Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our 2022 earnings thesis largely worked: FY12/2021-FY12/2025 profit compounded about 15% annually while adjusted EBITDA margins remained above 66%.</li>
<li>What we underestimated was regulatory and geographic complexity: by Q2 FY12/2026, only 49% of revenue was classified as regulated by player IP.</li>
<li>The next phase depends on renewed organic growth, better regulated-market monetization, and whether large buybacks can convert resilient cash generation into stronger per-share compounding.</li>
</ul>


Our 2022 earnings thesis largely worked: FY12/2021-FY12/2025 profit compounded about 15% annually while adjusted EBITDA margins remained above 66%.
What we underestimated was regulatory and geographic complexity: by Q2 FY12/2026, only 49% of revenue was classified as regulated by player IP.
The next phase depends on renewed organic growth, better regulated-market monetization, and whether large buybacks can convert resilient cash generation into stronger per-share compounding.


Evolution Four Years Later: The Earnings Thesis Worked. The Multiple Did Not.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 11th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Light &amp; Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive Discovery, Nextdc, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 11th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Light &amp; Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive Discovery, Nextdc, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 11th): Light & Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive Discovery

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Longsys Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mech-mind-robotics-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55473:1" rel="noopener">Mech-Mind Robotics Technologies</a>  failed to do much.</li>
<li>On the placement front, deals continued to flow in across the region, throughout the week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, both SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK) and Mech-Mind Robotics Technologies  failed to do much.
On the placement front, deals continued to flow in across the region, throughout the week.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (7 September 2026)-Shein, Mech-Mind, Longsys, Jio, Elice, Cathay, Bilibili,

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources</a> and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX50, 3 for the ASX100, 3 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/9 deletes for the ASX300 in March.

Regis Resources and Greatland Resources are potential inclusions to the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March and those passive trackers will need to buy stock on the same day.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for all indices over the last few months, though performance has been flat over the last few weeks for most indices.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

United States

Light & Wonder Inc. provides gambling products and services. The Company creates content and products for land-based casino gaming, social, and digital organizations. Light & Wonder serves customers worldwide.

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Light & Wonder (LNW AU)

Evolution Four Years Later: The Earnings Thesis Worked. The Multiple Did Not.

Four years after our 2022 Evolution thesis, earnings broadly delivered as expected, but regulation, player geography and valuation exposed what the...

Urbem Capital

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 11th): Light & Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive Discovery

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Light & Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas ECM Weekly (7 September 2026)-Shein, Mech-Mind, Longsys, Jio, Elice, Cathay, Bilibili,

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Evolution Four Years Later: The Earnings Thesis Worked. The Multiple Did Not.

Four years after our 2022 Evolution thesis, earnings broadly delivered as expected, but regulation, player geography and valuation exposed what the...

Urbem Capital

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 11th): Light & Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive Discovery

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Light & Wonder, Northern Star Resources, Predictive...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas ECM Weekly (7 September 2026)-Shein, Mech-Mind, Longsys, Jio, Elice, Cathay, Bilibili,

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 43 changes across the ASX changes in March. Couple of the adds could also be added to the GDX in March. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2026): 43 Changes Across Indices as Adds Outperform Deletes