close. 

The Offer Price has not been declared final. Lifestyle China is trading at 0.11x P/B. This Offer deserves a bump. Otherwise minorities should vote this down.


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Wrong

Hong Kong

Lifestyle International Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates lifestyle department store and other retail outlets.  The Company also owns most of the properties at which its department store is situated.  At present, Lifestyle International operates the Sogo store, Nufront, and Daiso Land Ten-dollar Shop in Hong Kong.

Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)

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Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)

OneConnect (6638 HK/OCFT US): Ping An's Offer Gets The Nod From SAMR

Terms are light. That is clear. And trading wide as a result. IF illiquid Hong Kong arbs are your bag, get involved. After the Goldlion and...

David Blennerhassett

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Expectations of a Deal Break with a Vote on 20 February

As expected, the scheme vote failed. The minority participation rate was high at 43.28%. The results showed that 17.25% of disinterested...

Arun George

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Still Wrong. And Now Final

IF illiquid arbs are your thing and you think this get up, pay up to HK$0.95/share for a 3.4%/15% gross/annualised return (where possible), if mid...

David Blennerhassett

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau Bumps, but the Offer Remains Light

The revised offer remains light. The high AGM minority participation rates remain a vote risk. Head for the exit as the shares are trading at the...

Arun George

Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau's Scheme - The Premium Is Wrong

The Offer Price has not been declared final. Lifestyle China is trading at 0.11x P/B. This Offer deserves a bump. Otherwise minorities should vote...

David Blennerhassett

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